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Author: matt

Matt Mushalik (MEAust, CPEng) Sydney

Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?

Posted on November 8, 2022

As the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate and long-range…

Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?

Posted on October 7, 2022

In a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired (subject to…

Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard

Posted on August 17, 2022

This gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison defends secret…

Australian diesel imports from Taiwan May 2022

Posted on August 5, 2022

Australia imported 17% of its diesel from Taiwan in May 2022, while the 12 month moving average was 9% Fig 1: Australian diesel imports since Sep 2020 Australian fuel importers just replaced…

Conventional gas peak in Victoria (part 1) AEMO intervention July 2022

Posted on July 30, 2022

The moment of the truth has arrived. The media is still beating around the bush, avoiding to mention the “P” word. The symptoms of peaking: • Conventional gas production maxed out so…

Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 2: NSW coal plants maxed out)

Posted on June 15, 2022

15 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) The Australian public is finally waking up. Not because of academic debate in the social media but by the threat of power cuts. Power uncertainty…

Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 1: NSW demand peaks)

Posted on June 10, 2022

10 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) These are typical headlines in the current situation: Australians ‘panicking’ as power prices skyrocket, consumer advocates say 2 June 2022 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/energy-ministers-meet-to-discuss-rising-prices-gas-electricity/101133630 Short-term relief from rising…

Australian fuel import bill going sky-high

Posted on May 25, 2022

In March 2022 Australia’s petroleum product imports have reached almost AU$ 4 bn per month, an increase of 70% compared to December 2019. Fig 1: Petroleum product imports by volume (black lines)…

Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)

Posted on May 3, 2022

According to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 mb/d while…

Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021

Posted on March 30, 2022

Using latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil production is…

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