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Author: matt

Matt Mushalik (MEAust, CPEng) Sydney

US shale oil growth covers up production drop in rest-of-world

Posted on September 15, 2014

We use the period starting with January 2010 when crude production had come back to 2005 levels after the exceptional year of 2009 Fig 1: US crude oil vs crude oil in…

Qantas growing passenger numbers don’t increase revenue

Posted on September 8, 2014

A lot has been written about Qantas’ FY 2014 losses of AU$2.8 bn but no analysis was done by the main stream media how the timeline of  these losses are connected to…

Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott pedalling in wrong direction

Posted on August 26, 2014

Fig 1: Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott (centre, yellow helmet) likes biking There are only a few Prime Ministers in this world who are pro-actively biking. Tony Abbott is one of them….

IEA report implies US crude production may start to peak 2016

Posted on August 14, 2014

The Medium Term Oil Market Report of the International Energy Agency (IEA, Paris),  published in June 2014,  contains a graph which implies that US crude production will start to peak in 2016….

The Ukraine conflict, peak cheap gas and the MH17 tragedy

Posted on July 29, 2014

For 8 years now there are problems with Russian gas flowing to and through Ukraine. Even Europe – where gas production peaked 10 years ago – has been affected. The fact is…

Sydney’s M2 toll road less busy than forecast in Transurban investor presentation of 2011

Posted on July 14, 2014

Fig 1: M2 at Murray Farm Rd – summer evening 2013/14 The Sydney Morning Herald quotes from Transurban’s  latest June 2014 ADT data that traffic on the M2 increased by 13.8% y-o-y….

Energy Super Power Australia’s East Coast running low on affordable domestic gas

Posted on July 9, 2014

In July 2006 then Prime Minister Howard declared Australia an energy super power. 2 years earlier his energy white paper set the framework for unlimited gas exports while neglecting to set aside…

Oil prices started to skyrocket when one quarter of global supplies went into irreversible decline

Posted on June 25, 2014

This is the 1st post on the BP Statistical Review 2014 which has been published recently. There are many reasons why oil prices went up in the last 10 years but the…

World’s untested assumption on 6 mb/d Iraqi oil by 2020

Posted on June 15, 2014

Given the ethnic turmoil in Iraq triggered by ISIL’s recent seizure of towns in Iraq’s North and West it is uncertain how this will impact on oil production in the Shia controlled…

Australian GDP per capita growth slowed while oil prices went up (part 2)

Posted on June 9, 2014

In part 1 of the series on the Australian budget 2014/15 we showed that company tax receipts took a dive when the global financial crisis (GFC) hit. In this 2nd part we…

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