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Author: matt

Matt Mushalik (MEAust, CPEng) Sydney

Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data

Posted on December 3, 2025

Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 It includes…

NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions

Posted on November 10, 2025

In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days 5 LOR…

NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)

Posted on October 21, 2025

This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) coal plants…

NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)

Posted on October 18, 2025

Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September 2025 Power…

Peak oil in Asia 2024 update

Posted on September 7, 2025

Fig 1: Asia Pacific oil production 1965 – 2024 Fig 2: China oil production vs consumption Fig 3: India oil production vs consumption Fig 4: Indonesia oil production vs consumption Fig 5:…

Australian Productivity Roundtable: coal fired for now with solar outlook

Posted on August 19, 2025

This post will be updated from time to time https://treasury.gov.au/review/economic-reform-roundtable Energy is the economy and the economy is energy On the eve of the talkfest: 128570 RESERVE NOTICE 18/08/2025 05:43:38 PM Actual Lack…

Sydney’s wintry midnight electrification 12-13th August 2025 based on coal

Posted on August 16, 2025

This is the continuation of the previous post. https://crudeoilpeak.info/premier-nsw-energy-guzzler-in-winter-coal-plants-running-at-90-capacity-during-critical-evening-periods Fig 1: Another cold and rainy winter day We are supposed to electrify with renewables and energy storage. https://smartlifestyleaustralia.com.au/electrification-australias-path-to-lower-carbon-emissions But in NSW, that’s…

Premier NSW energy guzzler in winter: coal plants running at 90 % capacity during critical evening periods

Posted on August 3, 2025

In winter afternoons and evenings coal fired power plants are running >90% of capacity for 64% of the time. Fig 1: NSW generation by fuel type July 2025 https://explore.openelectricity.org.au/energy/nsw1/?range=30d&interval=1d&view=discrete-time&group=Detailed Coal dominates with…

Australian petrol import dependency April 2025 Update

Posted on July 21, 2025

Fig 1: Australian petrol imports We can see that petrol imports from Singapore almost tripled after 2020/21 when the Wuhan virus hit. However, Singapore’s refinery output has not increased. Fig 2: Singapore…

Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil

Posted on June 30, 2025

This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very high rates…

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