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Crude oil analysis Archive
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Peak Affordable Oil
Posted on February 2, 2015 | No CommentsIt is quite obvious that high oil prices in the last 3-4 years Fig 1: WTI spot prices to 23/1/2015 http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=rwtc&f=w have reduced demand for oil, as shown in this […] -
World on drip of unconventional oil
Posted on December 11, 2014 | No CommentsCurrently lower oil prices due to a combination of increasing oil supplies and subdued demand come at a high cost to the environment and the climate. Additional oil supplies are […] -
US crude imports from Non-OPEC countries peaked 10 years before tight oil boom
Posted on December 2, 2014 | No CommentsIn part 3 of this series on the impact of US tight oil, we look at US crude oil imports from Non-OPEC countries. Excluding Canada – which is a special […] -
US oil dependency on Middle East has hardly changed since 2007
Posted on November 6, 2014 | No CommentsThis is part 2 of a series of articles on how US tight oil has impacted on oil markets The following graph shows US petroleum imports from OPEC countries starting […] -
US oil consumption did not increase as result of US tight oil boom
Posted on November 5, 2014 | No CommentsIn part 1 of a series of articles on the impact of US tight (shale) oil we examine the impact on US oil consumption. Fig 1: US crude oil production […] -
US shale oil growth covers up production drop in rest-of-world
Posted on September 15, 2014 | No CommentsWe use the period starting with January 2010 when crude production had come back to 2005 levels after the exceptional year of 2009 Fig 1: US crude oil vs crude […] -
IEA report implies US crude production may start to peak 2016
Posted on August 14, 2014 | No CommentsThe Medium Term Oil Market Report of the International Energy Agency (IEA, Paris), published in June 2014, contains a graph which implies that US crude production will start to peak […] -
Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr Husseini predicts oil price spikes of USD 140 by 2016-17: graphs
Posted on March 15, 2014 | No CommentsIn an interview with ASPO USA in January 2014 Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr. Sadad-Al-Husseini predicted oil price spikes of $140 by 2016/17. This post shows some graphs explaining why this […] -
World crude production 2013 without shale oil is back to 2005 levels
Posted on March 13, 2014 | No CommentsUnnoticed by the mainstream media, US shale oil covers up a recent decline of crude oil production of 1.5 mb/d in the rest of world (using data up to Oct […] -
Jean Laherrere uses Hubbert linearization to estimate Bakken shale oil peak in 2014
Posted on January 31, 2014 | No CommentsIn his latest research on shale oil French oil geologist Jean Laherrere from ASPO France http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/texts/documents estimates a Bakken shale oil peak in 2014 He uses a Hubbert linearization to […]