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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![In its final report on the M2 widening the RTA claims again that: “With reference to the M2 Upgrade project, traffic modelling across the Sydney network indicated that the proposed […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/hills_m2_upgrade_traffic_uplift-115x115.jpg "M2 widening increases Sydney’s oil vulnerability")
M2 widening increases Sydney’s oil vulnerability
Posted on November 9, 2010 | No CommentsIn its final report on the M2 widening the RTA claims again that: “With reference to the M2 Upgrade project, traffic modelling across the Sydney network indicated that the proposed […] -
![The NSW government still has not understood the risks involved when approving the M2 widening while global oil production is set to decline. Wider M2 will drive deeper into motorists’ […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/m2-420x0-115x115.jpg "Quick Risk Analysis for M2 Widening (part 2)")
Quick Risk Analysis for M2 Widening (part 2)
Posted on October 29, 2010 | No CommentsThe NSW government still has not understood the risks involved when approving the M2 widening while global oil production is set to decline. Wider M2 will drive deeper into motorists’ […] -
![Sindney goes backwards in public transport. Part of the M2 widening, the RTA is about to pull down a bus ramp connecting the M2 bus lanes with Epping station. This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/bus_lane_ramp_tunnel-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s RTA about to pull down public transport infrastructure (part 1)")
Sydney’s RTA about to pull down public transport infrastructure (part 1)
Posted on October 25, 2010 | No CommentsSindney goes backwards in public transport. Part of the M2 widening, the RTA is about to pull down a bus ramp connecting the M2 bus lanes with Epping station. This […] -
![In this 2nd article on the ASPO 2010 conference we have a look at Chris Skrebowski’s graphs http://www.optioninvestor.com/page/oin/2009eoy/10-8-2010_aspousa_PeakOilPicture_Skrebowski_C.pdf and his video http://tv.peak-oil.org/chris-skrebowski-the-peak-oil-picture/ in which he uses a list of oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/megaprojects_skrebowski_aspo_usa_2007_2015-115x115.jpg "Megaprojects Increments: next oil crunch 2012")
Megaprojects Increments: next oil crunch 2012
Posted on October 22, 2010 | No CommentsIn this 2nd article on the ASPO 2010 conference we have a look at Chris Skrebowski’s graphs http://www.optioninvestor.com/page/oin/2009eoy/10-8-2010_aspousa_PeakOilPicture_Skrebowski_C.pdf and his video http://tv.peak-oil.org/chris-skrebowski-the-peak-oil-picture/ in which he uses a list of oil […] -
![In its recent submission to Infrastructure Australia, the NSW government acknowledges peak oil but proposes a list of projects which does not reflect its own analysis. We read: “2.8 Planning […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/NSW_Sydney_Submission_August2010_p5-115x115.jpg "NSW government acknowledges peak oil but continues business as usual regardless")
NSW government acknowledges peak oil but continues business as usual regardless
Posted on October 19, 2010 | No CommentsIn its recent submission to Infrastructure Australia, the NSW government acknowledges peak oil but proposes a list of projects which does not reflect its own analysis. We read: “2.8 Planning […] -
![Sydney Metro Station Concept Plan First Annual Report for Sydney Metro for the period 27 January to 30 June 2009 https://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/tp/files/13680/Sydney_Metro_Annual_Report_2009.pdf This was my submission: Watch that space – it […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/themes/arras/images/thumbnail.png "Too late for metro tunnels 2009")
Too late for metro tunnels 2009
Posted on October 7, 2010 | No CommentsSydney Metro Station Concept Plan First Annual Report for Sydney Metro for the period 27 January to 30 June 2009 https://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/tp/files/13680/Sydney_Metro_Annual_Report_2009.pdf This was my submission: Watch that space – it […] -
![On the 20th anniversary of German reunification the Spiegel sums up the events in 1990 in this series of articles: An Inside Look at the Reunification Negotiations http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/germany-s-unlikely-diplomatic-triumph-an-inside-look-at-the-reunification-negotiations-a-719848.html Of interest […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/BRD-Oeffentliche-Verschuldung-115x115.gif "Russia’s oil peak and the German reunification")
Russia’s oil peak and the German reunification
Posted on October 4, 2010 | No CommentsOn the 20th anniversary of German reunification the Spiegel sums up the events in 1990 in this series of articles: An Inside Look at the Reunification Negotiations http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/germany-s-unlikely-diplomatic-triumph-an-inside-look-at-the-reunification-negotiations-a-719848.html Of interest […] -
![The September 2010 issue of the magazine “Petroleum in Western Australia” has a graph on WA’s domestic natural gas demand and supplies up to 2030 (“The Outlook for Domestic Gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/WA_PWA_Domestic_Gas_Supply_Demand_2009_2030-115x115.jpg "Where will the natural gas come from for a transition to CNG/LNG as transport fuel?")
Where will the natural gas come from for a transition to CNG/LNG as transport fuel?
Posted on September 29, 2010 | No CommentsThe September 2010 issue of the magazine “Petroleum in Western Australia” has a graph on WA’s domestic natural gas demand and supplies up to 2030 (“The Outlook for Domestic Gas […] -
![In its latest document the RTA fails to present energy calculations to support a business case for the M2 widening. Banks who consider financing this project need first to find […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/m2_upgrade_animation-115x115.jpg "RTA fails to present business case for M2 widening (part 1)")
RTA fails to present business case for M2 widening (part 1)
Posted on September 21, 2010 | No CommentsIn its latest document the RTA fails to present energy calculations to support a business case for the M2 widening. Banks who consider financing this project need first to find […] -
![The new IEA Medium Term Oil Market Report 2010 http://www.iea.org/W/bookshop/add.aspx?id=397 estimates Iran’s oil production capacity will decline by 700 Kb/d by 2015. The above graph shows the change of crude […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/IEA_OPEC_Crude_Incremental_Capacity_2009_2015-115x115.jpg "Iran crude oil production to decline by 700 kbd by 2015; budget neutral oil price $130")
Iran crude oil production to decline by 700 kbd by 2015; budget neutral oil price $130
Posted on July 3, 2010 | No CommentsThe new IEA Medium Term Oil Market Report 2010 http://www.iea.org/W/bookshop/add.aspx?id=397 estimates Iran’s oil production capacity will decline by 700 Kb/d by 2015. The above graph shows the change of crude […]
