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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![No lessons learned from the financial collapse of the Lane Cove Tunnel? Summary: Only days after the financial collapse of the Lane Cove Tunnel the NSW government continues to plan […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/bcr_2004_skm_page22-115x115.jpg "Which bank would now finance more road tunnels?")
Which bank would now finance more road tunnels?
Posted on February 7, 2010 | No CommentsNo lessons learned from the financial collapse of the Lane Cove Tunnel? Summary: Only days after the financial collapse of the Lane Cove Tunnel the NSW government continues to plan […] -
![Summary: Peak oil impacts in various ways on toll-ways financed by debt. As mentioned in a previous post peak oil = peak credit http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=430 This means that it has become […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/20070423lc008-115x115.jpg "Peak oil brought forward moment of truth for Lane Cove Tunnel")
Peak oil brought forward moment of truth for Lane Cove Tunnel
Posted on January 27, 2010 | No CommentsSummary: Peak oil impacts in various ways on toll-ways financed by debt. As mentioned in a previous post peak oil = peak credit http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=430 This means that it has become […] -
![Does he know it now? In July 2008, at the Sydney Writer’s Festival http://www.themonthly.com.au/video/2013/03/24/1364105225/future-liberal-party-part-2 Hardly noticed at the time, this is the video of the day in crikey http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/12/02/peak-oil after Tony […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/newliberalleadertonyabbott_doesnt_know_peak_oil-115x115.jpg "New Liberal leader Tony Abbott did not know what peak oil is")
New Liberal leader Tony Abbott did not know what peak oil is
Posted on December 3, 2009 | No CommentsDoes he know it now? In July 2008, at the Sydney Writer’s Festival http://www.themonthly.com.au/video/2013/03/24/1364105225/future-liberal-party-part-2 Hardly noticed at the time, this is the video of the day in crikey http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/12/02/peak-oil after Tony […] -
![Any volunteers? This is the 2nd post on the best slides shown at the October 2009 ASPO conference http://peak-oil.org/2009-conference-proceedings/ PFC Energy presented a graph showing Chinese oil production arriving at […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/china_oil_production_forecast-115x115.jpg "World needs to save at least 3 mbd by 2020 for China to grow")
World needs to save at least 3 mbd by 2020 for China to grow
Posted on November 9, 2009 | No CommentsAny volunteers? This is the 2nd post on the best slides shown at the October 2009 ASPO conference http://peak-oil.org/2009-conference-proceedings/ PFC Energy presented a graph showing Chinese oil production arriving at […] -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-115x115.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
Posted on August 26, 2009 | No CommentsA sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […] -
![Demand for diesel used would go up 16-fold. The submission proposes to scale down the size of the expansion commensurate with future diesel supplies. The removal of rock requires huge […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/Olympic_Dam_Infrastructure_Demand-115x115.jpg "Submission BHP Olympic Dam mine expansion")
Submission BHP Olympic Dam mine expansion
Posted on August 6, 2009 | No CommentsDemand for diesel used would go up 16-fold. The submission proposes to scale down the size of the expansion commensurate with future diesel supplies. The removal of rock requires huge […] -
![Australia is in the last quarter of its oil age. Geoscience Australia submitted oil production projections to the Senate Inquiry on oil supplies in 2005/06, showing 3 scenarios. http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate_Committees?url=rrat_ctte/completed_inquiries/2004-07/oil_supply/submissions/sub127.pdf Actual […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/EIA_Net_Oil_Exports-115x115.jpg "Australia in last quarter of its oil age")
Australia in last quarter of its oil age
Posted on July 31, 2009 | No CommentsAustralia is in the last quarter of its oil age. Geoscience Australia submitted oil production projections to the Senate Inquiry on oil supplies in 2005/06, showing 3 scenarios. http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate_Committees?url=rrat_ctte/completed_inquiries/2004-07/oil_supply/submissions/sub127.pdf Actual […] -
![The public consultation process of the Energy White Paper has skillfully pushed the peak oil issue out of its terms of reference and tucked it away under “related pages” in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/themes/arras/images/thumbnail.png "Critique ACIL Tasman liquid fuel vulnerability")
Critique ACIL Tasman liquid fuel vulnerability
Posted on May 29, 2009 | No CommentsThe public consultation process of the Energy White Paper has skillfully pushed the peak oil issue out of its terms of reference and tucked it away under “related pages” in […] -
![When going to Coffs Harbour for a peak oil presentation at the Council Chambers in March 2009 I took the XPT to test the rail service. Yes, what you see […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/CoffsHarbourRailLineLookingSouth-115x115.jpg "XPT Sydney – Coffs Harbour vs. Pacific Highway Upgrade")
XPT Sydney – Coffs Harbour vs. Pacific Highway Upgrade
Posted on April 1, 2009 | No CommentsWhen going to Coffs Harbour for a peak oil presentation at the Council Chambers in March 2009 I took the XPT to test the rail service. Yes, what you see […] -
![The Australian Senate conducted an inquiry into Australia’s future oil supply and alternative transport fuels in 2006: http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate/Rural_and_Regional_Affairs_and_Transport/Completed_inquiries/2004-07/oil_supply/report/index This graph is from my submission entitled “Peak oil ante portas, followed […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/4_phases_of_peak_oil_Feb2006-115x115.jpg "Submission 69 to the Senate Inquiry on oil supplies")
Submission 69 to the Senate Inquiry on oil supplies
Posted on February 24, 2006 | No CommentsThe Australian Senate conducted an inquiry into Australia’s future oil supply and alternative transport fuels in 2006: http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate/Rural_and_Regional_Affairs_and_Transport/Completed_inquiries/2004-07/oil_supply/report/index This graph is from my submission entitled “Peak oil ante portas, followed […]
