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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments -
![The US exported 4.2 mb/d of crude oil in the last 12 months to August 2024. Exports have substantially increased after an export ban ended in December 2015. Flashback: This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-exports_2014-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024")
US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024
19 November 2024 8:12 PM | No Comments -
![This post is a continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-crude-oil-imports-by-gravity-and-country-of-origin-part-1 All data are from this website: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbblpd_m.htm Fig 10: US imports from Africa US crude imports from Africa declined dramatically between […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports-top15-excl-Canada-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)
14 November 2024 2:24 PM | No Comments
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Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]
Latest Headlines
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![Report from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Gas-production-VIC-NSW-Moomba-Dec2023-annual.jpg "Peak gas in Victoria, Australia")
Peak gas in Victoria, Australia
Posted on March 28, 2024 | No CommentsReport from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […] -
![Continuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-afternoon-29Feb24-max-demand.jpg "Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity")
Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity
Posted on March 8, 2024 | No CommentsContinuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […] -
![One of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fly-money-fly.jpg "Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket")
Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket
Posted on January 28, 2024 | No CommentsOne of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […] -
![This is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-imports-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […] -
![Tight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-AEMO-LOR2-Notices-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsTight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […] -
![Guided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iraq-crude-production_Jodi_2007-Aug23.jpg "ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)")
ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)
Posted on November 27, 2023 | No CommentsGuided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […] -
![ME-oil-supplies-as-Gaza-war-The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 Oct 2023 was reminiscent of the 1973 Yom Kippur war which triggered the 1st oil crisis (see Appendix) after OPEC imposed an oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi-crude-oil-2002-Sep23-Jodi.jpg "ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 1)")
ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 1)
Posted on October 25, 2023 | No CommentsME-oil-supplies-as-Gaza-war-The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 Oct 2023 was reminiscent of the 1973 Yom Kippur war which triggered the 1st oil crisis (see Appendix) after OPEC imposed an oil […] -
![The Energy Institute published its first Statistical Review on 25 June 2023, thereby replacing the BP Statistical Review https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Let’s have a look at oil production and consumption in South […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-production-South-East-Asia-India-1965-2022.jpg "Peak Oil in South East Asia and India – Part 1 Production and Consumption – Update 2022")
Peak Oil in South East Asia and India – Part 1 Production and Consumption – Update 2022
Posted on July 17, 2023 | No CommentsThe Energy Institute published its first Statistical Review on 25 June 2023, thereby replacing the BP Statistical Review https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Let’s have a look at oil production and consumption in South […] -
![Light festival in Sydney 2023 VIDEO: Vivid Festival kicks off in Sydney https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-26/vivid-festival-kicks-off-in-sydney/102400366 Just a quarter of an hour before Vivid Sydney turned on its lights on 26 May 2023, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vivid-Opera-Sydney.jpg "Vivid Sydney 2023: power price spikes during lack of reserve condition")
Vivid Sydney 2023: power price spikes during lack of reserve condition
Posted on May 31, 2023 | No CommentsLight festival in Sydney 2023 VIDEO: Vivid Festival kicks off in Sydney https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-26/vivid-festival-kicks-off-in-sydney/102400366 Just a quarter of an hour before Vivid Sydney turned on its lights on 26 May 2023, […] -
![This article is an update to a previous post: 8/11/2022 Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45% of Australian diesel imports? http://crudeoilpeak.info/only-3-4-years-to-replace-save-45-of-australian-diesel-imports It incorporates the recently released Defence Strategic Review. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/A-LEOPARD-Tanker-Gore-Hill-Terminal.jpg "Another 3 year warning on Australia’s fuel imports vulnerability")
Another 3 year warning on Australia’s fuel imports vulnerability
Posted on May 9, 2023 | No CommentsThis article is an update to a previous post: 8/11/2022 Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45% of Australian diesel imports? http://crudeoilpeak.info/only-3-4-years-to-replace-save-45-of-australian-diesel-imports It incorporates the recently released Defence Strategic Review. Fig […]
