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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![In part 1 we were looking at BP’s oil field sold (A), for sale (B) or decommissioned (C).That was a sobering experience. In part 2 we analyse fields which are […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Clair-oil-production_2004-Jan2021.jpg "BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 2)")
BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 2)
17 June 2021 8:56 AM | No Comments -
![In this 2nd part we analyze the impact of the generator hall explosion on 25 May 2021 in the Callide power plant in Queensland located 85 kms south west of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-disptach-spot-average-prices_300_May2021.jpg "NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 2)")
NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 2)
14 June 2021 12:23 PM | No Comments -
![Liddell outages, load shedding at the Tomago alu smelter and reduced power imports from Queensland after the generator fire at Callide have caused price spikes in NSW which mean that […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-demand-RRP_1-31May2021.jpg "NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 1)")
NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 1)
07 June 2021 12:01 AM | No Comments -
![The number of arriving and departing passengers on direct flights from/to (mainland) Chinese airports has peaked in 2018 and 2019, BEFORE the corona virus hit in the 1st quarter of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_arrive_depart_pax_AU_2009-2020.jpg "China – Australia passenger traffic has peaked 2018-19 before Covid")
China – Australia passenger traffic has peaked 2018-19 before Covid
22 May 2021 12:45 PM | No Comments -
![West of the Shetland Islands, the battle against oil decline is over for BP. SPGlobal reports: BP halts production at oldest West of Shetland oil facility Foinaven on asset decline […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Foinaven-production_1997-Jan2021.jpg "BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 1)")
BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 1)
30 April 2021 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Gold plated dome of the Sultan Omar Ali Saifuddin Mosque in Bandar Seri Begawan Fig 2: Brunei crude & NGL production. The 2nd and last peak was in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Bandar-Seri-Begawan.jpg "Brunei peak oil – golden opportunity for China’s Belt and Road Initiative")
Brunei peak oil – golden opportunity for China’s Belt and Road Initiative
25 March 2021 3:44 PM | No Comments -
![Exxon Mobil’s Melbourne refinery is closing and will be converted into a fuel import terminal. The Australian public broadcaster has found the right title for its article: Australia loses another […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Exxon_Mobil_net_liquids_production_by_region_2000_2019-36x36.jpg "Exxon Mobil’s refinery closure in Australia: peak oil context")
Exxon Mobil’s refinery closure in Australia: peak oil context
15 February 2021 9:08 PM | No Comments -
![In this 2nd part we use data from the BP Statistical Review (June 2020). BP’s definition of oil is different from OPEC’s crude oil used in part 1. It includes […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/West-African-oil-exports_2001-2019-36x36.jpg "Peak oil in Africa (part 2): Export zero sum game")
Peak oil in Africa (part 2): Export zero sum game
05 February 2021 11:09 AM | No Comments -
![We examine whether OPEC’s quotas for its African members are actually on the production decline path of these countries. OPEC’s quota levels can be found here: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/Voluntary%20Production%20Levels.pdf At present 7 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC_Africa_7countries_2001-2021-36x36.jpg "Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021")
Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021
19 January 2021 2:12 PM | No Comments -
![Feliz Navidad! (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/SC_America_1993-Sep2020-1-36x36.jpg "Peak Oil in South & Central America")
Peak Oil in South & Central America
25 December 2020 1:00 AM | No Comments
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BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 2)
In part 1 we were looking at BP’s oil field sold (A), for sale (B) or decommissioned (C).That was a sobering experience. In part 2 we analyse fields which are […]
Latest Headlines
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![The pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tumut3-Power-station-saved-115x115.jpg "Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020")
Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020
Posted on February 4, 2020 | No CommentsThe pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […] -
![The world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Assad-US-air-base-damage-115x115.png "Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East")
Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East
Posted on January 12, 2020 | No CommentsThe world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […] -
![In part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-consumption_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)
Posted on October 24, 2019 | No CommentsIn part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […] -
![The world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_oil_production_ME_top_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)
Posted on October 16, 2019 | No CommentsThe world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […] -
![Fig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Abqaiq-attack-prayer-time-115x115.jpg "The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar")
The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar
Posted on October 1, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […] -
![Asian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_2005-2018_fill_in-2038-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?")
Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?
Posted on September 10, 2019 | No CommentsAsian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […] -
![This post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_conv-crude_plateau_2005-2018-115x115.jpg "2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq")
2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq
Posted on August 26, 2019 | No CommentsThis post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […] -
![Tankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Front_Altair_13Jun2019-115x115.jpg "Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?")
Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?
Posted on June 21, 2019 | No CommentsTankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […] -
![In the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_crude_production_1994-Dec2018-115x115.jpg "World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005")
World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005
Posted on June 10, 2019 | No CommentsIn the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […] -
![Australia increased its internal oil dependency & vulnerability Let’s summarize what we covered in part 1 and 2 Australian oil production peaked in the year 2000 while oil consumption is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Sydney_airports_demand_forecast_2015-2075-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 3)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 3)
Posted on May 2, 2019 | No CommentsAustralia increased its internal oil dependency & vulnerability Let’s summarize what we covered in part 1 and 2 Australian oil production peaked in the year 2000 while oil consumption is […]
