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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![T3 Bankstown line to close from Monday 26 Sep 2024 The closure of the T3 Bankstown line between Sydenham and Bankstown will begin from Monday 30 September to convert the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Sydney-Rail-Map-annotated.jpg "Sydney is about to close rail line amid high risk of Middle East oil crisis")
Sydney is about to close rail line amid high risk of Middle East oil crisis
27 September 2024 2:24 PM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: OPEC12 crude production peaked 2015-2018 Crude oil in the EIA statistics includes condensate (C&C). The data are around 2.2 mb/d higher than the crude only published in OPEC’s […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-crude-production-1973-Apr2024.jpg "OPEC12 peak 2016-2018")
OPEC12 peak 2016-2018
12 September 2024 4:17 PM | No Comments -
![Given the increase in Middle East tensions after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh on 31 July 2024 in Tehran, it is time to look at Australian oil vulnerabilities Diesel consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_May2024.jpg "Australia’s Diesel import vulnerabilities update May 2024")
Australia’s Diesel import vulnerabilities update May 2024
09 August 2024 3:25 PM | No Comments -
![On 5 August 2024 Australia’s east coast experienced power price spikes in all States, only 5 days after it already happened on 31 July. Prices climbed as high as $17,500/MWh […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-Price-spikes-5Aug24.jpg "More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours")
More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours
07 August 2024 12:32 PM | No Comments -
![The longest price spike periods happened in South Australia after sunset and under low wind conditions, requiring gas fired power to reach 80% in the generation mix. Gas is in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Dispatch-31Jul-10am.jpg "Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States")
Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States
31 July 2024 7:00 PM | No Comments -
![The 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy has been published on 20 June 2024 by the Energy Institute (previously by BP) with data up to 2023. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Oil production in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-oil-crude-oil-production-1965-2023.jpg "Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs")
Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs
24 June 2024 2:19 PM | No Comments -
![This post describes a series of price spikes in NSW which happened between Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th of May 2024. The following Fig 1 and Fig 2 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-by-fuel-7-8May24.jpg "NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024")
NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024
16 May 2024 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Report from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Gas-production-VIC-NSW-Moomba-Dec2023-annual.jpg "Peak gas in Victoria, Australia")
Peak gas in Victoria, Australia
28 March 2024 12:05 PM | No Comments -
![Continuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-afternoon-29Feb24-max-demand.jpg "Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity")
Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity
08 March 2024 11:15 AM | No Comments -
![One of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fly-money-fly.jpg "Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket")
Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket
28 January 2024 12:00 PM | No Comments
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Sydney is about to close rail line amid high risk of Middle East oil crisis
T3 Bankstown line to close from Monday 26 Sep 2024 The closure of the T3 Bankstown line between Sydenham and Bankstown will begin from Monday 30 September to convert the […]
Latest Headlines
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![This is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-imports-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […] -
![Tight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-AEMO-LOR2-Notices-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsTight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […] -
![Guided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iraq-crude-production_Jodi_2007-Aug23.jpg "ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)")
ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)
Posted on November 27, 2023 | No CommentsGuided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […] -
![ME-oil-supplies-as-Gaza-war-The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 Oct 2023 was reminiscent of the 1973 Yom Kippur war which triggered the 1st oil crisis (see Appendix) after OPEC imposed an oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi-crude-oil-2002-Sep23-Jodi.jpg "ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 1)")
ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 1)
Posted on October 25, 2023 | No CommentsME-oil-supplies-as-Gaza-war-The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 Oct 2023 was reminiscent of the 1973 Yom Kippur war which triggered the 1st oil crisis (see Appendix) after OPEC imposed an oil […] -
![The Energy Institute published its first Statistical Review on 25 June 2023, thereby replacing the BP Statistical Review https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Let’s have a look at oil production and consumption in South […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-production-South-East-Asia-India-1965-2022.jpg "Peak Oil in South East Asia and India – Part 1 Production and Consumption – Update 2022")
Peak Oil in South East Asia and India – Part 1 Production and Consumption – Update 2022
Posted on July 17, 2023 | No CommentsThe Energy Institute published its first Statistical Review on 25 June 2023, thereby replacing the BP Statistical Review https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Let’s have a look at oil production and consumption in South […] -
![Light festival in Sydney 2023 VIDEO: Vivid Festival kicks off in Sydney https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-26/vivid-festival-kicks-off-in-sydney/102400366 Just a quarter of an hour before Vivid Sydney turned on its lights on 26 May 2023, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vivid-Opera-Sydney.jpg "Vivid Sydney 2023: power price spikes during lack of reserve condition")
Vivid Sydney 2023: power price spikes during lack of reserve condition
Posted on May 31, 2023 | No CommentsLight festival in Sydney 2023 VIDEO: Vivid Festival kicks off in Sydney https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-26/vivid-festival-kicks-off-in-sydney/102400366 Just a quarter of an hour before Vivid Sydney turned on its lights on 26 May 2023, […] -
![This article is an update to a previous post: 8/11/2022 Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45% of Australian diesel imports? http://crudeoilpeak.info/only-3-4-years-to-replace-save-45-of-australian-diesel-imports It incorporates the recently released Defence Strategic Review. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/A-LEOPARD-Tanker-Gore-Hill-Terminal.jpg "Another 3 year warning on Australia’s fuel imports vulnerability")
Another 3 year warning on Australia’s fuel imports vulnerability
Posted on May 9, 2023 | No CommentsThis article is an update to a previous post: 8/11/2022 Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45% of Australian diesel imports? http://crudeoilpeak.info/only-3-4-years-to-replace-save-45-of-australian-diesel-imports It incorporates the recently released Defence Strategic Review. Fig […] -
![No sooner have passenger numbers picked up after 2 ½ years of disruptions by the Wuhan virus, Fig 1: Sydney Airport passenger numbers https://www.sydneyairport.com.au/corporate/media/corporate-newsroom/sydney-airport-traffic-performance-february-2023 did Australia’s jet fuel imports from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-2019-Jan23.jpg "Australian jet fuel imports from China surge in 4 months to January 2023")
Australian jet fuel imports from China surge in 4 months to January 2023
Posted on April 13, 2023 | No CommentsNo sooner have passenger numbers picked up after 2 ½ years of disruptions by the Wuhan virus, Fig 1: Sydney Airport passenger numbers https://www.sydneyairport.com.au/corporate/media/corporate-newsroom/sydney-airport-traffic-performance-february-2023 did Australia’s jet fuel imports from […] -
![This is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms-generation-16Mar23.jpg "NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions")
NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions
Posted on March 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […] -
![This is part 2 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” I good test of what will happen when Liddell closes permanently end of April 2023 happened on 6 March […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR2-6Mar23.jpg "Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close")
Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close
Posted on March 13, 2023 | No CommentsThis is part 2 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” I good test of what will happen when Liddell closes permanently end of April 2023 happened on 6 March […]
