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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms-generation-16Mar23.jpg "NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions")
NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions
21 March 2023 2:14 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” I good test of what will happen when Liddell closes permanently end of April 2023 happened on 6 March […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR2-6Mar23.jpg "Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close")
Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close
13 March 2023 3:15 PM | No Comments -
![AEMO warns of NSW power gaps within three years, calls for ‘urgent’ investment in grid 21 Feb 2023 New South Wales is set to bear the brunt of reliability risks […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-power-generation-20Feb23.jpg "Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)")
Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)
08 March 2023 10:58 AM | No Comments -
![The Premier State of NSW continues to plan, approve, build and commission one energy consuming structure after the other: skyscrapers in the Sydney and Parramatta CBDs, apartment towers plus associated […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-restacked-28Jan2023.jpg "When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own")
When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own
30 January 2023 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is an update to a post of December 2018 Fig 1: Qatar crude & condensate, NGPLs and other liquids Data are from the Energy Information Administration (starting in 1993) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qatar-crude-condensate-NGPL-EIA_Jan1993-Aug2022.jpg "Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)")
Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)
18 December 2022 10:29 AM | No Comments -
![OPEC entered the 1st Covid year 2020 with reference production data and “voluntary adjustments” which were set by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on 18 Jan 2019. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/5357.htm Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi-Arabia-quotas-Brent-Covid-Oct22.jpg "OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid")
OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid
11 December 2022 2:03 PM | No Comments -
![As the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia_diesel_sales_imports_2010-Aug2022.jpg "Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?")
Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?
08 November 2022 1:00 PM | No Comments -
![In a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Mannering_Great-Northern-and-Fassifern-seams_2017.jpg "Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?")
Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?
07 October 2022 10:58 AM | No Comments -
![This gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/MEC-Resources-Sydney-basin-gas-Mar-2009.jpg "Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard")
Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard
17 August 2022 11:30 AM | No Comments -
![Australia imported 17% of its diesel from Taiwan in May 2022, while the 12 month moving average was 9% Fig 1: Australian diesel imports since Sep 2020 Australian fuel importers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-diesel-imports-Sep20-May22.jpg "Australian diesel imports from Taiwan May 2022")
Australian diesel imports from Taiwan May 2022
05 August 2022 12:26 PM | No Comments
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NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions
This is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […]
Latest Headlines
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![The moment of the truth has arrived. The media is still beating around the bush, avoiding to mention the “P” word. The symptoms of peaking: • Conventional gas production maxed […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iona-gas-hub-supply-demand-1-26-Jul22.jpg "Conventional gas peak in Victoria (part 1) AEMO intervention July 2022")
Conventional gas peak in Victoria (part 1) AEMO intervention July 2022
Posted on July 30, 2022 | No CommentsThe moment of the truth has arrived. The media is still beating around the bush, avoiding to mention the “P” word. The symptoms of peaking: • Conventional gas production maxed […] -
![15 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) The Australian public is finally waking up. Not because of academic debate in the social media but by the threat of power cuts. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closures_to_2026-115x115.jpg "Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 2: NSW coal plants maxed out)")
Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 2: NSW coal plants maxed out)
Posted on June 15, 2022 | No Comments15 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) The Australian public is finally waking up. Not because of academic debate in the social media but by the threat of power cuts. […] -
![10 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) These are typical headlines in the current situation: Australians ‘panicking’ as power prices skyrocket, consumer advocates say 2 June 2022 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/energy-ministers-meet-to-discuss-rising-prices-gas-electricity/101133630 Short-term relief […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_Demand-Generation-spot-price_31May22-115x115.jpg "Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 1: NSW demand peaks)")
Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 1: NSW demand peaks)
Posted on June 10, 2022 | No Comments10 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) These are typical headlines in the current situation: Australians ‘panicking’ as power prices skyrocket, consumer advocates say 2 June 2022 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/energy-ministers-meet-to-discuss-rising-prices-gas-electricity/101133630 Short-term relief […] -
![In March 2022 Australia’s petroleum product imports have reached almost AU$ 4 bn per month, an increase of 70% compared to December 2019. Fig 1: Petroleum product imports by volume […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-product-imports-value-volumes_2010-22-115x115.jpg "Australian fuel import bill going sky-high")
Australian fuel import bill going sky-high
Posted on May 25, 2022 | No CommentsIn March 2022 Australia’s petroleum product imports have reached almost AU$ 4 bn per month, an increase of 70% compared to December 2019. Fig 1: Petroleum product imports by volume […] -
![According to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-incremental-crude-2016-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)")
Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)
Posted on May 3, 2022 | No CommentsAccording to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […] -
![Using latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_Crude_Production_1973-Nov2021-115x115.jpg "Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021")
Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021
Posted on March 30, 2022 | No CommentsUsing latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […] -
![The IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_diesel_stocks_Jul2010-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Australian oil stocks consumption cover")
Australian oil stocks consumption cover
Posted on March 22, 2022 | No CommentsThe IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […] -
![Pic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia_crude_prod-exports_2002-Nov21-1-115x115.jpg "Russian oil production update Nov 2021")
Russian oil production update Nov 2021
Posted on February 28, 2022 | No CommentsPic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […] -
![Diesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Sep-2021.jpg "Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data")
Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 10, 2021 | No CommentsDiesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […] -
![Fig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Sep2021_by_country.jpg "Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data")
Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 9, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […]
