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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments -
![The US exported 4.2 mb/d of crude oil in the last 12 months to August 2024. Exports have substantially increased after an export ban ended in December 2015. Flashback: This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-exports_2014-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024")
US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024
19 November 2024 8:12 PM | No Comments -
![This post is a continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-crude-oil-imports-by-gravity-and-country-of-origin-part-1 All data are from this website: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbblpd_m.htm Fig 10: US imports from Africa US crude imports from Africa declined dramatically between […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports-top15-excl-Canada-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)
14 November 2024 2:24 PM | No Comments
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Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]
Latest Headlines
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![No sooner have passenger numbers picked up after 2 ½ years of disruptions by the Wuhan virus, Fig 1: Sydney Airport passenger numbers https://www.sydneyairport.com.au/corporate/media/corporate-newsroom/sydney-airport-traffic-performance-february-2023 did Australia’s jet fuel imports from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-2019-Jan23.jpg "Australian jet fuel imports from China surge in 4 months to January 2023")
Australian jet fuel imports from China surge in 4 months to January 2023
Posted on April 13, 2023 | No CommentsNo sooner have passenger numbers picked up after 2 ½ years of disruptions by the Wuhan virus, Fig 1: Sydney Airport passenger numbers https://www.sydneyairport.com.au/corporate/media/corporate-newsroom/sydney-airport-traffic-performance-february-2023 did Australia’s jet fuel imports from […] -
![This is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms-generation-16Mar23.jpg "NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions")
NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions
Posted on March 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […] -
![This is part 2 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” I good test of what will happen when Liddell closes permanently end of April 2023 happened on 6 March […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR2-6Mar23.jpg "Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close")
Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close
Posted on March 13, 2023 | No CommentsThis is part 2 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” I good test of what will happen when Liddell closes permanently end of April 2023 happened on 6 March […] -
![AEMO warns of NSW power gaps within three years, calls for ‘urgent’ investment in grid 21 Feb 2023 New South Wales is set to bear the brunt of reliability risks […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-power-generation-20Feb23.jpg "Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)")
Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)
Posted on March 8, 2023 | No CommentsAEMO warns of NSW power gaps within three years, calls for ‘urgent’ investment in grid 21 Feb 2023 New South Wales is set to bear the brunt of reliability risks […] -
![The Premier State of NSW continues to plan, approve, build and commission one energy consuming structure after the other: skyscrapers in the Sydney and Parramatta CBDs, apartment towers plus associated […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-restacked-28Jan2023.jpg "When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own")
When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own
Posted on January 30, 2023 | No CommentsThe Premier State of NSW continues to plan, approve, build and commission one energy consuming structure after the other: skyscrapers in the Sydney and Parramatta CBDs, apartment towers plus associated […] -
![This is an update to a post of December 2018 Fig 1: Qatar crude & condensate, NGPLs and other liquids Data are from the Energy Information Administration (starting in 1993) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qatar-crude-condensate-NGPL-EIA_Jan1993-Aug2022.jpg "Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)")
Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)
Posted on December 18, 2022 | No CommentsThis is an update to a post of December 2018 Fig 1: Qatar crude & condensate, NGPLs and other liquids Data are from the Energy Information Administration (starting in 1993) […] -
![OPEC entered the 1st Covid year 2020 with reference production data and “voluntary adjustments” which were set by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on 18 Jan 2019. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/5357.htm Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi-Arabia-quotas-Brent-Covid-Oct22.jpg "OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid")
OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid
Posted on December 11, 2022 | No CommentsOPEC entered the 1st Covid year 2020 with reference production data and “voluntary adjustments” which were set by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on 18 Jan 2019. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/5357.htm Fig […] -
![As the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia_diesel_sales_imports_2010-Aug2022.jpg "Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?")
Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?
Posted on November 8, 2022 | No CommentsAs the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate […] -
![In a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Mannering_Great-Northern-and-Fassifern-seams_2017.jpg "Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?")
Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?
Posted on October 7, 2022 | No CommentsIn a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired […] -
![This gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/MEC-Resources-Sydney-basin-gas-Mar-2009.jpg "Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard")
Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard
Posted on August 17, 2022 | No CommentsThis gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison […]
