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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![Continued from previous post Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019 20 Oct 2024 https://crudeoilpeak.info/non-opec-10-oil-production-plateau-ended-2019 Now let’s check how actual production compares to OPEC quotas. The focus here is on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia-crude-vs-OPEC-quotas-Dec2018-Jun2024.jpg "Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024")
Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024
Posted on October 31, 2024 | No CommentsContinued from previous post Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019 20 Oct 2024 https://crudeoilpeak.info/non-opec-10-oil-production-plateau-ended-2019 Now let’s check how actual production compares to OPEC quotas. The focus here is on […] -
![In December 2016, OPEC signed an agreement with 10 non-OPEC oil-producing countries to form OPEC+ in response to falling oil prices. “The joint conference noted that OPEC Member Countries met on 30 November 2016 and decided to implement a production adjustment of 1.2 million barrels a day, effective from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-Plus-crude-production-1973-Apr2024.jpg "Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019")
Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019
Posted on October 20, 2024 | No CommentsIn December 2016, OPEC signed an agreement with 10 non-OPEC oil-producing countries to form OPEC+ in response to falling oil prices. “The joint conference noted that OPEC Member Countries met on 30 November 2016 and decided to implement a production adjustment of 1.2 million barrels a day, effective from […] -
![T3 Bankstown line to close from Monday 26 Sep 2024 The closure of the T3 Bankstown line between Sydenham and Bankstown will begin from Monday 30 September to convert the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Sydney-Rail-Map-annotated.jpg "Sydney is about to close rail line amid high risk of Middle East oil crisis")
Sydney is about to close rail line amid high risk of Middle East oil crisis
Posted on September 27, 2024 | No CommentsT3 Bankstown line to close from Monday 26 Sep 2024 The closure of the T3 Bankstown line between Sydenham and Bankstown will begin from Monday 30 September to convert the […] -
![Fig 1: OPEC12 crude production peaked 2015-2018 Crude oil in the EIA statistics includes condensate (C&C). The data are around 2.2 mb/d higher than the crude only published in OPEC’s […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-crude-production-1973-Apr2024.jpg "OPEC12 peak 2016-2018")
OPEC12 peak 2016-2018
Posted on September 12, 2024 | No CommentsFig 1: OPEC12 crude production peaked 2015-2018 Crude oil in the EIA statistics includes condensate (C&C). The data are around 2.2 mb/d higher than the crude only published in OPEC’s […] -
![Given the increase in Middle East tensions after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh on 31 July 2024 in Tehran, it is time to look at Australian oil vulnerabilities Diesel consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_May2024.jpg "Australia’s Diesel import vulnerabilities update May 2024")
Australia’s Diesel import vulnerabilities update May 2024
Posted on August 9, 2024 | No CommentsGiven the increase in Middle East tensions after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh on 31 July 2024 in Tehran, it is time to look at Australian oil vulnerabilities Diesel consumption […] -
![On 5 August 2024 Australia’s east coast experienced power price spikes in all States, only 5 days after it already happened on 31 July. Prices climbed as high as $17,500/MWh […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-Price-spikes-5Aug24.jpg "More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours")
More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours
Posted on August 7, 2024 | No CommentsOn 5 August 2024 Australia’s east coast experienced power price spikes in all States, only 5 days after it already happened on 31 July. Prices climbed as high as $17,500/MWh […] -
![The longest price spike periods happened in South Australia after sunset and under low wind conditions, requiring gas fired power to reach 80% in the generation mix. Gas is in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Dispatch-31Jul-10am.jpg "Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States")
Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States
Posted on July 31, 2024 | No CommentsThe longest price spike periods happened in South Australia after sunset and under low wind conditions, requiring gas fired power to reach 80% in the generation mix. Gas is in […] -
![The 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy has been published on 20 June 2024 by the Energy Institute (previously by BP) with data up to 2023. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Oil production in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-oil-crude-oil-production-1965-2023.jpg "Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs")
Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs
Posted on June 24, 2024 | No CommentsThe 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy has been published on 20 June 2024 by the Energy Institute (previously by BP) with data up to 2023. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Oil production in […] -
![This post describes a series of price spikes in NSW which happened between Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th of May 2024. The following Fig 1 and Fig 2 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-by-fuel-7-8May24.jpg "NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024")
NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024
Posted on May 16, 2024 | No CommentsThis post describes a series of price spikes in NSW which happened between Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th of May 2024. The following Fig 1 and Fig 2 […] -
![Report from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Gas-production-VIC-NSW-Moomba-Dec2023-annual.jpg "Peak gas in Victoria, Australia")
Peak gas in Victoria, Australia
Posted on March 28, 2024 | No CommentsReport from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […]
