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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments -
![The US exported 4.2 mb/d of crude oil in the last 12 months to August 2024. Exports have substantially increased after an export ban ended in December 2015. Flashback: This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-exports_2014-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024")
US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024
19 November 2024 8:12 PM | No Comments -
![This post is a continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-crude-oil-imports-by-gravity-and-country-of-origin-part-1 All data are from this website: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbblpd_m.htm Fig 10: US imports from Africa US crude imports from Africa declined dramatically between […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports-top15-excl-Canada-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)
14 November 2024 2:24 PM | No Comments -
![Despite a boom in shale oil production, the US is still importing 6.6 mb/d of crude oil. while also exporting 4.2 mb/d, resulting in a net import of 2.4 mb […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports_1965-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)
14 November 2024 10:37 AM | No Comments -
![Continued from previous post Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019 20 Oct 2024 https://crudeoilpeak.info/non-opec-10-oil-production-plateau-ended-2019 Now let’s check how actual production compares to OPEC quotas. The focus here is on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia-crude-vs-OPEC-quotas-Dec2018-Jun2024.jpg "Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024")
Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024
31 October 2024 4:00 PM | No Comments -
![In December 2016, OPEC signed an agreement with 10 non-OPEC oil-producing countries to form OPEC+ in response to falling oil prices. “The joint conference noted that OPEC Member Countries met on 30 November 2016 and decided to implement a production adjustment of 1.2 million barrels a day, effective from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-Plus-crude-production-1973-Apr2024.jpg "Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019")
Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019
20 October 2024 5:02 PM | No Comments
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Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]
Latest Headlines
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![AEMO warns of NSW power gaps within three years, calls for ‘urgent’ investment in grid 21 Feb 2023 New South Wales is set to bear the brunt of reliability risks […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-power-generation-20Feb23.jpg "Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)")
Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)
Posted on March 8, 2023 | No CommentsAEMO warns of NSW power gaps within three years, calls for ‘urgent’ investment in grid 21 Feb 2023 New South Wales is set to bear the brunt of reliability risks […] -
![The Premier State of NSW continues to plan, approve, build and commission one energy consuming structure after the other: skyscrapers in the Sydney and Parramatta CBDs, apartment towers plus associated […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-restacked-28Jan2023.jpg "When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own")
When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own
Posted on January 30, 2023 | No CommentsThe Premier State of NSW continues to plan, approve, build and commission one energy consuming structure after the other: skyscrapers in the Sydney and Parramatta CBDs, apartment towers plus associated […] -
![This is an update to a post of December 2018 Fig 1: Qatar crude & condensate, NGPLs and other liquids Data are from the Energy Information Administration (starting in 1993) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qatar-crude-condensate-NGPL-EIA_Jan1993-Aug2022.jpg "Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)")
Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)
Posted on December 18, 2022 | No CommentsThis is an update to a post of December 2018 Fig 1: Qatar crude & condensate, NGPLs and other liquids Data are from the Energy Information Administration (starting in 1993) […] -
![OPEC entered the 1st Covid year 2020 with reference production data and “voluntary adjustments” which were set by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on 18 Jan 2019. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/5357.htm Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi-Arabia-quotas-Brent-Covid-Oct22.jpg "OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid")
OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid
Posted on December 11, 2022 | No CommentsOPEC entered the 1st Covid year 2020 with reference production data and “voluntary adjustments” which were set by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on 18 Jan 2019. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/5357.htm Fig […] -
![As the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia_diesel_sales_imports_2010-Aug2022.jpg "Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?")
Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?
Posted on November 8, 2022 | No CommentsAs the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate […] -
![In a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Mannering_Great-Northern-and-Fassifern-seams_2017.jpg "Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?")
Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?
Posted on October 7, 2022 | No CommentsIn a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired […] -
![This gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/MEC-Resources-Sydney-basin-gas-Mar-2009.jpg "Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard")
Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard
Posted on August 17, 2022 | No CommentsThis gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison […] -
![Australia imported 17% of its diesel from Taiwan in May 2022, while the 12 month moving average was 9% Fig 1: Australian diesel imports since Sep 2020 Australian fuel importers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-diesel-imports-Sep20-May22.jpg "Australian diesel imports from Taiwan May 2022")
Australian diesel imports from Taiwan May 2022
Posted on August 5, 2022 | No CommentsAustralia imported 17% of its diesel from Taiwan in May 2022, while the 12 month moving average was 9% Fig 1: Australian diesel imports since Sep 2020 Australian fuel importers […] -
![The moment of the truth has arrived. The media is still beating around the bush, avoiding to mention the “P” word. The symptoms of peaking: • Conventional gas production maxed […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iona-gas-hub-supply-demand-1-26-Jul22.jpg "Conventional gas peak in Victoria (part 1) AEMO intervention July 2022")
Conventional gas peak in Victoria (part 1) AEMO intervention July 2022
Posted on July 30, 2022 | No CommentsThe moment of the truth has arrived. The media is still beating around the bush, avoiding to mention the “P” word. The symptoms of peaking: • Conventional gas production maxed […] -
![15 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) The Australian public is finally waking up. Not because of academic debate in the social media but by the threat of power cuts. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closures_to_2026-115x115.jpg "Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 2: NSW coal plants maxed out)")
Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 2: NSW coal plants maxed out)
Posted on June 15, 2022 | No Comments15 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) The Australian public is finally waking up. Not because of academic debate in the social media but by the threat of power cuts. […]
