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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This week’s fuel update – usually on a Saturday – was done by the Prime Minister himself in a press conference which was mainly about Islamophobia. Yes, a completely different […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-excl-extra-4Apr-18Jul2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel and oil orders on 18 July 2026 are among the 2 lowest since public records started in April 2026")
Australian forward fuel and oil orders on 18 July 2026 are among the 2 lowest since public records started in April 2026
19 July 2026 12:19 PM | No Comments -
![Education Minister Clare – sent by Energy Minister Bowen to do the usual Saturday fuel update – was not well prepared and had to take a journalist’s question about fuel […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-7July2026.jpg "Australian Energy Minister sends replacement Minister who can’t answer journalist’s questions on fuel supplies in August – October")
Australian Energy Minister sends replacement Minister who can’t answer journalist’s questions on fuel supplies in August – October
11 July 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![In the previous update a week earlier on 27/6/26 released in front of the Energy Minister’s electoral office in Fairfield a journo asked 2 important questions JOURNALIST: “And just on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Chris-Bowen-press-conference-4Jul26.jpg "Energy Minister’s Fuel Update avoids statement on tanker GRAND WINNER 5 now idling offshore for 1 month and omits breakdown of forward fuel orders")
Energy Minister’s Fuel Update avoids statement on tanker GRAND WINNER 5 now idling offshore for 1 month and omits breakdown of forward fuel orders
05 July 2026 11:34 PM | No Comments -
![On Sat. 27th June 2026 10 am the Australian Energy Minister gave his weekly update on fuel supplies to a small group of journos in front of his electoral office […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Sydney-27Jun26-1.jpg "Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders")
Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders
28 June 2026 10:02 AM | No Comments -
![Tanker GRAND WINNER 5 (IMO 9906714) departed the South Korean port of Yeosu on 17th of May with around 50 ML of fuel, scheduled to arrive 2nd June. This website […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/GRAND-WINNER-5-KR-YOS-offshore-17-Jun26.jpg "The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney")
The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney
23 June 2026 10:46 AM | No Comments -
![Press Conference 20/6/26 9:20 am PRIME MINISTER: “Today I can announce that Export Finance Australia (EFA) has secured an additional 50 ML of diesel and that this shipment is now […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Botany-Bay-BTB1-and-BTB2.jpg "Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders")
Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders
20 June 2026 9:07 PM | No Comments -
![Summary Stock of fuel reached record levels, but the future of fuel orders is unclear. We need to continue to monitor this because we cannot know what will happen in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Order-book-EFA-supported_30May26.jpg "Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026")
Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026
14 June 2026 8:11 PM | No Comments -
![MSO =Minimum (Fuel) Stock Obligation Summary list of questions After last week’s MSO update a number of questions still remain open: An order of 3 cargos of jet fuel (100 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-6June.jpg "Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update")
Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update
09 June 2026 3:50 PM | No Comments -
![Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-incl-extra-4Apr-30May-2026.jpg "Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months")
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
01 June 2026 11:44 AM | No Comments -
![Australian diesel import update March 2026 In the previous post it was highlighted that forward diesel orders (19 May 2026) were at 2,350 ML per month. If the geopolitical situation […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-imports-vs-forward-orders-19May26.jpg "Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026")
Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026
29 May 2026 9:00 PM | No Comments
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Australian forward fuel and oil orders on 18 July 2026 are among the 2 lowest since public records started in April 2026
This week’s fuel update – usually on a Saturday – was done by the Prime Minister himself in a press conference which was mainly about Islamophobia. Yes, a completely different […]
Latest Headlines
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![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
Posted on December 3, 2025 | No CommentsAustralia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […] -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
Posted on November 10, 2025 | No CommentsIn October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […] -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
Posted on October 21, 2025 | No CommentsThis is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […] -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
Posted on October 18, 2025 | No CommentsWeather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […] -
![Fig 1: Asia Pacific oil production 1965 – 2024 Fig 2: China oil production vs consumption Fig 3: India oil production vs consumption Fig 4: Indonesia oil production vs consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia-Pacific-oil-production-by-country-1965-2024.jpg "Peak oil in Asia 2024 update")
Peak oil in Asia 2024 update
Posted on September 7, 2025 | No CommentsFig 1: Asia Pacific oil production 1965 – 2024 Fig 2: China oil production vs consumption Fig 3: India oil production vs consumption Fig 4: Indonesia oil production vs consumption […] -
![This post will be updated from time to time https://treasury.gov.au/review/economic-reform-roundtable Energy is the economy and the economy is energy On the eve of the talkfest: 128570 RESERVE NOTICE 18/08/2025 05:43:38 PM […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Productivity-Roundtable.jpg "Australian Productivity Roundtable: coal fired for now with solar outlook")
Australian Productivity Roundtable: coal fired for now with solar outlook
Posted on August 19, 2025 | No CommentsThis post will be updated from time to time https://treasury.gov.au/review/economic-reform-roundtable Energy is the economy and the economy is energy On the eve of the talkfest: 128570 RESERVE NOTICE 18/08/2025 05:43:38 PM […] -
![This is the continuation of the previous post. https://crudeoilpeak.info/premier-nsw-energy-guzzler-in-winter-coal-plants-running-at-90-capacity-during-critical-evening-periods Fig 1: Another cold and rainy winter day We are supposed to electrify with renewables and energy storage. https://smartlifestyleaustralia.com.au/electrification-australias-path-to-lower-carbon-emissions But in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-12-13Aug2025.jpg "Sydney’s wintry midnight electrification 12-13th August 2025 based on coal")
Sydney’s wintry midnight electrification 12-13th August 2025 based on coal
Posted on August 16, 2025 | No CommentsThis is the continuation of the previous post. https://crudeoilpeak.info/premier-nsw-energy-guzzler-in-winter-coal-plants-running-at-90-capacity-during-critical-evening-periods Fig 1: Another cold and rainy winter day We are supposed to electrify with renewables and energy storage. https://smartlifestyleaustralia.com.au/electrification-australias-path-to-lower-carbon-emissions But in […] -
![In winter afternoons and evenings coal fired power plants are running >90% of capacity for 64% of the time. Fig 1: NSW generation by fuel type July 2025 https://explore.openelectricity.org.au/energy/nsw1/?range=30d&interval=1d&view=discrete-time&group=Detailed Coal […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-generation-July2025.jpg "Premier NSW energy guzzler in winter: coal plants running at 90 % capacity during critical evening periods")
Premier NSW energy guzzler in winter: coal plants running at 90 % capacity during critical evening periods
Posted on August 3, 2025 | No CommentsIn winter afternoons and evenings coal fired power plants are running >90% of capacity for 64% of the time. Fig 1: NSW generation by fuel type July 2025 https://explore.openelectricity.org.au/energy/nsw1/?range=30d&interval=1d&view=discrete-time&group=Detailed Coal […] -
![Fig 1: Australian petrol imports We can see that petrol imports from Singapore almost tripled after 2020/21 when the Wuhan virus hit. However, Singapore’s refinery output has not increased. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_petrol_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian petrol import dependency April 2025 Update")
Australian petrol import dependency April 2025 Update
Posted on July 21, 2025 | No CommentsFig 1: Australian petrol imports We can see that petrol imports from Singapore almost tripled after 2020/21 when the Wuhan virus hit. However, Singapore’s refinery output has not increased. Fig […] -
![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
Posted on June 30, 2025 | No CommentsThis is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
