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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-incl-extra-4Apr-30May-2026.jpg "Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months")
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
01 June 2026 11:44 AM | No Comments -
![Australian diesel import update March 2026 In the previous post it was highlighted that forward diesel orders (19 May 2026) were at 2,350 ML per month. If the geopolitical situation […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-imports-vs-forward-orders-19May26.jpg "Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026")
Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026
29 May 2026 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![(1) Forward Orders Press conference, Sydney, New South Wales 23 May 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: Thanks for coming, everyone. I’m very pleased today to give the weekly Saturday petrol update. … We […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-19May2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum")
Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum
24 May 2026 11:15 PM | No Comments -
![This post turns information given to the media into easily understandable time line graphs. It includes implied and inconvenient facts the Energy Minister did not mention in: Press conference – […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-excl-extra-4Apr-16May-2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dopped by 12 % from previous week")
Australian forward fuel orders dopped by 12 % from previous week
18 May 2026 6:39 PM | No Comments -
![Same procedure every Saturday. First, a new chart appears on the DCCEEW website Fig 1: New weekly MSO chart for Tuesday, 28 Apr 2026 https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics On this basis we can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Coral-Sea-10May26.jpg "Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ")
Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ
12 May 2026 11:55 AM | No Comments -
![On 2nd May the Australian Energy Minister released new data on fuel stocks, past tanker arrivals and tankers on the way. This MSO chart was published Saturday morning Fig 1: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Shiploads-received-vs-fuel-stocks-3Mar-28Apr26.jpg "Australia needs a higher number of tankers to meet fuel import requirements")
Australia needs a higher number of tankers to meet fuel import requirements
07 May 2026 10:37 AM | No Comments -
![This post will show how the Australian government has introduced new dimensions in oil statistics which will hopefully lead to the dawning of the Age of “let the diesel in”. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-Apr-2026.jpg "Australia’s 5th Dimension in securing diesel supplies")
Australia’s 5th Dimension in securing diesel supplies
30 April 2026 12:16 PM | No Comments -
![Remember this: 15/4/26 ABC News finance report, including a picture of the “armada” of diesel tankers heading for Australia: Fig 1: Diesel Armada heading for Australia https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-15/wednesday-finance-with-alan-kohler/106568156 Just as NORD […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-tankers-from-US-Apr-May26.jpg "Alan Kohler’s Diesel Armada has hit Sydney")
Alan Kohler’s Diesel Armada has hit Sydney
22 April 2026 4:19 PM | No Comments -
![An update to the Minimum Stockholding Obligation has been published today: Fig 1: Chart published by the DCCEEW https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics#download …and presented by the Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Energy Minister […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Comparison-MSO-APS-stock-levels-14Apr2026.jpg "Australian diesel stocks stabilized mid April 2026")
Australian diesel stocks stabilized mid April 2026
18 April 2026 3:46 PM | No Comments -
![Where has all the diesel gone? The moment of the truth for monthly fuel stock taking: Stocks at beginning of month + Imports – Exports + Refinery output – Sales […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-monthly-diesel-stock-change-Jan2025-1.jpg "Discrepancies in diesel sales and stocks in the Australian Petroleum Statistics")
Discrepancies in diesel sales and stocks in the Australian Petroleum Statistics
13 April 2026 5:48 PM | No Comments
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Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]
Latest Headlines
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![Given the increase in Middle East tensions after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh on 31 July 2024 in Tehran, it is time to look at Australian oil vulnerabilities Diesel consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_May2024.jpg "Australia’s Diesel import vulnerabilities update May 2024")
Australia’s Diesel import vulnerabilities update May 2024
Posted on August 9, 2024 | No CommentsGiven the increase in Middle East tensions after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh on 31 July 2024 in Tehran, it is time to look at Australian oil vulnerabilities Diesel consumption […] -
![On 5 August 2024 Australia’s east coast experienced power price spikes in all States, only 5 days after it already happened on 31 July. Prices climbed as high as $17,500/MWh […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-Price-spikes-5Aug24.jpg "More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours")
More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours
Posted on August 7, 2024 | No CommentsOn 5 August 2024 Australia’s east coast experienced power price spikes in all States, only 5 days after it already happened on 31 July. Prices climbed as high as $17,500/MWh […] -
![The longest price spike periods happened in South Australia after sunset and under low wind conditions, requiring gas fired power to reach 80% in the generation mix. Gas is in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Dispatch-31Jul-10am.jpg "Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States")
Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States
Posted on July 31, 2024 | No CommentsThe longest price spike periods happened in South Australia after sunset and under low wind conditions, requiring gas fired power to reach 80% in the generation mix. Gas is in […] -
![The 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy has been published on 20 June 2024 by the Energy Institute (previously by BP) with data up to 2023. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Oil production in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-oil-crude-oil-production-1965-2023.jpg "Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs")
Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs
Posted on June 24, 2024 | No CommentsThe 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy has been published on 20 June 2024 by the Energy Institute (previously by BP) with data up to 2023. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Oil production in […] -
![This post describes a series of price spikes in NSW which happened between Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th of May 2024. The following Fig 1 and Fig 2 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-by-fuel-7-8May24.jpg "NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024")
NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024
Posted on May 16, 2024 | No CommentsThis post describes a series of price spikes in NSW which happened between Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th of May 2024. The following Fig 1 and Fig 2 […] -
![Report from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Gas-production-VIC-NSW-Moomba-Dec2023-annual.jpg "Peak gas in Victoria, Australia")
Peak gas in Victoria, Australia
Posted on March 28, 2024 | No CommentsReport from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […] -
![Continuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-afternoon-29Feb24-max-demand.jpg "Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity")
Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity
Posted on March 8, 2024 | No CommentsContinuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […] -
![One of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fly-money-fly.jpg "Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket")
Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket
Posted on January 28, 2024 | No CommentsOne of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […] -
![This is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-imports-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […] -
![Tight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-AEMO-LOR2-Notices-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsTight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […]
