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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![This is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms-generation-16Mar23.jpg "NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions")
NSW power supply on 16 March 2023 so tight that AEMO had to issue emergency response directions
Posted on March 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is part 3 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” The 16th of March 2023 was the 2nd hottest day in a late summer in NSW. Fig 1: Temperatures […] -
![This is part 2 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” I good test of what will happen when Liddell closes permanently end of April 2023 happened on 6 March […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR2-6Mar23.jpg "Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close")
Lack of reserve on hot day in NSW as Liddell power plant is scheduled to close
Posted on March 13, 2023 | No CommentsThis is part 2 of the series “Can NSW replace Liddell?” I good test of what will happen when Liddell closes permanently end of April 2023 happened on 6 March […] -
![AEMO warns of NSW power gaps within three years, calls for ‘urgent’ investment in grid 21 Feb 2023 New South Wales is set to bear the brunt of reliability risks […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-power-generation-20Feb23.jpg "Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)")
Can NSW replace Liddell? (part 1)
Posted on March 8, 2023 | No CommentsAEMO warns of NSW power gaps within three years, calls for ‘urgent’ investment in grid 21 Feb 2023 New South Wales is set to bear the brunt of reliability risks […] -
![The Premier State of NSW continues to plan, approve, build and commission one energy consuming structure after the other: skyscrapers in the Sydney and Parramatta CBDs, apartment towers plus associated […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-restacked-28Jan2023.jpg "When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own")
When the sun sets in Queensland, energy guzzler NSW is on its own
Posted on January 30, 2023 | No CommentsThe Premier State of NSW continues to plan, approve, build and commission one energy consuming structure after the other: skyscrapers in the Sydney and Parramatta CBDs, apartment towers plus associated […] -
![This is an update to a post of December 2018 Fig 1: Qatar crude & condensate, NGPLs and other liquids Data are from the Energy Information Administration (starting in 1993) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qatar-crude-condensate-NGPL-EIA_Jan1993-Aug2022.jpg "Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)")
Qatar peak oil and gas (update Aug 2022 data)
Posted on December 18, 2022 | No CommentsThis is an update to a post of December 2018 Fig 1: Qatar crude & condensate, NGPLs and other liquids Data are from the Energy Information Administration (starting in 1993) […] -
![OPEC entered the 1st Covid year 2020 with reference production data and “voluntary adjustments” which were set by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on 18 Jan 2019. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/5357.htm Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi-Arabia-quotas-Brent-Covid-Oct22.jpg "OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid")
OPEC 10 crude production and quotas during Covid
Posted on December 11, 2022 | No CommentsOPEC entered the 1st Covid year 2020 with reference production data and “voluntary adjustments” which were set by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on 18 Jan 2019. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/5357.htm Fig […] -
![As the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia_diesel_sales_imports_2010-Aug2022.jpg "Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?")
Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45 % of Australian diesel imports?
Posted on November 8, 2022 | No CommentsAs the US Air Force prepares to deploy B 52 Bombers in Darwin https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380 Fig 1: The ranges of missiles are likely to increase The PLA has 2,500 short, intermediate […] -
![In a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Mannering_Great-Northern-and-Fassifern-seams_2017.jpg "Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?")
Sale of Vales Point: How will Czech brown coal baron Pavel Tykac with business registered in Liechtenstein impact on NSW coal and energy markets?
Posted on October 7, 2022 | No CommentsIn a bizarre twist of NSW electricity privatization one of the State’s coal plants – which have allowed Sydney to grow beyond its sustainable size – has been quietly acquired […] -
![This gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/MEC-Resources-Sydney-basin-gas-Mar-2009.jpg "Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard")
Australia’s gas fired recovery but not in the Prime Minister’s election back yard
Posted on August 17, 2022 | No CommentsThis gas story is about the former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the pitfalls created by a flawed energy policy since John Howard EVENT OF THE DAY Scott Morrison […] -
![Australia imported 17% of its diesel from Taiwan in May 2022, while the 12 month moving average was 9% Fig 1: Australian diesel imports since Sep 2020 Australian fuel importers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-diesel-imports-Sep20-May22.jpg "Australian diesel imports from Taiwan May 2022")
Australian diesel imports from Taiwan May 2022
Posted on August 5, 2022 | No CommentsAustralia imported 17% of its diesel from Taiwan in May 2022, while the 12 month moving average was 9% Fig 1: Australian diesel imports since Sep 2020 Australian fuel importers […]
