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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This week’s fuel update – usually on a Saturday – was done by the Prime Minister himself in a press conference which was mainly about Islamophobia. Yes, a completely different […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-excl-extra-4Apr-18Jul2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel and oil orders on 18 July 2026 are among the 2 lowest since public records started in April 2026")
Australian forward fuel and oil orders on 18 July 2026 are among the 2 lowest since public records started in April 2026
19 July 2026 12:19 PM | No Comments -
![Education Minister Clare – sent by Energy Minister Bowen to do the usual Saturday fuel update – was not well prepared and had to take a journalist’s question about fuel […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-7July2026.jpg "Australian Energy Minister sends replacement Minister who can’t answer journalist’s questions on fuel supplies in August – October")
Australian Energy Minister sends replacement Minister who can’t answer journalist’s questions on fuel supplies in August – October
11 July 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![In the previous update a week earlier on 27/6/26 released in front of the Energy Minister’s electoral office in Fairfield a journo asked 2 important questions JOURNALIST: “And just on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Chris-Bowen-press-conference-4Jul26.jpg "Energy Minister’s Fuel Update avoids statement on tanker GRAND WINNER 5 now idling offshore for 1 month and omits breakdown of forward fuel orders")
Energy Minister’s Fuel Update avoids statement on tanker GRAND WINNER 5 now idling offshore for 1 month and omits breakdown of forward fuel orders
05 July 2026 11:34 PM | No Comments -
![On Sat. 27th June 2026 10 am the Australian Energy Minister gave his weekly update on fuel supplies to a small group of journos in front of his electoral office […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Sydney-27Jun26-1.jpg "Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders")
Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders
28 June 2026 10:02 AM | No Comments -
![Tanker GRAND WINNER 5 (IMO 9906714) departed the South Korean port of Yeosu on 17th of May with around 50 ML of fuel, scheduled to arrive 2nd June. This website […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/GRAND-WINNER-5-KR-YOS-offshore-17-Jun26.jpg "The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney")
The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney
23 June 2026 10:46 AM | No Comments -
![Press Conference 20/6/26 9:20 am PRIME MINISTER: “Today I can announce that Export Finance Australia (EFA) has secured an additional 50 ML of diesel and that this shipment is now […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Botany-Bay-BTB1-and-BTB2.jpg "Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders")
Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders
20 June 2026 9:07 PM | No Comments -
![Summary Stock of fuel reached record levels, but the future of fuel orders is unclear. We need to continue to monitor this because we cannot know what will happen in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Order-book-EFA-supported_30May26.jpg "Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026")
Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026
14 June 2026 8:11 PM | No Comments -
![MSO =Minimum (Fuel) Stock Obligation Summary list of questions After last week’s MSO update a number of questions still remain open: An order of 3 cargos of jet fuel (100 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-6June.jpg "Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update")
Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update
09 June 2026 3:50 PM | No Comments -
![Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-incl-extra-4Apr-30May-2026.jpg "Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months")
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
01 June 2026 11:44 AM | No Comments -
![Australian diesel import update March 2026 In the previous post it was highlighted that forward diesel orders (19 May 2026) were at 2,350 ML per month. If the geopolitical situation […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-imports-vs-forward-orders-19May26.jpg "Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026")
Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026
29 May 2026 9:00 PM | No Comments
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Australian forward fuel and oil orders on 18 July 2026 are among the 2 lowest since public records started in April 2026
This week’s fuel update – usually on a Saturday – was done by the Prime Minister himself in a press conference which was mainly about Islamophobia. Yes, a completely different […]
Latest Headlines
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![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
Posted on June 17, 2025 | No CommentsIn this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […] -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
Posted on May 22, 2025 | No CommentsIn part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […] -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
Posted on April 22, 2025 | No CommentsDiesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […] -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
Posted on March 25, 2025 | No CommentsThis is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […] -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
Posted on March 4, 2025 | No CommentsUpdate on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […] -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
Posted on February 7, 2025 | No CommentsTuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […] -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
Posted on January 25, 2025 | No CommentsA Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […] -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
Posted on December 8, 2024 | No CommentsPolitical debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […] -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
Posted on December 6, 2024 | No CommentsIn part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […] -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
Posted on December 6, 2024 | No CommentsIn the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]
