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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![Continuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-afternoon-29Feb24-max-demand.jpg "Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity")
Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity
Posted on March 8, 2024 | No CommentsContinuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […] -
![One of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fly-money-fly.jpg "Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket")
Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket
Posted on January 28, 2024 | No CommentsOne of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […] -
![This is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-imports-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […] -
![Tight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-AEMO-LOR2-Notices-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsTight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […] -
![Guided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iraq-crude-production_Jodi_2007-Aug23.jpg "ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)")
ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)
Posted on November 27, 2023 | No CommentsGuided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […] -
![ME-oil-supplies-as-Gaza-war-The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 Oct 2023 was reminiscent of the 1973 Yom Kippur war which triggered the 1st oil crisis (see Appendix) after OPEC imposed an oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi-crude-oil-2002-Sep23-Jodi.jpg "ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 1)")
ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 1)
Posted on October 25, 2023 | No CommentsME-oil-supplies-as-Gaza-war-The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 Oct 2023 was reminiscent of the 1973 Yom Kippur war which triggered the 1st oil crisis (see Appendix) after OPEC imposed an oil […] -
![The Energy Institute published its first Statistical Review on 25 June 2023, thereby replacing the BP Statistical Review https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Let’s have a look at oil production and consumption in South […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-production-South-East-Asia-India-1965-2022.jpg "Peak Oil in South East Asia and India – Part 1 Production and Consumption – Update 2022")
Peak Oil in South East Asia and India – Part 1 Production and Consumption – Update 2022
Posted on July 17, 2023 | No CommentsThe Energy Institute published its first Statistical Review on 25 June 2023, thereby replacing the BP Statistical Review https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Let’s have a look at oil production and consumption in South […] -
![Light festival in Sydney 2023 VIDEO: Vivid Festival kicks off in Sydney https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-26/vivid-festival-kicks-off-in-sydney/102400366 Just a quarter of an hour before Vivid Sydney turned on its lights on 26 May 2023, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vivid-Opera-Sydney.jpg "Vivid Sydney 2023: power price spikes during lack of reserve condition")
Vivid Sydney 2023: power price spikes during lack of reserve condition
Posted on May 31, 2023 | No CommentsLight festival in Sydney 2023 VIDEO: Vivid Festival kicks off in Sydney https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-26/vivid-festival-kicks-off-in-sydney/102400366 Just a quarter of an hour before Vivid Sydney turned on its lights on 26 May 2023, […] -
![This article is an update to a previous post: 8/11/2022 Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45% of Australian diesel imports? http://crudeoilpeak.info/only-3-4-years-to-replace-save-45-of-australian-diesel-imports It incorporates the recently released Defence Strategic Review. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/A-LEOPARD-Tanker-Gore-Hill-Terminal.jpg "Another 3 year warning on Australia’s fuel imports vulnerability")
Another 3 year warning on Australia’s fuel imports vulnerability
Posted on May 9, 2023 | No CommentsThis article is an update to a previous post: 8/11/2022 Only 3-4 years to replace/save 45% of Australian diesel imports? http://crudeoilpeak.info/only-3-4-years-to-replace-save-45-of-australian-diesel-imports It incorporates the recently released Defence Strategic Review. Fig […] -
![No sooner have passenger numbers picked up after 2 ½ years of disruptions by the Wuhan virus, Fig 1: Sydney Airport passenger numbers https://www.sydneyairport.com.au/corporate/media/corporate-newsroom/sydney-airport-traffic-performance-february-2023 did Australia’s jet fuel imports from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-2019-Jan23.jpg "Australian jet fuel imports from China surge in 4 months to January 2023")
Australian jet fuel imports from China surge in 4 months to January 2023
Posted on April 13, 2023 | No CommentsNo sooner have passenger numbers picked up after 2 ½ years of disruptions by the Wuhan virus, Fig 1: Sydney Airport passenger numbers https://www.sydneyairport.com.au/corporate/media/corporate-newsroom/sydney-airport-traffic-performance-february-2023 did Australia’s jet fuel imports from […]
