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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments -
![The US exported 4.2 mb/d of crude oil in the last 12 months to August 2024. Exports have substantially increased after an export ban ended in December 2015. Flashback: This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-exports_2014-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024")
US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024
19 November 2024 8:12 PM | No Comments -
![This post is a continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-crude-oil-imports-by-gravity-and-country-of-origin-part-1 All data are from this website: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbblpd_m.htm Fig 10: US imports from Africa US crude imports from Africa declined dramatically between […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports-top15-excl-Canada-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)
14 November 2024 2:24 PM | No Comments -
![Despite a boom in shale oil production, the US is still importing 6.6 mb/d of crude oil. while also exporting 4.2 mb/d, resulting in a net import of 2.4 mb […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports_1965-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)
14 November 2024 10:37 AM | No Comments -
![Continued from previous post Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019 20 Oct 2024 https://crudeoilpeak.info/non-opec-10-oil-production-plateau-ended-2019 Now let’s check how actual production compares to OPEC quotas. The focus here is on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia-crude-vs-OPEC-quotas-Dec2018-Jun2024.jpg "Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024")
Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024
31 October 2024 4:00 PM | No Comments -
![In December 2016, OPEC signed an agreement with 10 non-OPEC oil-producing countries to form OPEC+ in response to falling oil prices. “The joint conference noted that OPEC Member Countries met on 30 November 2016 and decided to implement a production adjustment of 1.2 million barrels a day, effective from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-Plus-crude-production-1973-Apr2024.jpg "Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019")
Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019
20 October 2024 5:02 PM | No Comments
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Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]
Latest Headlines
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![10 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) These are typical headlines in the current situation: Australians ‘panicking’ as power prices skyrocket, consumer advocates say 2 June 2022 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/energy-ministers-meet-to-discuss-rising-prices-gas-electricity/101133630 Short-term relief […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_Demand-Generation-spot-price_31May22-115x115.jpg "Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 1: NSW demand peaks)")
Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 1: NSW demand peaks)
Posted on June 10, 2022 | No Comments10 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) These are typical headlines in the current situation: Australians ‘panicking’ as power prices skyrocket, consumer advocates say 2 June 2022 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/energy-ministers-meet-to-discuss-rising-prices-gas-electricity/101133630 Short-term relief […] -
![In March 2022 Australia’s petroleum product imports have reached almost AU$ 4 bn per month, an increase of 70% compared to December 2019. Fig 1: Petroleum product imports by volume […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-product-imports-value-volumes_2010-22-115x115.jpg "Australian fuel import bill going sky-high")
Australian fuel import bill going sky-high
Posted on May 25, 2022 | No CommentsIn March 2022 Australia’s petroleum product imports have reached almost AU$ 4 bn per month, an increase of 70% compared to December 2019. Fig 1: Petroleum product imports by volume […] -
![According to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-incremental-crude-2016-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)")
Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)
Posted on May 3, 2022 | No CommentsAccording to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […] -
![Using latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_Crude_Production_1973-Nov2021-115x115.jpg "Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021")
Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021
Posted on March 30, 2022 | No CommentsUsing latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […] -
![The IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_diesel_stocks_Jul2010-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Australian oil stocks consumption cover")
Australian oil stocks consumption cover
Posted on March 22, 2022 | No CommentsThe IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […] -
![Pic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia_crude_prod-exports_2002-Nov21-1-115x115.jpg "Russian oil production update Nov 2021")
Russian oil production update Nov 2021
Posted on February 28, 2022 | No CommentsPic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […] -
![Diesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Sep-2021.jpg "Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data")
Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 10, 2021 | No CommentsDiesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […] -
![Fig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Sep2021_by_country.jpg "Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data")
Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 9, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […] -
![Fig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China-trucks-out-of-fuel_Oct2021.jpg "China peak diesel")
China peak diesel
Posted on October 31, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […] -
![The Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_emissions-by-quarter_Dec2000-Mar2021.jpg "Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid")
Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid
Posted on September 20, 2021 | No CommentsThe Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […]
