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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments
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Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]
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![In this 2nd part we analyze the impact of the generator hall explosion on 25 May 2021 in the Callide power plant in Queensland located 85 kms south west of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-disptach-spot-average-prices_300_May2021.jpg "NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 2) Callide C4 explosion")
NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 2) Callide C4 explosion
Posted on June 14, 2021 | No CommentsIn this 2nd part we analyze the impact of the generator hall explosion on 25 May 2021 in the Callide power plant in Queensland located 85 kms south west of […] -
![Liddell outages, load shedding at the Tomago alu smelter and reduced power imports from Queensland after the generator fire at Callide have caused price spikes in NSW which mean that […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-demand-RRP_1-31May2021.jpg "NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 1)")
NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 1)
Posted on June 7, 2021 | No CommentsLiddell outages, load shedding at the Tomago alu smelter and reduced power imports from Queensland after the generator fire at Callide have caused price spikes in NSW which mean that […] -
![The number of arriving and departing passengers on direct flights from/to (mainland) Chinese airports has peaked in 2018 and 2019, BEFORE the corona virus hit in the 1st quarter of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_arrive_depart_pax_AU_2009-2020.jpg "China – Australia passenger traffic has peaked 2018-19 before Covid")
China – Australia passenger traffic has peaked 2018-19 before Covid
Posted on May 22, 2021 | No CommentsThe number of arriving and departing passengers on direct flights from/to (mainland) Chinese airports has peaked in 2018 and 2019, BEFORE the corona virus hit in the 1st quarter of […] -
![West of the Shetland Islands, the battle against oil decline is over for BP. SPGlobal reports: BP halts production at oldest West of Shetland oil facility Foinaven on asset decline […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Foinaven-production_1997-Jan2021.jpg "BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 1)")
BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 1)
Posted on April 30, 2021 | No CommentsWest of the Shetland Islands, the battle against oil decline is over for BP. SPGlobal reports: BP halts production at oldest West of Shetland oil facility Foinaven on asset decline […] -
![Fig 1: Gold plated dome of the Sultan Omar Ali Saifuddin Mosque in Bandar Seri Begawan Fig 2: Brunei crude & NGL production. The 2nd and last peak was in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Bandar-Seri-Begawan.jpg "Brunei peak oil – golden opportunity for China’s Belt and Road Initiative")
Brunei peak oil – golden opportunity for China’s Belt and Road Initiative
Posted on March 25, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Gold plated dome of the Sultan Omar Ali Saifuddin Mosque in Bandar Seri Begawan Fig 2: Brunei crude & NGL production. The 2nd and last peak was in […] -
![Exxon Mobil’s Melbourne refinery is closing and will be converted into a fuel import terminal. The Australian public broadcaster has found the right title for its article: Australia loses another […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Exxon_Mobil_net_liquids_production_by_region_2000_2019-115x115.jpg "Exxon Mobil’s refinery closure in Australia: peak oil context")
Exxon Mobil’s refinery closure in Australia: peak oil context
Posted on February 15, 2021 | No CommentsExxon Mobil’s Melbourne refinery is closing and will be converted into a fuel import terminal. The Australian public broadcaster has found the right title for its article: Australia loses another […] -
![In this 2nd part we use data from the BP Statistical Review (June 2020). BP’s definition of oil is different from OPEC’s crude oil used in part 1. It includes […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/West-African-oil-exports_2001-2019-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Africa (part 2): Export zero sum game")
Peak oil in Africa (part 2): Export zero sum game
Posted on February 5, 2021 | No CommentsIn this 2nd part we use data from the BP Statistical Review (June 2020). BP’s definition of oil is different from OPEC’s crude oil used in part 1. It includes […] -
![We examine whether OPEC’s quotas for its African members are actually on the production decline path of these countries. OPEC’s quota levels can be found here: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/Voluntary%20Production%20Levels.pdf At present 7 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC_Africa_7countries_2001-2021-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021")
Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021
Posted on January 19, 2021 | No CommentsWe examine whether OPEC’s quotas for its African members are actually on the production decline path of these countries. OPEC’s quota levels can be found here: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/Voluntary%20Production%20Levels.pdf At present 7 […] -
![Feliz Navidad! (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/SC_America_1993-Sep2020-1-115x115.jpg "Peak Oil in South & Central America")
Peak Oil in South & Central America
Posted on December 25, 2020 | No CommentsFeliz Navidad! (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset […] -
![28-29 November Fig 10: Temperatures in Sydney (8) More Lack-of-reserve warnings Fig 11: timeline of AEMO’s notices The table shows the sequence of LOR notices for 28-29 Nov 2020 and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AEMO-LOR-notices_28-29Nov2020-115x115.jpg "NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 2)")
NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 2)
Posted on December 11, 2020 | No Comments28-29 November Fig 10: Temperatures in Sydney (8) More Lack-of-reserve warnings Fig 11: timeline of AEMO’s notices The table shows the sequence of LOR notices for 28-29 Nov 2020 and […]
