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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![The moment of the truth has arrived. The media is still beating around the bush, avoiding to mention the “P” word. The symptoms of peaking: • Conventional gas production maxed […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iona-gas-hub-supply-demand-1-26-Jul22.jpg "Conventional gas peak in Victoria (part 1) AEMO intervention July 2022")
Conventional gas peak in Victoria (part 1) AEMO intervention July 2022
Posted on July 30, 2022 | No CommentsThe moment of the truth has arrived. The media is still beating around the bush, avoiding to mention the “P” word. The symptoms of peaking: • Conventional gas production maxed […] -
![15 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) The Australian public is finally waking up. Not because of academic debate in the social media but by the threat of power cuts. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closures_to_2026-115x115.jpg "Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 2: NSW coal plants maxed out)")
Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 2: NSW coal plants maxed out)
Posted on June 15, 2022 | No Comments15 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) The Australian public is finally waking up. Not because of academic debate in the social media but by the threat of power cuts. […] -
![10 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) These are typical headlines in the current situation: Australians ‘panicking’ as power prices skyrocket, consumer advocates say 2 June 2022 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/energy-ministers-meet-to-discuss-rising-prices-gas-electricity/101133630 Short-term relief […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_Demand-Generation-spot-price_31May22-115x115.jpg "Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 1: NSW demand peaks)")
Australia East Coast Power Crisis (Part 1: NSW demand peaks)
Posted on June 10, 2022 | No Comments10 June 2022 by Matt Mushalik (MEng) These are typical headlines in the current situation: Australians ‘panicking’ as power prices skyrocket, consumer advocates say 2 June 2022 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/energy-ministers-meet-to-discuss-rising-prices-gas-electricity/101133630 Short-term relief […] -
![In March 2022 Australia’s petroleum product imports have reached almost AU$ 4 bn per month, an increase of 70% compared to December 2019. Fig 1: Petroleum product imports by volume […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-product-imports-value-volumes_2010-22-115x115.jpg "Australian fuel import bill going sky-high")
Australian fuel import bill going sky-high
Posted on May 25, 2022 | No CommentsIn March 2022 Australia’s petroleum product imports have reached almost AU$ 4 bn per month, an increase of 70% compared to December 2019. Fig 1: Petroleum product imports by volume […] -
![According to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-incremental-crude-2016-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)")
Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)
Posted on May 3, 2022 | No CommentsAccording to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […] -
![Using latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_Crude_Production_1973-Nov2021-115x115.jpg "Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021")
Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021
Posted on March 30, 2022 | No CommentsUsing latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […] -
![The IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_diesel_stocks_Jul2010-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Australian oil stocks consumption cover")
Australian oil stocks consumption cover
Posted on March 22, 2022 | No CommentsThe IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […] -
![Pic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia_crude_prod-exports_2002-Nov21-1-115x115.jpg "Russian oil production update Nov 2021")
Russian oil production update Nov 2021
Posted on February 28, 2022 | No CommentsPic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […] -
![Diesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Sep-2021.jpg "Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data")
Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 10, 2021 | No CommentsDiesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […] -
![Fig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Sep2021_by_country.jpg "Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data")
Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 9, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […]
