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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![On Sat. 27th June 2026 10 am the Australian Energy Minister gave his weekly update on fuel supplies to a small group of journos in front of his electoral office […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Sydney-27Jun26-1.jpg "Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders")
Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders
28 June 2026 10:02 AM | No Comments -
![Tanker GRAND WINNER 5 (IMO 9906714) departed the South Korean port of Yeosu on 17th of May with around 50 ML of fuel, scheduled to arrive 2nd June. This website […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/GRAND-WINNER-5-KR-YOS-offshore-17-Jun26.jpg "The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney")
The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney
23 June 2026 10:46 AM | No Comments -
![Press Conference 20/6/26 9:20 am PRIME MINISTER: “Today I can announce that Export Finance Australia (EFA) has secured an additional 50 ML of diesel and that this shipment is now […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Botany-Bay-BTB1-and-BTB2.jpg "Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders")
Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders
20 June 2026 9:07 PM | No Comments -
![Summary Stock of fuel reached record levels, but the future of fuel orders is unclear. We need to continue to monitor this because we cannot know what will happen in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Order-book-EFA-supported_30May26.jpg "Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026")
Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026
14 June 2026 8:11 PM | No Comments -
![MSO =Minimum (Fuel) Stock Obligation Summary list of questions After last week’s MSO update a number of questions still remain open: An order of 3 cargos of jet fuel (100 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-6June.jpg "Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update")
Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update
09 June 2026 3:50 PM | No Comments -
![Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-incl-extra-4Apr-30May-2026.jpg "Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months")
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
01 June 2026 11:44 AM | No Comments -
![Australian diesel import update March 2026 In the previous post it was highlighted that forward diesel orders (19 May 2026) were at 2,350 ML per month. If the geopolitical situation […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-imports-vs-forward-orders-19May26.jpg "Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026")
Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026
29 May 2026 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![(1) Forward Orders Press conference, Sydney, New South Wales 23 May 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: Thanks for coming, everyone. I’m very pleased today to give the weekly Saturday petrol update. … We […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-19May2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum")
Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum
24 May 2026 11:15 PM | No Comments -
![This post turns information given to the media into easily understandable time line graphs. It includes implied and inconvenient facts the Energy Minister did not mention in: Press conference – […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-excl-extra-4Apr-16May-2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dropped by 12 % from previous week")
Australian forward fuel orders dropped by 12 % from previous week
18 May 2026 6:39 PM | No Comments -
![Same procedure every Saturday. First, a new chart appears on the DCCEEW website Fig 1: New weekly MSO chart for Tuesday, 28 Apr 2026 https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics On this basis we can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Coral-Sea-10May26.jpg "Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ")
Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ
12 May 2026 11:55 AM | No Comments
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Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders
On Sat. 27th June 2026 10 am the Australian Energy Minister gave his weekly update on fuel supplies to a small group of journos in front of his electoral office […]
Latest Headlines
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![This post on power supplies will be updated from time to time as we sweat through the coming days. Figs 1,3 and 4 are based on data available on Fri, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_generation_vs_demand_28Jan-3Feb2017-115x115.jpg "Power supply in Australia’s New South Wales: how will it cope in coming heatwave?")
Power supply in Australia’s New South Wales: how will it cope in coming heatwave?
Posted on January 28, 2017 | No CommentsThis post on power supplies will be updated from time to time as we sweat through the coming days. Figs 1,3 and 4 are based on data available on Fri, […] -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-115x115.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
Posted on December 28, 2016 | No CommentsThis article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […] -
![China’s crude oil production has apparently peaked and is back to where it was at the beginning of 2010. Fig 1: China’s crude oil production http://www.jodidb.org/ Vietnam has become a net […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_crude_production_2002-Oct2016_JODI-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 2)")
Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 2)
Posted on December 24, 2016 | No CommentsChina’s crude oil production has apparently peaked and is back to where it was at the beginning of 2010. Fig 1: China’s crude oil production http://www.jodidb.org/ Vietnam has become a net […] -
![In this second part we look at OPEC production cuts for January 2017 in the context of historical production using JODI data. OPEC is very fond of JODI, the Joint […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-10_crude_production_2002-Sep2016-115x115.jpg "OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 2)")
OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 2)
Posted on December 9, 2016 | No CommentsIn this second part we look at OPEC production cuts for January 2017 in the context of historical production using JODI data. OPEC is very fond of JODI, the Joint […] -
![What the agreement said Fig 1: Production table from OPEC’s press release referred to as “agreement table” “1. In the fulfilment of the implementation of the Algiers Accord, 171st Ministerial […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC_Jan2017_quotas-115x115.jpg "OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 1)")
OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 1)
Posted on December 8, 2016 | No CommentsWhat the agreement said Fig 1: Production table from OPEC’s press release referred to as “agreement table” “1. In the fulfilment of the implementation of the Algiers Accord, 171st Ministerial […] -
![Shell’s upstream earnings1) were in the red since the 1st quarter of 2015 according to first half 2016 reports. Earnings peaked at US$ 6 bn in the 2nd quarter of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Shell_Upstream-earnings_1Q2005-2Q2016-115x115.jpg "Royal Dutch Shell’s upstream earnings peaked 2008, now in the red")
Royal Dutch Shell’s upstream earnings peaked 2008, now in the red
Posted on October 16, 2016 | No CommentsShell’s upstream earnings1) were in the red since the 1st quarter of 2015 according to first half 2016 reports. Earnings peaked at US$ 6 bn in the 2nd quarter of […] -
![This is a joint post with Art Berman, a geological consultant based in Houston, Texas, and may be seen also on his website http://www.artberman.com/ U.S. crude oil storage is filling up […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/History_unaccounted_crude_US_stocks_2002-Sep2016-115x115.jpg "U.S. Storage Filling Up with Unaccounted-For Oil")
U.S. Storage Filling Up with Unaccounted-For Oil
Posted on October 7, 2016 | No CommentsThis is a joint post with Art Berman, a geological consultant based in Houston, Texas, and may be seen also on his website http://www.artberman.com/ U.S. crude oil storage is filling up […] -
![In yesterday’s 7 pm news ABC TV business presenter Alan Kohler got carried away with the news that the US drilling rig count increased by 2 rigs in the last […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Stability_USD_2011-2016-115x115.jpg "Australian public broadcaster a true believer in US shale oil supremacy")
Australian public broadcaster a true believer in US shale oil supremacy
Posted on September 27, 2016 | No CommentsIn yesterday’s 7 pm news ABC TV business presenter Alan Kohler got carried away with the news that the US drilling rig count increased by 2 rigs in the last […] -
![OPEC Fig 1: OPEC’s incremental crude oil production Incremental production for each country is the production above the minimum production for the period Jan 2000 – May 2016 (the latest […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_Incremental_crude_production_2000-May2016-115x115.jpg "Incremental crude production update August 2016")
Incremental crude production update August 2016
Posted on September 11, 2016 | No CommentsOPEC Fig 1: OPEC’s incremental crude oil production Incremental production for each country is the production above the minimum production for the period Jan 2000 – May 2016 (the latest […] -
![Fig 1: Oil crisis in China like in 2005? No. By order: Free roads for G20 in Hangzhou https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/aug/31/china-hangzhou-propaganda-facelift-g20-summit Strategically published only days before the G20 summit the Wall Street […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_oil_production_consumption_2010_to_2045-115x115.jpg "China’s oil peak 45 years after the US peak")
China’s oil peak 45 years after the US peak
Posted on September 5, 2016 | No CommentsFig 1: Oil crisis in China like in 2005? No. By order: Free roads for G20 in Hangzhou https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/aug/31/china-hangzhou-propaganda-facelift-g20-summit Strategically published only days before the G20 summit the Wall Street […]
