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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![After a delay of several months the US Energy Information Administration has published the latest international energy statistics for October 2015 This is an opportunity to update crude oil graphs […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Incremental_crude_world_growth_decline_OPEC_US_Canada_2001_Oct2015-115x115.jpg "World outside US and Canada doesn’t produce more crude oil than in 2005")
World outside US and Canada doesn’t produce more crude oil than in 2005
Posted on February 14, 2016 | No CommentsAfter a delay of several months the US Energy Information Administration has published the latest international energy statistics for October 2015 This is an opportunity to update crude oil graphs […] -
![World Economic Forum The Transformation of Energy Fig 1: WEF energy panellists 22/1/2016 From right to left: moderator Daniel Yergin (IHS), Fatih Birol (IEA), Hiroaki Nakanishi (Hitachi), Ignacio Sánchez (Iberdrola), […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/OIL_gas_investments_2005-2015_IEA-115x115.jpg "IEA in Davos 2016 warns of higher oil prices in a few years’ time")
IEA in Davos 2016 warns of higher oil prices in a few years’ time
Posted on February 9, 2016 | No CommentsWorld Economic Forum The Transformation of Energy Fig 1: WEF energy panellists 22/1/2016 From right to left: moderator Daniel Yergin (IHS), Fatih Birol (IEA), Hiroaki Nakanishi (Hitachi), Ignacio Sánchez (Iberdrola), […] -
![Google for “US energy independence” and you will get 134k results, “US self sufficiency” yields 10k results. Here are some examples of what the media reports: In Aljazeera’s Inside Story, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/US_crude_oil_imports_and_production_to_Oct2015-115x115.jpg "The myth of US self-sufficiency in crude oil")
The myth of US self-sufficiency in crude oil
Posted on January 21, 2016 | No CommentsGoogle for “US energy independence” and you will get 134k results, “US self sufficiency” yields 10k results. Here are some examples of what the media reports: In Aljazeera’s Inside Story, […] -
![The Australian Capital’s daily newspaper Canberra Times started the New Year by reprinting an article of the Daily Telegraph referring to an abundance of oil – without checking whether this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/AU_gasoline_stocks_Jul2010-Oct2015-115x115.jpg "No glut in Australian petroleum inventories")
No glut in Australian petroleum inventories
Posted on January 12, 2016 | No CommentsThe Australian Capital’s daily newspaper Canberra Times started the New Year by reprinting an article of the Daily Telegraph referring to an abundance of oil – without checking whether this […] -
![January Bush fires in Adelaide, Australia February Explosion in Kobani, Syria March Great Prophet 9 war games in Straits of Hormuz April Hanging tracks blasted over culvert washout on substandard […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Russian_missile_Caspian-115x115.jpg "Fireworks calendar 2015")
Fireworks calendar 2015
Posted on December 30, 2015 | No CommentsJanuary Bush fires in Adelaide, Australia February Explosion in Kobani, Syria March Great Prophet 9 war games in Straits of Hormuz April Hanging tracks blasted over culvert washout on substandard […] -
![The media is full with news that there is a global oil glut. There are now more than 3bn barrels of excess oil in the world 13/11/2015 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/oilprices/11993687/There-are-now-more-than-3bn-barrels-of-excess-oil-in-the-world.html Record oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/OECD_stock_change_Dec2015_by_fuel_region-115x115.jpg "Where actually is that much-hyped global oil glut?")
Where actually is that much-hyped global oil glut?
Posted on December 29, 2015 | No CommentsThe media is full with news that there is a global oil glut. There are now more than 3bn barrels of excess oil in the world 13/11/2015 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/oilprices/11993687/There-are-now-more-than-3bn-barrels-of-excess-oil-in-the-world.html Record oil […] -
![Arab News reports: KSA pledges SR 30bn Egypt aid 17/12/2015 “JEDDAH: Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman has ordered that Saudi Arabia’s aid and investment package to Egypt […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Egypt_budget_sector_revenue_2005_2014_2019-115x115.jpg "Egypt budget and current account deficits – can Saudi Arabia bail out Cairo?")
Egypt budget and current account deficits – can Saudi Arabia bail out Cairo?
Posted on December 23, 2015 | No CommentsArab News reports: KSA pledges SR 30bn Egypt aid 17/12/2015 “JEDDAH: Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman has ordered that Saudi Arabia’s aid and investment package to Egypt […] -
![Oil production and consumption Fig 1: Oil production vs consumption After a post-peak decline production has stabilized but consumption has increased relentlessly at a long-term 1.7% pa, slightly below population […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Egypt_oil_production_vs_consumption_1965_2014_BPStatReviewJun2015-115x115.jpg "Egypt update: net oil importer and chokepoints")
Egypt update: net oil importer and chokepoints
Posted on December 4, 2015 | No CommentsOil production and consumption Fig 1: Oil production vs consumption After a post-peak decline production has stabilized but consumption has increased relentlessly at a long-term 1.7% pa, slightly below population […] -
![You want $40 oil? Yes, please. But according to the World Energy Outlook 2015 of the International Energy Agency, recently released in London, that would mean 3 mb/d less US […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/US_crude_production_USD_50_scenario_2020_IEA_WEO_Nov-2015-115x115.jpg "IEA: US$ 40 oil means 3 mb/d less tight oil by 2020")
IEA: US$ 40 oil means 3 mb/d less tight oil by 2020
Posted on November 16, 2015 | No CommentsYou want $40 oil? Yes, please. But according to the World Energy Outlook 2015 of the International Energy Agency, recently released in London, that would mean 3 mb/d less US […] -
![The following graphs use data from the latest Article IV consultation report published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in August 2015. All IMF papers on Iraq are here. Government […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Iraq_Budget_Expenditure_IMF_2010_2020-115x115.jpg "Iraq needs 1.3 mb/d additional oil exports and $US 70 oil to balance budget")
Iraq needs 1.3 mb/d additional oil exports and $US 70 oil to balance budget
Posted on October 30, 2015 | No CommentsThe following graphs use data from the latest Article IV consultation report published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in August 2015. All IMF papers on Iraq are here. Government […]
