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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![A miracle happened 1 minute to 12. Two journos asked energy security questions at last week’s National Press Club in which Australia’s Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull was given a last […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Apr2016_by_country-115x115.jpg "Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s exciting energy security in Australia")
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s exciting energy security in Australia
Posted on July 7, 2016 | No CommentsA miracle happened 1 minute to 12. Two journos asked energy security questions at last week’s National Press Club in which Australia’s Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull was given a last […] -
![In this part on the budget 2016 series we have a look at the federal revenue: Fig 32: Time series of federal tax revenue Income tax was growing strongly at […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_taxation_revenue_2001-E2017-115x115.jpg "80 % of Australian budget deficit comes from lower company tax revenue after GFC (part 3)")
80 % of Australian budget deficit comes from lower company tax revenue after GFC (part 3)
Posted on June 28, 2016 | No CommentsIn this part on the budget 2016 series we have a look at the federal revenue: Fig 32: Time series of federal tax revenue Income tax was growing strongly at […] -
![We pick up the question from part 1: Fig 11: Homework for governments Let’s have a look where all the net imports into Asia have come from in the past: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_2005-2015_fill_in-2035-115x115.jpg "Peak Oil in Asia and oil import trends (part 2)")
Peak Oil in Asia and oil import trends (part 2)
Posted on June 25, 2016 | No CommentsWe pick up the question from part 1: Fig 11: Homework for governments Let’s have a look where all the net imports into Asia have come from in the past: […] -
![According to data recently published in BP’s 2016 Statistical Review Asian oil production remained at around 8.3 mb/d for 4 years now. Fig 1: Asian oil production We see the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_1965-2015-115x115.jpg "Peak Oil in Asia (part 1)")
Peak Oil in Asia (part 1)
Posted on June 20, 2016 | No CommentsAccording to data recently published in BP’s 2016 Statistical Review Asian oil production remained at around 8.3 mb/d for 4 years now. Fig 1: Asian oil production We see the […] -
![In part 1 we found that Treasury did not really explain why global growth is slower than expected given the oil price drop. We looked at some parameters like employment, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Australian_oil_production_vs_exports_2000_2015-115x115.jpg "Australian budget 2016 underestimates role of oil (part 2)")
Australian budget 2016 underestimates role of oil (part 2)
Posted on June 7, 2016 | No CommentsIn part 1 we found that Treasury did not really explain why global growth is slower than expected given the oil price drop. We looked at some parameters like employment, […] -
![Let’s see how the Budget 2016 deals with oil. http://www.budget.gov.au/2016-17/content/ The most important statement on oil in budget paper 1is summarised in the chapter “Economic Outlook” Box 5 Lower oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Australian_petroleum_exploration_expenditure_Dec2010-Dec20151-115x115.jpg "Australian budget 2016 underestimates role of oil part 1")
Australian budget 2016 underestimates role of oil part 1
Posted on May 31, 2016 | No CommentsLet’s see how the Budget 2016 deals with oil. http://www.budget.gov.au/2016-17/content/ The most important statement on oil in budget paper 1is summarised in the chapter “Economic Outlook” Box 5 Lower oil […] -
![Four times in as many months did ABC publish inaccurate statements about US shale oil. A glut of mis-information. This is unacceptable because it leads to wrong policy decisions and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/ABC_7pm_news_16-1-2016-115x115.jpg "Australian Public Broadcaster ABC unable to look at oil statistics")
Australian Public Broadcaster ABC unable to look at oil statistics
Posted on April 30, 2016 | No CommentsFour times in as many months did ABC publish inaccurate statements about US shale oil. A glut of mis-information. This is unacceptable because it leads to wrong policy decisions and […] -
![The recent EIA drilling productivity reports show a peaking of shale oil production in the main production regions. https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/drilling/ Fig 1: Bakken production change from old/new wells The 1st panel […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/US-crude_production_7regions_rest_2007-Mar2016-115x115.jpg "US shale oil peak in 2015")
US shale oil peak in 2015
Posted on March 30, 2016 | No CommentsThe recent EIA drilling productivity reports show a peaking of shale oil production in the main production regions. https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/drilling/ Fig 1: Bakken production change from old/new wells The 1st panel […] -
![Imagine you are a stressed Sydney motorist and you have finally decided to leave your car at home and take a train to the city. You arrive at a major […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/No_ticket_to_ride_Sydney_Trains-115x115.jpg "No ticket to ride at Sydney train station")
No ticket to ride at Sydney train station
Posted on March 11, 2016 | No CommentsImagine you are a stressed Sydney motorist and you have finally decided to leave your car at home and take a train to the city. You arrive at a major […] -
![The recent deployment of missile launchers and jet fighters on Woody Island of the Paracel islands have put the spotlight on the South China Sea (SCS). Fig 1: The 200 mile Economic […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Oil_production_South_China_Sea_Oct2015-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 1)")
Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 1)
Posted on February 29, 2016 | No CommentsThe recent deployment of missile launchers and jet fighters on Woody Island of the Paracel islands have put the spotlight on the South China Sea (SCS). Fig 1: The 200 mile Economic […]
