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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![This is part 2 of a series of articles on how US tight oil has impacted on oil markets The following graph shows US petroleum imports from OPEC countries starting […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/US_petroleum_imports_from_OPEC_2007_Jun2014-115x115.jpg "US oil dependency on Middle East has hardly changed since 2007")
US oil dependency on Middle East has hardly changed since 2007
Posted on November 6, 2014 | No CommentsThis is part 2 of a series of articles on how US tight oil has impacted on oil markets The following graph shows US petroleum imports from OPEC countries starting […] -
![In part 1 of a series of articles on the impact of US tight (shale) oil we examine the impact on US oil consumption. Fig 1: US crude oil production […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/US_petroleum_products_supplied_1963_2014E-115x115.jpg "US oil consumption did not increase as result of US tight oil boom")
US oil consumption did not increase as result of US tight oil boom
Posted on November 5, 2014 | No CommentsIn part 1 of a series of articles on the impact of US tight (shale) oil we examine the impact on US oil consumption. Fig 1: US crude oil production […] -
![One would think that an increase of oil related taxes would be used to reduce oil dependency and fund public transport infrastructure, especially as the Iraq war has entered yet […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Fuel_excise_19bn_10years-115x115.jpg "Team Australia to pay billions for new oil-vulnerable infrastructure")
Team Australia to pay billions for new oil-vulnerable infrastructure
Posted on October 29, 2014 | No CommentsOne would think that an increase of oil related taxes would be used to reduce oil dependency and fund public transport infrastructure, especially as the Iraq war has entered yet […] -
![As already announced in July 2012, Sydney’s Caltex refinery (135 kb/d) has now closed, replaced by a fuel import terminal, holding approximately 45 to 60 days of inventory (Caltex Annual […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Caltex_refinery_closed_Oct2014-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s Caltex refinery closed as Chevron’s crude production and sales continue to decline")
Sydney’s Caltex refinery closed as Chevron’s crude production and sales continue to decline
Posted on October 17, 2014 | No CommentsAs already announced in July 2012, Sydney’s Caltex refinery (135 kb/d) has now closed, replaced by a fuel import terminal, holding approximately 45 to 60 days of inventory (Caltex Annual […] -
![Fig 1: NorthConnex tunnel proposal http://northconnex.com.au/library.php The current congestion problem on Pennant Hills Rd is caused by 4 distinctive traffic flows overlapping in this narrow corridor: (a) trucks on the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Pennant_Hills_Rd_AWDT_tunnel_2013_2019-2029-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s risky NorthConnex tunnel will not solve congestion problem")
Sydney’s risky NorthConnex tunnel will not solve congestion problem
Posted on October 10, 2014 | No CommentsFig 1: NorthConnex tunnel proposal http://northconnex.com.au/library.php The current congestion problem on Pennant Hills Rd is caused by 4 distinctive traffic flows overlapping in this narrow corridor: (a) trucks on the […] -
![The future of UK’s oil and gas sector was a key issue in the independence campaign. Promises were made by Prime Minister Cameron to give more powers to Scotland. Would […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/UK_oil_production_1975_2013-115x115.jpg "Scots lost out in UK oil and gas endgame")
Scots lost out in UK oil and gas endgame
Posted on September 26, 2014 | No CommentsThe future of UK’s oil and gas sector was a key issue in the independence campaign. Promises were made by Prime Minister Cameron to give more powers to Scotland. Would […] -
![We use the period starting with January 2010 when crude production had come back to 2005 levels after the exceptional year of 2009 Fig 1: US crude oil vs crude […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/US_crude_oil_growth_vs_rest_of_world_Jan_2010_May2014-115x115.jpg "US shale oil growth covers up production drop in rest-of-world")
US shale oil growth covers up production drop in rest-of-world
Posted on September 15, 2014 | No CommentsWe use the period starting with January 2010 when crude production had come back to 2005 levels after the exceptional year of 2009 Fig 1: US crude oil vs crude […] -
![A lot has been written about Qantas’ FY 2014 losses of AU$2.8 bn but no analysis was done by the main stream media how the timeline of these losses are […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Qantas_passengers_1999_2014-115x115.jpg "Qantas growing passenger numbers don’t increase revenue")
Qantas growing passenger numbers don’t increase revenue
Posted on September 8, 2014 | No CommentsA lot has been written about Qantas’ FY 2014 losses of AU$2.8 bn but no analysis was done by the main stream media how the timeline of these losses are […] -
![Fig 1: Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott (centre, yellow helmet) likes biking There are only a few Prime Ministers in this world who are pro-actively biking. Tony Abbott is one […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Tony_Abbott_Mudgee_Blue_Mountains_biking_Aug2014-115x115.jpg "Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott pedalling in wrong direction")
Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott pedalling in wrong direction
Posted on August 26, 2014 | No CommentsFig 1: Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott (centre, yellow helmet) likes biking There are only a few Prime Ministers in this world who are pro-actively biking. Tony Abbott is one […] -
![The Medium Term Oil Market Report of the International Energy Agency (IEA, Paris), published in June 2014, contains a graph which implies that US crude production will start to peak […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/US_oil_production_2007_2019_IEA_MTOMR_2014_restacked-115x115.jpg "IEA report implies US crude production may start to peak 2016")
IEA report implies US crude production may start to peak 2016
Posted on August 14, 2014 | No CommentsThe Medium Term Oil Market Report of the International Energy Agency (IEA, Paris), published in June 2014, contains a graph which implies that US crude production will start to peak […]
