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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![In part 1 of the series on the Australian budget 2014/15 we showed that company tax receipts took a dive when the global financial crisis (GFC) hit. In this 2nd […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/Australia_GDP_per_capita_vs_Brent_1973-2013-115x115.jpg "Australian GDP per capita growth slowed while oil prices went up (part 2)")
Australian GDP per capita growth slowed while oil prices went up (part 2)
Posted on June 9, 2014 | No CommentsIn part 1 of the series on the Australian budget 2014/15 we showed that company tax receipts took a dive when the global financial crisis (GFC) hit. In this 2nd […] -
![The Australian Federal Government’s cumulative cash balance between 2008/09 and 2013/14 was deep in the red, at $ -241 bn. If company tax had continued to grow at pre-GFC levels […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Company_profits_before_tax_2001_2013-115x115.jpg "Australian budget hit by GFC and high oil prices (part 1)")
Australian budget hit by GFC and high oil prices (part 1)
Posted on May 28, 2014 | No CommentsThe Australian Federal Government’s cumulative cash balance between 2008/09 and 2013/14 was deep in the red, at $ -241 bn. If company tax had continued to grow at pre-GFC levels […] -
![Only weeks after the Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott introduced “Team Australia to help China build the Asian Century” to the Boao Forum on the island of Hainan in the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Vietnam_oil_production_PVN_Forecast_2020_vs_actual_EIA_2013-115x115.jpg "10 years after peak oil in Vietnam: Asian Century sails into troubled waters in the South China Sea")
10 years after peak oil in Vietnam: Asian Century sails into troubled waters in the South China Sea
Posted on May 12, 2014 | No CommentsOnly weeks after the Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott introduced “Team Australia to help China build the Asian Century” to the Boao Forum on the island of Hainan in the […] -
![In what might be an early warning sign, Transurban traffic data for the 1st quarter 2014 show that ADT on the M2 – after a 9 month ramp-up period following […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/M2_ADT_Transurban_projection_vs_actual_Mar2014-115x115.jpg "M2 daily traffic growth below Transurban’s expectations")
M2 daily traffic growth below Transurban’s expectations
Posted on April 30, 2014 | No CommentsIn what might be an early warning sign, Transurban traffic data for the 1st quarter 2014 show that ADT on the M2 – after a 9 month ramp-up period following […] -
![Contrary to BP’s media statement the closure of the Bulwer refinery in Brisbane will reduce Australia’s energy security because Australia’s crude oil imports as refinery feedstock come from a dozen […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/BP-Bulwer-refinery-115x115.jpg "Why the closure of BP’s Brisbane Bulwer refinery reduces Australia’s energy security")
Why the closure of BP’s Brisbane Bulwer refinery reduces Australia’s energy security
Posted on April 9, 2014 | No CommentsContrary to BP’s media statement the closure of the Bulwer refinery in Brisbane will reduce Australia’s energy security because Australia’s crude oil imports as refinery feedstock come from a dozen […] -
![In parts 1 and 2 of this series of articles on the proposed NorthConnex road tunnel we found that project related documents fail to deal with oil supply constraints and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Cheltenham_construction_work_Mar2014_small-115x115.jpg "Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while competing rail projects under construction (part 3)")
Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while competing rail projects under construction (part 3)
Posted on March 31, 2014 | No CommentsIn parts 1 and 2 of this series of articles on the proposed NorthConnex road tunnel we found that project related documents fail to deal with oil supply constraints and […] -
![The 1st part of this series of articles analysed that the oil supply situation will be tight by 2019 when the proposed road tunnel is supposed to open. This 2nd […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/bcr_2004_skm_page22-115x115.jpg "Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while Benefit Cost Ratio is low (part 2)")
Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while Benefit Cost Ratio is low (part 2)
Posted on March 30, 2014 | No CommentsThe 1st part of this series of articles analysed that the oil supply situation will be tight by 2019 when the proposed road tunnel is supposed to open. This 2nd […] -
![The Federal government refused to financially help car manufacturers and airlines, arguing that companies need to get their “house in order”. The Federal budget is deep in the red. Yet, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/NorthConnex_video3-115x115.jpg "Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney as next oil price spike looms (part 1)")
Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney as next oil price spike looms (part 1)
Posted on March 27, 2014 | No CommentsThe Federal government refused to financially help car manufacturers and airlines, arguing that companies need to get their “house in order”. The Federal budget is deep in the red. Yet, […] -
![In an interview with ASPO USA in January 2014 Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr. Sadad-Al-Husseini predicted oil price spikes of $140 by 2016/17. This post shows some graphs explaining why this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Husseini_projection_intersection_point_EIA_WEO_2013_demand-115x115.jpg "Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr Husseini predicts oil price spikes of USD 140 by 2016-17: graphs")
Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr Husseini predicts oil price spikes of USD 140 by 2016-17: graphs
Posted on March 15, 2014 | No CommentsIn an interview with ASPO USA in January 2014 Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr. Sadad-Al-Husseini predicted oil price spikes of $140 by 2016/17. This post shows some graphs explaining why this […] -
![Unnoticed by the mainstream media, US shale oil covers up a recent decline of crude oil production of 1.5 mb/d in the rest of world (using data up to Oct […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Incremental_World_Crude_Oil_Jan2001-Oct2013-115x115.jpg "World crude production 2013 without shale oil is back to 2005 levels")
World crude production 2013 without shale oil is back to 2005 levels
Posted on March 13, 2014 | No CommentsUnnoticed by the mainstream media, US shale oil covers up a recent decline of crude oil production of 1.5 mb/d in the rest of world (using data up to Oct […]
