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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![The Sydney Morning Herald published the following article 2 days after Qantas CEO Alan Joyce announced a 1st half year loss of $252 million and job cuts of 5,000 Mayday: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Qantas_fuel_cost_vs_avialable_seat_kms_1999_2014E-115x115.jpg "The end of airlines predicted by no other than former Qantas CEO Geoff Dixon in July 2008")
The end of airlines predicted by no other than former Qantas CEO Geoff Dixon in July 2008
Posted on March 4, 2014 | No CommentsThe Sydney Morning Herald published the following article 2 days after Qantas CEO Alan Joyce announced a 1st half year loss of $252 million and job cuts of 5,000 Mayday: […] -
![21 Feb 2014 Shell today announced it has reached a binding agreement to sell its Australia downstream businesses (excluding Aviation) to Vitol for a total transaction value of approximately A$2.9 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Shell_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2012-115x115.jpg "Geelong refinery sold as Shell’s oil production continues to decline")
Geelong refinery sold as Shell’s oil production continues to decline
Posted on February 23, 2014 | No Comments21 Feb 2014 Shell today announced it has reached a binding agreement to sell its Australia downstream businesses (excluding Aviation) to Vitol for a total transaction value of approximately A$2.9 […] -
![4 ½ years after I advised former Industry Minister Kim Carr to help the Australian car industry retool to manufacture CNG buses, rail cars and components for the renewable energy […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/wide-toyota-stop-620x349-115x115.jpg "I told you so: Australian car industry closing down")
I told you so: Australian car industry closing down
Posted on February 16, 2014 | No Comments4 ½ years after I advised former Industry Minister Kim Carr to help the Australian car industry retool to manufacture CNG buses, rail cars and components for the renewable energy […] -
![Summary Virgin’s operating revenues have grown more than 4-fold over 10 years but since 2009 – the year peak oil triggered the global financial crisis – operating expenses were as […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Virgin_Australia_fuel_cost_vs_ASK_2003_2013-115x115.jpg "Despite growth in passenger numbers Virgin Australia can’t make money since 2009")
Despite growth in passenger numbers Virgin Australia can’t make money since 2009
Posted on February 12, 2014 | No CommentsSummary Virgin’s operating revenues have grown more than 4-fold over 10 years but since 2009 – the year peak oil triggered the global financial crisis – operating expenses were as […] -
![In his latest research on shale oil French oil geologist Jean Laherrere from ASPO France http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/texts/documents estimates a Bakken shale oil peak in 2014 He uses a Hubbert linearization to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/North_Dakota_crude_oil_production_forecast_4-7_and_6-2Gb_Laherrere_Aug2014-115x115.png "Jean Laherrere uses Hubbert linearization to estimate Bakken shale oil peak in 2014")
Jean Laherrere uses Hubbert linearization to estimate Bakken shale oil peak in 2014
Posted on January 31, 2014 | No CommentsIn his latest research on shale oil French oil geologist Jean Laherrere from ASPO France http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/texts/documents estimates a Bakken shale oil peak in 2014 He uses a Hubbert linearization to […] -
![Latest figures for the 4th quarter of 2013 show that for a 7.5% increase of traffic over 3 years after an additional 3rd lane was opened, the cost to motorists […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/M2_Westbound_607X_18Dec2013-115x115.jpg "Unsustainable Sydney: cost of using M2 toll-way grows 4 times faster than traffic")
Unsustainable Sydney: cost of using M2 toll-way grows 4 times faster than traffic
Posted on January 16, 2014 | No CommentsLatest figures for the 4th quarter of 2013 show that for a 7.5% increase of traffic over 3 years after an additional 3rd lane was opened, the cost to motorists […] -
![Part 1: The Howard years Peak oil, which should be seen as a process having started in 2005 rather than an event in the year of maximum global production, hits […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/Australian_passenger_car_sales_1996_2012-115x115.jpg "GM Holden did not prepare for peak oil – since 1998")
GM Holden did not prepare for peak oil – since 1998
Posted on January 9, 2014 | No CommentsPart 1: The Howard years Peak oil, which should be seen as a process having started in 2005 rather than an event in the year of maximum global production, hits […] -
![Alan Kohler http://www.alankohler.com.au/ showed this AUD/USD exchange rate graph on the 7 pm news on ABC TV on Friday the 13th 2013, displaying a variance between 50c and 1 dollar. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/ACCC_ULP_prices_Jul2007_Sep2013_AUD_USD_exchange_rate_range-115x115.jpg "Lucky country dodged $2 a litre bullet – for now")
Lucky country dodged $2 a litre bullet – for now
Posted on December 15, 2013 | No CommentsAlan Kohler http://www.alankohler.com.au/ showed this AUD/USD exchange rate graph on the 7 pm news on ABC TV on Friday the 13th 2013, displaying a variance between 50c and 1 dollar. […] -
![In year 9 of peak oil, Qantas’ profits have slipped into the negative. Fuel costs increased much faster than seat kilometres delivered by the airline. Qantas to cut 1,000 jobs […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/Qantas_fuel_cost_vs_avialable_seat_kms_1999_2013-115x115.jpg "Qantas fuel cost increased three times more than seat kms")
Qantas fuel cost increased three times more than seat kms
Posted on December 10, 2013 | No CommentsIn year 9 of peak oil, Qantas’ profits have slipped into the negative. Fuel costs increased much faster than seat kilometres delivered by the airline. Qantas to cut 1,000 jobs […] -
![At BHP’s recent annual general meeting only 4% of BHP shareholders were interested in climate change issues so how many would think about BHP’s oil reserves and oil production? 22/11/2013 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/BHP_crude_oil_and_NGL_production_by_region_1999_2013-115x115.jpg "BHP’s Australian oil reserves and production continue to decline, but growth in the US")
BHP’s Australian oil reserves and production continue to decline, but growth in the US
Posted on December 1, 2013 | No CommentsAt BHP’s recent annual general meeting only 4% of BHP shareholders were interested in climate change issues so how many would think about BHP’s oil reserves and oil production? 22/11/2013 […]
