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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-days-24Feb-8Sep2026.jpg "Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March")
Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
14 September 2026 12:08 PM | No Comments -
![This article is using data collected in: https://crudeoilpeak.info/tankers-arriving-and-departing-in-sydney The objective here is to visualize the tanker traffic and where it comes from and to detect whether the number of tankers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-Sydney-August26.jpg "Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026")
Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026
13 September 2026 10:36 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 6 Sep 2026 Minister Bowen: We have 36 ships on the water, on the way to Australia, and 3.5 billion litres of fuel locked in to be delivered […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-vs-Volume-4Apr-5Sep26.jpg "Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April")
Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April
06 September 2026 5:28 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 25 Aug published 29 Aug 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: The Iran war is now six months old. When the Iran war started, Australians were understandably concerned about fuel security, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-25Aug26.jpg "The Energy Minister’s calm approach")
The Energy Minister’s calm approach
30 August 2026 8:00 PM | No Comments -
![The deficiency of fuel supply updates highlighted in previous articles seems to become permanent. CHRIS BOWEN: We have 51 ships on the way to Australia with fuel, which is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-4Apr-22Aug2026.jpg "Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?")
Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?
25 August 2026 3:00 PM | No Comments -
![The quotes are from the Energy Minister’s press conference in Fairfield on 15 August (transcript see Appendix) Minister Bowen: 3.7 billion liters of deliveries locked in for the next four […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-stock-volumes-land-on-water-June2018-June2026.jpg "Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney")
Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney
17 August 2026 11:21 AM | No Comments -
![Weekly fuel update: Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the National Press Club This week’s Saturday […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Bowen-happy-with-critcism-too-much-fuel.jpg "Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC")
Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC
09 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![The following graph shows the NSW maximum power generation reached every evening in the winter month of July 2026: Fig 1: Max daily coal power generation in evening hours Data […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-by-unit-July2026-1.jpg "NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026")
NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026
06 August 2026 11:00 AM | No Comments -
![Executive Data Summary Fuel stock is on a bumpy plateau of 6.3 bn litres for the last 8 weeks reaching limits to growth Diesel stock has been on an average […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-1Aug26.jpg "Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%")
Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%
02 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![MSO update with data from 21 July 2026 Context Hormuz tanker crossings slip to lowest in more than two months, data shows 24/7/26 Only one tanker crossed the Strait of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/ME-policy-ALP-conference-Adelaide-25Jul26.jpg "Australian Energy Minister at ease despite Hormuz closure and detour of Saudi tankers to Asia via the Cape of Good Hope")
Australian Energy Minister at ease despite Hormuz closure and detour of Saudi tankers to Asia via the Cape of Good Hope
25 July 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments
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Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]
Latest Headlines
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![Empty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Wuhan-20Feb2020-115x115.jpg "Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios")
Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios
Posted on March 10, 2020 | No CommentsEmpty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […] -
![The pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tumut3-Power-station-saved-115x115.jpg "Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020")
Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020
Posted on February 4, 2020 | No CommentsThe pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […] -
![The world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Assad-US-air-base-damage-115x115.png "Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East")
Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East
Posted on January 12, 2020 | No CommentsThe world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […] -
![In part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-consumption_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)
Posted on October 24, 2019 | No CommentsIn part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […] -
![The world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_oil_production_ME_top_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)
Posted on October 16, 2019 | No CommentsThe world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […] -
![Fig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Abqaiq-attack-prayer-time-115x115.jpg "The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar")
The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar
Posted on October 1, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […] -
![Asian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_2005-2018_fill_in-2038-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?")
Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?
Posted on September 10, 2019 | No CommentsAsian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […] -
![This post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_conv-crude_plateau_2005-2018-115x115.jpg "2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq")
2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq
Posted on August 26, 2019 | No CommentsThis post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […] -
![Tankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Front_Altair_13Jun2019-115x115.jpg "Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?")
Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?
Posted on June 21, 2019 | No CommentsTankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […] -
![In the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_crude_production_1994-Dec2018-115x115.jpg "World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005")
World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005
Posted on June 10, 2019 | No CommentsIn the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […]
