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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Summary 1) Fuel supply Update 1.1) Stock in days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-29Sep26-800p530.jpg "Australian Energy Minister Bowen downplays diesel supply risk after Saudi Arabia visit")
Australian Energy Minister Bowen downplays diesel supply risk after Saudi Arabia visit
06 October 2026 10:15 AM | No Comments -
![Since 20 June, Energy Minister Chis Bowen failed to release expected deliveries by fuel. He only informed the public about the total numbers. This website criticised this deficiency. It made […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-deliveries-20Jun-vs-26Sep2026.jpg "Australia to expect less petrol and jet fuel deliveries in next 4 weeks as diesel economy guzzles along")
Australia to expect less petrol and jet fuel deliveries in next 4 weeks as diesel economy guzzles along
29 September 2026 8:49 AM | No Comments -
![The Australian Petroleum Statistics with data up to July 26 were recently published. Imports are recorded from Customs data when tankers arrive in ports or in domestic waters. Floating storage […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports_Jul26.jpg "Australian diesel imports to July 2026")
Australian diesel imports to July 2026
28 September 2026 7:24 AM | No Comments -
![Total diesel stock on 15 July is slightly less than on 3 March. But the big change is that the estimated onshore share has decreased by 14%, very likely near […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-15Sep2026-800p690.jpg "Australian onshore diesel stock on 15 Sep 2026 very likely near or below MSO level")
Australian onshore diesel stock on 15 Sep 2026 very likely near or below MSO level
20 September 2026 6:08 PM | No Comments -
![Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-days-24Feb-8Sep2026.jpg "Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March")
Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
14 September 2026 12:08 PM | No Comments -
![This article is using data collected in: https://crudeoilpeak.info/tankers-arriving-and-departing-in-sydney The objective here is to visualize the tanker traffic and where it comes from and to detect whether the number of tankers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-Sydney-August26.jpg "Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026")
Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026
13 September 2026 10:36 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 6 Sep 2026 Minister Bowen: We have 36 ships on the water, on the way to Australia, and 3.5 billion litres of fuel locked in to be delivered […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-vs-Volume-4Apr-5Sep26.jpg "Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April")
Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April
06 September 2026 5:28 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 25 Aug published 29 Aug 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: The Iran war is now six months old. When the Iran war started, Australians were understandably concerned about fuel security, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-25Aug26.jpg "The Energy Minister’s calm approach")
The Energy Minister’s calm approach
30 August 2026 8:00 PM | No Comments -
![The deficiency of fuel supply updates highlighted in previous articles seems to become permanent. CHRIS BOWEN: We have 51 ships on the way to Australia with fuel, which is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-4Apr-22Aug2026.jpg "Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?")
Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?
25 August 2026 3:00 PM | No Comments -
![The quotes are from the Energy Minister’s press conference in Fairfield on 15 August (transcript see Appendix) Minister Bowen: 3.7 billion liters of deliveries locked in for the next four […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-stock-volumes-land-on-water-June2018-June2026.jpg "Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney")
Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney
17 August 2026 11:21 AM | No Comments
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Australian Energy Minister Bowen downplays diesel supply risk after Saudi Arabia visit
Summary 1) Fuel supply Update 1.1) Stock in days […]
Latest Headlines
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![Continued from part 1 But there is another metric explaining China’s oil consumption growth: debt. The following graph is from an article by the Institute of International Finance in its […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_oil-consumption-debt_2000-18-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 2)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 2)
Posted on July 15, 2020 | No CommentsContinued from part 1 But there is another metric explaining China’s oil consumption growth: debt. The following graph is from an article by the Institute of International Finance in its […] -
![Fig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_1965-2019_fill_in-2039-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)
Posted on June 30, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […] -
![From the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Strategic-Petroleum-Reserve_US-115x115.jpg "Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US")
Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US
Posted on May 22, 2020 | No CommentsFrom the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […] -
![Fig 1: The conventional crude oil plateau started in 2005 At the end of the high oil price period in June 2014, Virgin Australia had liabilities of $ 4.7 bn. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Virgin-Australia_Profits_2003-1H20-115x115.jpg "How the first phase of peak oil brought Virgin Australia into minus after 2008")
How the first phase of peak oil brought Virgin Australia into minus after 2008
Posted on May 3, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: The conventional crude oil plateau started in 2005 At the end of the high oil price period in June 2014, Virgin Australia had liabilities of $ 4.7 bn. […] -
![Empty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Wuhan-20Feb2020-115x115.jpg "Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios")
Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios
Posted on March 10, 2020 | No CommentsEmpty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […] -
![The pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tumut3-Power-station-saved-115x115.jpg "Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020")
Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020
Posted on February 4, 2020 | No CommentsThe pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […] -
![The world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Assad-US-air-base-damage-115x115.png "Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East")
Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East
Posted on January 12, 2020 | No CommentsThe world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […] -
![In part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-consumption_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)
Posted on October 24, 2019 | No CommentsIn part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […] -
![The world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_oil_production_ME_top_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)
Posted on October 16, 2019 | No CommentsThe world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […] -
![Fig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Abqaiq-attack-prayer-time-115x115.jpg "The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar")
The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar
Posted on October 1, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […]
