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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![On 12/4/2018 a briefing session of the Greater Sydney Commission (GSC) on recently released planning documents https://www.greater.sydney/greater-sydney-region-plan took place in the Parramatta Novotel. According to the GSC establishment Act 2015 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel_Sales_NSW_2010-17-30-115x115.jpg "NSW fuel consumption and high immigration not compatible with CO2 reduction pathways")
NSW fuel consumption and high immigration not compatible with CO2 reduction pathways
Posted on April 30, 2018 | No CommentsOn 12/4/2018 a briefing session of the Greater Sydney Commission (GSC) on recently released planning documents https://www.greater.sydney/greater-sydney-region-plan took place in the Parramatta Novotel. According to the GSC establishment Act 2015 […] -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-115x115.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
Posted on March 16, 2018 | No CommentsPart 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […] -
![14/3/2018 Part 1 Bayswater and Liddell power plants Introduction The Australian public has no idea how tight Australia’s power generation is in hot summers. A recent 4 corners program on population […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Liddell_30-31Jan2018-115x115.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 1)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 1)
Posted on March 14, 2018 | No Comments14/3/2018 Part 1 Bayswater and Liddell power plants Introduction The Australian public has no idea how tight Australia’s power generation is in hot summers. A recent 4 corners program on population […] -
![This is an analysis of late summer. Data are taken from Open NEM: http://opennem.org.au/# The graphs in this post are a bit different from those on the above website Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NEM-daylight-generation_22Feb2018-115x115.jpg "Australia’s east coast solar generation is replacing coal by only 2% in late summer")
Australia’s east coast solar generation is replacing coal by only 2% in late summer
Posted on March 11, 2018 | No CommentsThis is an analysis of late summer. Data are taken from Open NEM: http://opennem.org.au/# The graphs in this post are a bit different from those on the above website Fig […] -
![In part 1 we talked about what action the government is taking to bring Australia back to the IEA 90 days oil stock requirement. What was done so far This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NESA_forecast_IEA_compliance_requirement_2013-33-115x115.jpg "Will Australia have a strategic oil reserve before it is too late? (part 2)")
Will Australia have a strategic oil reserve before it is too late? (part 2)
Posted on February 22, 2018 | No CommentsIn part 1 we talked about what action the government is taking to bring Australia back to the IEA 90 days oil stock requirement. What was done so far This […] -
![From time to time the media takes some interest: Low emergency oil reserves ‘now pose a danger to security’ 16/2/2018 Australia’s failure to meet emergency oil reserves now posed a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_jet_fuel_imports_by_country_2004_Dec2017-115x115.jpg "Australian fuel imports from Asia are going sky high while non-compliance with IEA stock requirements continues (part 1)")
Australian fuel imports from Asia are going sky high while non-compliance with IEA stock requirements continues (part 1)
Posted on February 21, 2018 | No CommentsFrom time to time the media takes some interest: Low emergency oil reserves ‘now pose a danger to security’ 16/2/2018 Australia’s failure to meet emergency oil reserves now posed a […] -
![On the first really hot day in 2018 Sydney experienced temperatures above 45 degrees. Fig 1: BOM Temperature map for NSW on 7 Jan 2018 http://www.bom.gov.au/web03/ncc/www/awap/temperature/maxave/daily/colour/history/ns/2018010720180107.hres.gif These were the temperatures […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_power_imports_7Jan2018-115x115.jpg "Energy guzzling NSW had to import up to 1,700 MW on 7 Jan 2018")
Energy guzzling NSW had to import up to 1,700 MW on 7 Jan 2018
Posted on January 13, 2018 | No CommentsOn the first really hot day in 2018 Sydney experienced temperatures above 45 degrees. Fig 1: BOM Temperature map for NSW on 7 Jan 2018 http://www.bom.gov.au/web03/ncc/www/awap/temperature/maxave/daily/colour/history/ns/2018010720180107.hres.gif These were the temperatures […] -
![Venezuelan X’mas 2017 without petrol https://losbenjamins.com/2017/12/venezuela-sin-gasolina-navidades/ Petrol lines are nothing new in Venezuela. But the problem is getting deeper and deeper: Top Venezuelan refineries are running at 34% of their […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/nohaygasolina-115x115.jpg "Impact of oil production decline and low oil prices: Venezuela")
Impact of oil production decline and low oil prices: Venezuela
Posted on December 28, 2017 | No CommentsVenezuelan X’mas 2017 without petrol https://losbenjamins.com/2017/12/venezuela-sin-gasolina-navidades/ Petrol lines are nothing new in Venezuela. But the problem is getting deeper and deeper: Top Venezuelan refineries are running at 34% of their […] -
![http://www.naturalgasintel.com/topics/101-fayetteville-shale We had these headlines a couple of months ago: BHP’s $50 billion shale oil blunder 23/8/2017 BHP slapped $US4.75 billion ($6 billion) down on the table to buy the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fayetteville_shale_gas_production_2004-Jul2017-115x115.jpg "Shale gas revolution did not last long for BHP – the Fayetteville story")
Shale gas revolution did not last long for BHP – the Fayetteville story
Posted on December 16, 2017 | No Commentshttp://www.naturalgasintel.com/topics/101-fayetteville-shale We had these headlines a couple of months ago: BHP’s $50 billion shale oil blunder 23/8/2017 BHP slapped $US4.75 billion ($6 billion) down on the table to buy the […] -
![In this post we look at crude oil production in the World Energy Outlook released in November 2017 Fig 1: WEO 2017 oil supply Note that the 5 year interval table […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/IEA_WEO_2017_crude_comparison_2016-115x115.jpg "Does the IEA try to hide the conventional crude oil peak in its 2017 World Energy Outlook?")
Does the IEA try to hide the conventional crude oil peak in its 2017 World Energy Outlook?
Posted on December 3, 2017 | No CommentsIn this post we look at crude oil production in the World Energy Outlook released in November 2017 Fig 1: WEO 2017 oil supply Note that the 5 year interval table […]
