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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![On hot days the truth comes out. Critical power plants for peak demand run on gas and that was short in supply, not only in South Australia, but also in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AEMO_GSOO_2017_Fig1_domestic-115x115.jpg "Howard’s energy superpower stuck in domestic gas shortages")
Howard’s energy superpower stuck in domestic gas shortages
Posted on March 27, 2017 | No CommentsOn hot days the truth comes out. Critical power plants for peak demand run on gas and that was short in supply, not only in South Australia, but also in […] -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-115x115.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
Posted on February 27, 2017 | No CommentsImmigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […] -
![This post is a record of Monday the 10th of February 2017 Fig 1: Heatwave forecast 10th February 2017 Fig 2: Sydney’s temperatures at Olympic Park Fig 3: Range of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Liddell_Power_Station-115x115.jpg "NSW’s privatized giveaway coal plant causes load shedding in extreme weather")
NSW’s privatized giveaway coal plant causes load shedding in extreme weather
Posted on February 14, 2017 | No CommentsThis post is a record of Monday the 10th of February 2017 Fig 1: Heatwave forecast 10th February 2017 Fig 2: Sydney’s temperatures at Olympic Park Fig 3: Range of […] -
![This post is a record of Monday the 6th of February 2017 Fig 1: Weather report for Monday Sydney had spent a hot Sunday night… Fig 2: Lower temperatures on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AEMO_NSW_LOR1_notice_57241_for-6Feb2017-115x115.jpg "NSW running low on contingency reserves during hot days")
NSW running low on contingency reserves during hot days
Posted on February 10, 2017 | No CommentsThis post is a record of Monday the 6th of February 2017 Fig 1: Weather report for Monday Sydney had spent a hot Sunday night… Fig 2: Lower temperatures on […] -
![This post on power supplies will be updated from time to time as we sweat through the coming days. Figs 1,3 and 4 are based on data available on Fri, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_generation_vs_demand_28Jan-3Feb2017-115x115.jpg "Power supply in Australia’s New South Wales: how will it cope in coming heatwave?")
Power supply in Australia’s New South Wales: how will it cope in coming heatwave?
Posted on January 28, 2017 | No CommentsThis post on power supplies will be updated from time to time as we sweat through the coming days. Figs 1,3 and 4 are based on data available on Fri, […] -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-115x115.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
Posted on December 28, 2016 | No CommentsThis article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […] -
![China’s crude oil production has apparently peaked and is back to where it was at the beginning of 2010. Fig 1: China’s crude oil production http://www.jodidb.org/ Vietnam has become a net […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_crude_production_2002-Oct2016_JODI-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 2)")
Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 2)
Posted on December 24, 2016 | No CommentsChina’s crude oil production has apparently peaked and is back to where it was at the beginning of 2010. Fig 1: China’s crude oil production http://www.jodidb.org/ Vietnam has become a net […] -
![In this second part we look at OPEC production cuts for January 2017 in the context of historical production using JODI data. OPEC is very fond of JODI, the Joint […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-10_crude_production_2002-Sep2016-115x115.jpg "OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 2)")
OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 2)
Posted on December 9, 2016 | No CommentsIn this second part we look at OPEC production cuts for January 2017 in the context of historical production using JODI data. OPEC is very fond of JODI, the Joint […] -
![What the agreement said Fig 1: Production table from OPEC’s press release referred to as “agreement table” “1. In the fulfilment of the implementation of the Algiers Accord, 171st Ministerial […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC_Jan2017_quotas-115x115.jpg "OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 1)")
OPEC’s 2017 production cuts: a confusing numbers game (part 1)
Posted on December 8, 2016 | No CommentsWhat the agreement said Fig 1: Production table from OPEC’s press release referred to as “agreement table” “1. In the fulfilment of the implementation of the Algiers Accord, 171st Ministerial […] -
![Shell’s upstream earnings1) were in the red since the 1st quarter of 2015 according to first half 2016 reports. Earnings peaked at US$ 6 bn in the 2nd quarter of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Shell_Upstream-earnings_1Q2005-2Q2016-115x115.jpg "Royal Dutch Shell’s upstream earnings peaked 2008, now in the red")
Royal Dutch Shell’s upstream earnings peaked 2008, now in the red
Posted on October 16, 2016 | No CommentsShell’s upstream earnings1) were in the red since the 1st quarter of 2015 according to first half 2016 reports. Earnings peaked at US$ 6 bn in the 2nd quarter of […]
