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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments
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Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]
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![Venezuelan X’mas 2017 without petrol https://losbenjamins.com/2017/12/venezuela-sin-gasolina-navidades/ Petrol lines are nothing new in Venezuela. But the problem is getting deeper and deeper: Top Venezuelan refineries are running at 34% of their […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/nohaygasolina-115x115.jpg "Impact of oil production decline and low oil prices: Venezuela")
Impact of oil production decline and low oil prices: Venezuela
Posted on December 28, 2017 | No CommentsVenezuelan X’mas 2017 without petrol https://losbenjamins.com/2017/12/venezuela-sin-gasolina-navidades/ Petrol lines are nothing new in Venezuela. But the problem is getting deeper and deeper: Top Venezuelan refineries are running at 34% of their […] -
![http://www.naturalgasintel.com/topics/101-fayetteville-shale We had these headlines a couple of months ago: BHP’s $50 billion shale oil blunder 23/8/2017 BHP slapped $US4.75 billion ($6 billion) down on the table to buy the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fayetteville_shale_gas_production_2004-Jul2017-115x115.jpg "Shale gas revolution did not last long for BHP – the Fayetteville story")
Shale gas revolution did not last long for BHP – the Fayetteville story
Posted on December 16, 2017 | No Commentshttp://www.naturalgasintel.com/topics/101-fayetteville-shale We had these headlines a couple of months ago: BHP’s $50 billion shale oil blunder 23/8/2017 BHP slapped $US4.75 billion ($6 billion) down on the table to buy the […] -
![In this post we look at crude oil production in the World Energy Outlook released in November 2017 Fig 1: WEO 2017 oil supply Note that the 5 year interval table […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/IEA_WEO_2017_crude_comparison_2016-115x115.jpg "Does the IEA try to hide the conventional crude oil peak in its 2017 World Energy Outlook?")
Does the IEA try to hide the conventional crude oil peak in its 2017 World Energy Outlook?
Posted on December 3, 2017 | No CommentsIn this post we look at crude oil production in the World Energy Outlook released in November 2017 Fig 1: WEO 2017 oil supply Note that the 5 year interval table […] -
![Fig 1: Iraqi crude exports by SOMO The above graph shows Iraqi crude oil exports by the SOMO oil marketing company. Until March 2014 Kirkuk crude from North Oil Company […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Kirkuk_oil_production_1934-2016_Rystad-Hubbert-115x115.jpg "The Fight for Northern Iraq’s remaining oil")
The Fight for Northern Iraq’s remaining oil
Posted on November 22, 2017 | No CommentsFig 1: Iraqi crude exports by SOMO The above graph shows Iraqi crude oil exports by the SOMO oil marketing company. Until March 2014 Kirkuk crude from North Oil Company […] -
![At this event at the Australian Institute for Asian Affairs 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World – some observations from former PM John Howard https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/news-item/australia-todays-world/ John Howard was happy to report […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_2005-2016_fill_in-2036-115x115.jpg "Former Prime Minister Howard assumes US shale oil will provide for China’s oil demand growth")
Former Prime Minister Howard assumes US shale oil will provide for China’s oil demand growth
Posted on November 4, 2017 | No CommentsAt this event at the Australian Institute for Asian Affairs 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World – some observations from former PM John Howard https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/news-item/australia-todays-world/ John Howard was happy to report […] -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-115x115.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
Posted on October 31, 2017 | No CommentsThis article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […] -
![Australia comes up with yet another grand energy policy in which gas is supposed to deliver dispatchable (peak) power. From the Prime Minister’s website: NATIONAL ENERGY GUARANTEE TO DELIVER AFFORDABLE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AEMO_domestic_gas_available_Mar_vs_Sep_2017-115x115.jpg "Australia’s east coast gas crisis will be permanent")
Australia’s east coast gas crisis will be permanent
Posted on October 20, 2017 | No CommentsAustralia comes up with yet another grand energy policy in which gas is supposed to deliver dispatchable (peak) power. From the Prime Minister’s website: NATIONAL ENERGY GUARANTEE TO DELIVER AFFORDABLE, […] -
![This post is using mainly BP’s Statistical Review published in June 2017. Although these statistics put Mexico under North America, it is included here and added to South and Central […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Latin_America_oil_production_vs_consumption_1965-2016-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Latin America")
Peak oil in Latin America
Posted on September 11, 2017 | No CommentsThis post is using mainly BP’s Statistical Review published in June 2017. Although these statistics put Mexico under North America, it is included here and added to South and Central […] -
![As the world wonders what comes next in the North Korean missile crisis we need to have a look what a military confrontation would mean for Australia. This article from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_petrol_imports_by_country_2004_May2017-115x115.jpg "Almost half of Australia’s petrol, diesel and jet fuel imports come from South Korea and Japan")
Almost half of Australia’s petrol, diesel and jet fuel imports come from South Korea and Japan
Posted on August 12, 2017 | No CommentsAs the world wonders what comes next in the North Korean missile crisis we need to have a look what a military confrontation would mean for Australia. This article from […] -
![Continuation from part 1 There must be a proper LR terminus at Epping. Let’s look at the options. The closest location to the station would be on the South bound […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Epping-station_pedestrian_bridge-115x115.jpg "Sydney planning chaos: New Planning Review makes no provision for light rail at Epping station (part 2)")
Sydney planning chaos: New Planning Review makes no provision for light rail at Epping station (part 2)
Posted on July 20, 2017 | No CommentsContinuation from part 1 There must be a proper LR terminus at Epping. Let’s look at the options. The closest location to the station would be on the South bound […]
