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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![South China Sea: ‘Leave immediately and keep far off’ Fig 1: U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon reconnaissance plane overflying disputed Spratly islands 11/8/2018 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dodbqgKn8js https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-45152525/south-china-sea-leave-immediately-and-keep-far-off Fig 2: Subi reef location in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-Poseidon-over-Zhubi-Reef_Aug2018-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in China and the Asia Pacific (part 2)")
Peak oil in China and the Asia Pacific (part 2)
Posted on August 12, 2018 | No CommentsSouth China Sea: ‘Leave immediately and keep far off’ Fig 1: U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon reconnaissance plane overflying disputed Spratly islands 11/8/2018 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dodbqgKn8js https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-45152525/south-china-sea-leave-immediately-and-keep-far-off Fig 2: Subi reef location in […] -
![Who can give a National Energy Guarantee? A better energy future for Australia https://www.energy.gov.au/government-priorities/better-energy-future-australia Something must have happened at a brown coal fired power plant in Victoria, on 2 August […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Victoria-power-generation-3Aug2018-115x115.jpg "Victoria brown coal power plant lost 1,600 MW over 4 hrs")
Victoria brown coal power plant lost 1,600 MW over 4 hrs
Posted on August 4, 2018 | No CommentsWho can give a National Energy Guarantee? A better energy future for Australia https://www.energy.gov.au/government-priorities/better-energy-future-australia Something must have happened at a brown coal fired power plant in Victoria, on 2 August […] -
![3 complacent governments (Howard, Rudd/Gillard, Abbott) released 3 flawed Energy White Papers (2004, 2012 and 2015) which have promoted and facilitated massive LNG export projects on Australia’s West, North and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Depletion_East_Coast_Conventional_Gas_Reserves_GSOO_2015-115x115.jpg "Australia is exporting itself gas poor, plans LNG import terminals")
Australia is exporting itself gas poor, plans LNG import terminals
Posted on July 25, 2018 | No Comments3 complacent governments (Howard, Rudd/Gillard, Abbott) released 3 flawed Energy White Papers (2004, 2012 and 2015) which have promoted and facilitated massive LNG export projects on Australia’s West, North and […] -
![The latest report “Integrated System Plan” of the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) assumes that power consumption on Australia’s East Coast will stay rather flat despite government engineered immigration resulting […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-demand-price_16Jul2018-115x115.jpg "Sydney go on your rooftops and save power for 3 million new immigrants")
Sydney go on your rooftops and save power for 3 million new immigrants
Posted on July 20, 2018 | No CommentsThe latest report “Integrated System Plan” of the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) assumes that power consumption on Australia’s East Coast will stay rather flat despite government engineered immigration resulting […] -
![Contrary to common assumptions that the US is on the cusp of energy independence US crude oil imports averaged 7.8 mb/d in the last 12 months. 3.5 mb/d came from neighboring […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US_crude_imports_by_country_1973-Apr2018-115x115.jpg "US crude oil imports and exports update April 2018 data")
US crude oil imports and exports update April 2018 data
Posted on July 11, 2018 | No CommentsContrary to common assumptions that the US is on the cusp of energy independence US crude oil imports averaged 7.8 mb/d in the last 12 months. 3.5 mb/d came from neighboring […] -
![US State Department Special Briefing by the Director of Policy Planning 2/7/2018 MR HOOK: “…..Our focus is on getting as many countries importing Iranian crude down to zero as soon […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/South-Korea-crude-imports_refcap-1990-2017-115x115.jpg "South Korea’s crude oil imports from Iran")
South Korea’s crude oil imports from Iran
Posted on July 10, 2018 | No CommentsUS State Department Special Briefing by the Director of Policy Planning 2/7/2018 MR HOOK: “…..Our focus is on getting as many countries importing Iranian crude down to zero as soon […] -
![Here we go again. Another US President asks Saudi Arabia to pump more oil, despite the so-called US shale oil revolution. Fig 1: Is a tweet enough to make Saudi […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Trump_tweet_Saudi_pump_more_30Jun2018-115x115.jpg "Saudi Arabia was supposed to pump almost 14 mb/d in 2018")
Saudi Arabia was supposed to pump almost 14 mb/d in 2018
Posted on July 5, 2018 | No CommentsHere we go again. Another US President asks Saudi Arabia to pump more oil, despite the so-called US shale oil revolution. Fig 1: Is a tweet enough to make Saudi […] -
![This post uses data released by the BP Statistical Review in June 2018 https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html Oil production seems to have left its bumpy 6 year long (2010-2015) plateau of 8.4 mb/d […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_1965-2017-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Pacific (part 1)")
Peak oil in Asia Pacific (part 1)
Posted on June 18, 2018 | No CommentsThis post uses data released by the BP Statistical Review in June 2018 https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html Oil production seems to have left its bumpy 6 year long (2010-2015) plateau of 8.4 mb/d […] -
![We see the impact of the conventional oil peak in Venezuela. As an example let’s look at the El-Furrial field. Fig 1: Not La-Hora-Zero (yet) but low voter turn-out for […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Autopista-Caracas-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Venezuela: El Furrial oil field")
Peak oil in Venezuela: El Furrial oil field
Posted on May 26, 2018 | No CommentsWe see the impact of the conventional oil peak in Venezuela. As an example let’s look at the El-Furrial field. Fig 1: Not La-Hora-Zero (yet) but low voter turn-out for […] -
![As the US has withdrawn from the Iran nuclear deal and tensions increase between Israel and Iran there can be no doubt that this will impact on oil supplies. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Jan2018-115x115.jpg "Update on Australian oil import vulnerability May 2018")
Update on Australian oil import vulnerability May 2018
Posted on May 10, 2018 | No CommentsAs the US has withdrawn from the Iran nuclear deal and tensions increase between Israel and Iran there can be no doubt that this will impact on oil supplies. Fig […]
