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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Summary 1) Fuel supply Update 1.1) Stock in days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-29Sep26-800p530.jpg "Australian Energy Minister Bowen downplays diesel supply risk after Saudi Arabia visit")
Australian Energy Minister Bowen downplays diesel supply risk after Saudi Arabia visit
06 October 2026 10:15 AM | No Comments -
![Since 20 June, Energy Minister Chis Bowen failed to release expected deliveries by fuel. He only informed the public about the total numbers. This website criticised this deficiency. It made […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-deliveries-20Jun-vs-26Sep2026.jpg "Australia to expect less petrol and jet fuel deliveries in next 4 weeks as diesel economy guzzles along")
Australia to expect less petrol and jet fuel deliveries in next 4 weeks as diesel economy guzzles along
29 September 2026 8:49 AM | No Comments -
![The Australian Petroleum Statistics with data up to July 26 were recently published. Imports are recorded from Customs data when tankers arrive in ports or in domestic waters. Floating storage […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports_Jul26.jpg "Australian diesel imports to July 2026")
Australian diesel imports to July 2026
28 September 2026 7:24 AM | No Comments -
![Total diesel stock on 15 July is slightly less than on 3 March. But the big change is that the estimated onshore share has decreased by 14%, very likely near […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-15Sep2026-800p690.jpg "Australian onshore diesel stock on 15 Sep 2026 very likely near or below MSO level")
Australian onshore diesel stock on 15 Sep 2026 very likely near or below MSO level
20 September 2026 6:08 PM | No Comments -
![Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-days-24Feb-8Sep2026.jpg "Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March")
Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
14 September 2026 12:08 PM | No Comments -
![This article is using data collected in: https://crudeoilpeak.info/tankers-arriving-and-departing-in-sydney The objective here is to visualize the tanker traffic and where it comes from and to detect whether the number of tankers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-Sydney-August26.jpg "Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026")
Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026
13 September 2026 10:36 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 6 Sep 2026 Minister Bowen: We have 36 ships on the water, on the way to Australia, and 3.5 billion litres of fuel locked in to be delivered […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-vs-Volume-4Apr-5Sep26.jpg "Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April")
Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April
06 September 2026 5:28 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 25 Aug published 29 Aug 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: The Iran war is now six months old. When the Iran war started, Australians were understandably concerned about fuel security, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-25Aug26.jpg "The Energy Minister’s calm approach")
The Energy Minister’s calm approach
30 August 2026 8:00 PM | No Comments -
![The deficiency of fuel supply updates highlighted in previous articles seems to become permanent. CHRIS BOWEN: We have 51 ships on the way to Australia with fuel, which is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-4Apr-22Aug2026.jpg "Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?")
Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?
25 August 2026 3:00 PM | No Comments -
![The quotes are from the Energy Minister’s press conference in Fairfield on 15 August (transcript see Appendix) Minister Bowen: 3.7 billion liters of deliveries locked in for the next four […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-stock-volumes-land-on-water-June2018-June2026.jpg "Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney")
Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney
17 August 2026 11:21 AM | No Comments
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Australian Energy Minister Bowen downplays diesel supply risk after Saudi Arabia visit
Summary 1) Fuel supply Update 1.1) Stock in days […]
Latest Headlines
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![Fig 1: Gold plated dome of the Sultan Omar Ali Saifuddin Mosque in Bandar Seri Begawan Fig 2: Brunei crude & NGL production. The 2nd and last peak was in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Bandar-Seri-Begawan.jpg "Brunei peak oil – golden opportunity for China’s Belt and Road Initiative")
Brunei peak oil – golden opportunity for China’s Belt and Road Initiative
Posted on March 25, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Gold plated dome of the Sultan Omar Ali Saifuddin Mosque in Bandar Seri Begawan Fig 2: Brunei crude & NGL production. The 2nd and last peak was in […] -
![Exxon Mobil’s Melbourne refinery is closing and will be converted into a fuel import terminal. The Australian public broadcaster has found the right title for its article: Australia loses another […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Exxon_Mobil_net_liquids_production_by_region_2000_2019-115x115.jpg "Exxon Mobil’s refinery closure in Australia: peak oil context")
Exxon Mobil’s refinery closure in Australia: peak oil context
Posted on February 15, 2021 | No CommentsExxon Mobil’s Melbourne refinery is closing and will be converted into a fuel import terminal. The Australian public broadcaster has found the right title for its article: Australia loses another […] -
![In this 2nd part we use data from the BP Statistical Review (June 2020). BP’s definition of oil is different from OPEC’s crude oil used in part 1. It includes […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/West-African-oil-exports_2001-2019-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Africa (part 2): Export zero sum game")
Peak oil in Africa (part 2): Export zero sum game
Posted on February 5, 2021 | No CommentsIn this 2nd part we use data from the BP Statistical Review (June 2020). BP’s definition of oil is different from OPEC’s crude oil used in part 1. It includes […] -
![We examine whether OPEC’s quotas for its African members are actually on the production decline path of these countries. OPEC’s quota levels can be found here: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/Voluntary%20Production%20Levels.pdf At present 7 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC_Africa_7countries_2001-2021-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021")
Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021
Posted on January 19, 2021 | No CommentsWe examine whether OPEC’s quotas for its African members are actually on the production decline path of these countries. OPEC’s quota levels can be found here: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/Voluntary%20Production%20Levels.pdf At present 7 […] -
![Feliz Navidad! (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/SC_America_1993-Sep2020-1-115x115.jpg "Peak Oil in South & Central America")
Peak Oil in South & Central America
Posted on December 25, 2020 | No CommentsFeliz Navidad! (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset […] -
![28-29 November Fig 10: Temperatures in Sydney (8) More Lack-of-reserve warnings Fig 11: timeline of AEMO’s notices The table shows the sequence of LOR notices for 28-29 Nov 2020 and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AEMO-LOR-notices_28-29Nov2020-115x115.jpg "NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 2)")
NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 2)
Posted on December 11, 2020 | No Comments28-29 November Fig 10: Temperatures in Sydney (8) More Lack-of-reserve warnings Fig 11: timeline of AEMO’s notices The table shows the sequence of LOR notices for 28-29 Nov 2020 and […] -
![The summer hasn’t even started yet and the first lack-of-reserve and outage notices have appeared. 16 November 2020 (1) Line Outage Upper Tumut- Stockdill AEMO market notice 80022 16/11/2020 01:39:08 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-generation-12GW_16Nov2020-115x115.jpg "NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 1)")
NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 1)
Posted on November 26, 2020 | No CommentsThe summer hasn’t even started yet and the first lack-of-reserve and outage notices have appeared. 16 November 2020 (1) Line Outage Upper Tumut- Stockdill AEMO market notice 80022 16/11/2020 01:39:08 […] -
![Fig 1: BP is in peak oil mode BP shuts down Kwinana refinery with 600 jobs expected to go, Commonwealth says no impact on fuel security 30 Oct 2020 Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_imports_crude_products_1978-2019-115x115.jpg "Australia’s BP Kwinana refinery closure: peak oil context")
Australia’s BP Kwinana refinery closure: peak oil context
Posted on November 14, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: BP is in peak oil mode BP shuts down Kwinana refinery with 600 jobs expected to go, Commonwealth says no impact on fuel security 30 Oct 2020 Fig […] -
![In the previous posts we have shown that the peak oil problem in Asia is mainly a problem of skyrocketing consumption at an additional 1 mb/d (2.8%) each year. Whereas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Japan-fuel-consumption_1965-2019-1-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 4)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 4)
Posted on September 10, 2020 | No CommentsIn the previous posts we have shown that the peak oil problem in Asia is mainly a problem of skyrocketing consumption at an additional 1 mb/d (2.8%) each year. Whereas […] -
![Fig 22: The peak of the largest producer China determined the Asian peak From the countries in Fig 22 the 3rd and 4th largest oil importers are Thailand and Indonesia […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia-Pacific-oil-production_BP-1965_2019-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 3)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 3)
Posted on August 17, 2020 | No CommentsFig 22: The peak of the largest producer China determined the Asian peak From the countries in Fig 22 the 3rd and 4th largest oil importers are Thailand and Indonesia […]
