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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![If everything goes well, that is. Armed conflicts in oil producing countries, socio economic unrest and other unforeseen events impacting on oil supplies are not included in this estimate. The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/Comparison_WEO_2010_Aleklett_crude_oil-115x115.jpg "ASPO: 2020 crude oil production down by around 8 mb/d")
ASPO: 2020 crude oil production down by around 8 mb/d
Posted on May 17, 2011 | No CommentsIf everything goes well, that is. Armed conflicts in oil producing countries, socio economic unrest and other unforeseen events impacting on oil supplies are not included in this estimate. The […] -
![In general terms, the allocation in the Federal Budget 2011 for road and rail is NOT a portfolio of projects which will increase the economy’s productivity in the use of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/Albury_Rail_Line-115x115.jpg "Australian 2011 budget allocation road/rail will not mitigate oil crunch")
Australian 2011 budget allocation road/rail will not mitigate oil crunch
Posted on May 13, 2011 | No CommentsIn general terms, the allocation in the Federal Budget 2011 for road and rail is NOT a portfolio of projects which will increase the economy’s productivity in the use of […] -
![Only days after the ABC TV broadcasted an interview with IEA chief economist Fatih Birol who warned that peak oil happened in 2006 and that the world should have prepared […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/M2_Foundation_work_Beecroft_Rd_bridge_7_May_2011-115x115.jpg "Sydney now beyond point of no return")
Sydney now beyond point of no return
Posted on May 9, 2011 | No CommentsOnly days after the ABC TV broadcasted an interview with IEA chief economist Fatih Birol who warned that peak oil happened in 2006 and that the world should have prepared […] -
![This is a classical example of a negative feed back loop of peak oil. Armed conflicts about the 2nd half of oil reduce oil production more than oil-geology. In its April 2011 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/Libya_oil_field_pipeline_map_10_April_2011-115x115.jpg "Libya oil field battle lines")
Libya oil field battle lines
Posted on May 5, 2011 | No CommentsThis is a classical example of a negative feed back loop of peak oil. Armed conflicts about the 2nd half of oil reduce oil production more than oil-geology. In its April 2011 […] -
![In a press release dated 28/4/2011 the Energy Information Administration of the US Department of Energy announced they will terminate updates to International Energy Statistics due to FY 2011 budget […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/Houston_we_have_a_problem_bubbles-115x115.jpg "EIA terminates updates to International Energy Statistics")
EIA terminates updates to International Energy Statistics
Posted on May 1, 2011 | No CommentsIn a press release dated 28/4/2011 the Energy Information Administration of the US Department of Energy announced they will terminate updates to International Energy Statistics due to FY 2011 budget […] -
![http://www.abc.net.au/catalyst/oilcrunch/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaNz3qS5WAo This is a short summary of the essential statements. The International Energy Agency’s chief economist Fatih Birol “When we look at the oil markets the news […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Oil_crunch_logo-115x115.jpg "IEA oil crunch warning: governments should have worked on it 10 years ago")
IEA oil crunch warning: governments should have worked on it 10 years ago
Posted on April 28, 2011 | No Commentshttp://www.abc.net.au/catalyst/oilcrunch/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaNz3qS5WAo This is a short summary of the essential statements. The International Energy Agency’s chief economist Fatih Birol “When we look at the oil markets the news […] -
![Saudi Arabia’s crude oil production will not increase beyond an average level of 8.7 mb/d (average last 20 years: 8.3 mb/d) until 2015. This is what OPEC Governor Majed al […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/3moneef_s-115x115.jpg "OPEC report: Saudi oil exports to decline")
OPEC report: Saudi oil exports to decline
Posted on April 27, 2011 | No CommentsSaudi Arabia’s crude oil production will not increase beyond an average level of 8.7 mb/d (average last 20 years: 8.3 mb/d) until 2015. This is what OPEC Governor Majed al […] -
![Australia imported a record 519 Kb/d of crude oil in the 12 months from March 2010 to February 2011, 50 Kbd/d or 11% higher than in the last boom period […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/HS_Alcina_Kurnell_Port_Botany_Feb_20111-115x115.jpg "Australia’s crude oil imports on record high")
Australia’s crude oil imports on record high
Posted on April 25, 2011 | No CommentsAustralia imported a record 519 Kb/d of crude oil in the 12 months from March 2010 to February 2011, 50 Kbd/d or 11% higher than in the last boom period […] -
![In a benchmark scenario of its latest World Economic Outlook (April 2011) the International Monetary Fund (IMF) analyses what it calls oil scarcity (after “energy security” another code word for […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/IMF-115x115.jpg "IMF warns of oil scarcity and a 60% oil price increase within a year")
IMF warns of oil scarcity and a 60% oil price increase within a year
Posted on April 20, 2011 | No CommentsIn a benchmark scenario of its latest World Economic Outlook (April 2011) the International Monetary Fund (IMF) analyses what it calls oil scarcity (after “energy security” another code word for […] -
![This is the second time in 2 ½ years that Ford is cutting jobs, just when oil prices spike. Ford to shed 240 local jobs, cut production as demand slumps […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Ford_Falcon_XT-115x96.jpg "Ford cuts jobs in Australia – more signs of peak oil")
Ford cuts jobs in Australia – more signs of peak oil
Posted on April 15, 2011 | No CommentsThis is the second time in 2 ½ years that Ford is cutting jobs, just when oil prices spike. Ford to shed 240 local jobs, cut production as demand slumps […]
