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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![In 2011, I wrote a total of 55 posts. The menu system was also expanded with readily available graphs and other information. These were the topics in 2011: (1) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Libya_oil_production_at_standstill-115x115.jpg "Crudeoilpeak Summary 2011")
Crudeoilpeak Summary 2011
Posted on December 29, 2011 | No CommentsIn 2011, I wrote a total of 55 posts. The menu system was also expanded with readily available graphs and other information. These were the topics in 2011: (1) […] -
![(1) By continent (1.1) North America Growing Canadian production from tar sand syn crude could not offset Mexican decline. The US was able to increase production after the last hurricane […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Incremental_crude_World_2001_Aug2011-115x115.jpg "Incremental crude oil production August 2011")
Incremental crude oil production August 2011
Posted on December 26, 2011 | No Comments(1) By continent (1.1) North America Growing Canadian production from tar sand syn crude could not offset Mexican decline. The US was able to increase production after the last hurricane […] -
![It is unbelievable. We are now in year #7 of peak oil, and a newly released draft of an Energy White Paper of the Australian government, together with a suite […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/EIA_crude_production_2001_Aug_2011-115x115.jpg "Australian Energy White (Wash) Paper 2011: peak oil denial not yet peaked")
Australian Energy White (Wash) Paper 2011: peak oil denial not yet peaked
Posted on December 19, 2011 | No CommentsIt is unbelievable. We are now in year #7 of peak oil, and a newly released draft of an Energy White Paper of the Australian government, together with a suite […] -
![On 22/11/2011 I tested the XPT train from Sydney to Melbourne on my way to the conference Building Community Resilience and Minimising Risk http://www.mav.asn.au/events/Pages/Building-Community-Resilience-and-Minimizing-Risk-23112011.aspx organised by the Municipal Association of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/xpt_power-115x115.jpg "Australian intercity rail run-down and unprepared to replace domestic flights after peak oil")
Australian intercity rail run-down and unprepared to replace domestic flights after peak oil
Posted on December 5, 2011 | No CommentsOn 22/11/2011 I tested the XPT train from Sydney to Melbourne on my way to the conference Building Community Resilience and Minimising Risk http://www.mav.asn.au/events/Pages/Building-Community-Resilience-and-Minimizing-Risk-23112011.aspx organised by the Municipal Association of […] -
![At the APEC summit in November 2011 we find in the Honolulu declaration under “Promoting green growth”: We will also take the following steps to promote our green growth goals: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/ms-gillard-and-the-apec-with-obama-115x115.jpg "APEC energy intensity reductions: what it means for Australian oil consumption")
APEC energy intensity reductions: what it means for Australian oil consumption
Posted on November 20, 2011 | No CommentsAt the APEC summit in November 2011 we find in the Honolulu declaration under “Promoting green growth”: We will also take the following steps to promote our green growth goals: […] -
![(A) Why is the timeline for an orderly transition just 10 years? Oil: We have missed implementation windows for peak oil mitigation long ago: In Australia: “Yes, Prime Minister”, peak […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Peak_oil_global_warming_peak_debt_ME_geopolitics-115x115.jpg "System dynamics peak oil, financial and CO2 debt, ME geopolitics")
System dynamics peak oil, financial and CO2 debt, ME geopolitics
Posted on November 9, 2011 | No Comments(A) Why is the timeline for an orderly transition just 10 years? Oil: We have missed implementation windows for peak oil mitigation long ago: In Australia: “Yes, Prime Minister”, peak […] -
![Qantas grounds all flights 29/10/2011 http://www.smh.com.au/travel/travel-news/qantas-grounds-all-flights-20111029-1mpao.html These problems don’t come unexpectedly Qantas cuts staff, flights to counter fuel price hit 30/3/2011 “The price of Singapore jet fuel has risen from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Qantas_planes_parked_30_Oct_2011-115x115.jpg "Qantas hit by invisible hand of peak oil")
Qantas hit by invisible hand of peak oil
Posted on October 30, 2011 | No CommentsQantas grounds all flights 29/10/2011 http://www.smh.com.au/travel/travel-news/qantas-grounds-all-flights-20111029-1mpao.html These problems don’t come unexpectedly Qantas cuts staff, flights to counter fuel price hit 30/3/2011 “The price of Singapore jet fuel has risen from […] -
![Among OECD countries Australia is #1 in increasing its net oil imports over the last decade, for some a proud, for others a sad achievement. Federal Resource Minister Martin Ferguson […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Incremental_net_oil_imports_OECD_excl_US_Japan_2002_May2011-115x115.jpg "Australia beats them all – in oil imports")
Australia beats them all – in oil imports
Posted on October 18, 2011 | No CommentsAmong OECD countries Australia is #1 in increasing its net oil imports over the last decade, for some a proud, for others a sad achievement. Federal Resource Minister Martin Ferguson […] -
![Gas series part 2: NSW Scarred landscape: 90 coal seam gas wells South of Chinchilla, Queensland 6,000 wells are needed for the QCLNG export project over 20 years. Are we […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Murray-Goulburn-LNG-12-08-115x115.jpg "NSW gas as transport fuel. Where are the plans?")
NSW gas as transport fuel. Where are the plans?
Posted on October 13, 2011 | No CommentsGas series part 2: NSW Scarred landscape: 90 coal seam gas wells South of Chinchilla, Queensland 6,000 wells are needed for the QCLNG export project over 20 years. Are we […] -
![East Coast Part 1 Oil crunch in year x: truck in a convoy of consequences for Canberra LNG export terminal in Gladstone Going…..going……gone Contents (1) The national gas supply context […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Truck_where_is_our_gas-115x115.jpg "Australia’s natural gas squandered in LNG exports")
Australia’s natural gas squandered in LNG exports
Posted on October 10, 2011 | No CommentsEast Coast Part 1 Oil crunch in year x: truck in a convoy of consequences for Canberra LNG export terminal in Gladstone Going…..going……gone Contents (1) The national gas supply context […]
