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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![In parts 1 and 2 of this series of articles on the proposed NorthConnex road tunnel we found that project related documents fail to deal with oil supply constraints and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Cheltenham_construction_work_Mar2014_small-115x115.jpg "Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while competing rail projects under construction (part 3)")
Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while competing rail projects under construction (part 3)
Posted on March 31, 2014 | No CommentsIn parts 1 and 2 of this series of articles on the proposed NorthConnex road tunnel we found that project related documents fail to deal with oil supply constraints and […] -
![The 1st part of this series of articles analysed that the oil supply situation will be tight by 2019 when the proposed road tunnel is supposed to open. This 2nd […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/bcr_2004_skm_page22-115x115.jpg "Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while Benefit Cost Ratio is low (part 2)")
Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney while Benefit Cost Ratio is low (part 2)
Posted on March 30, 2014 | No CommentsThe 1st part of this series of articles analysed that the oil supply situation will be tight by 2019 when the proposed road tunnel is supposed to open. This 2nd […] -
![The Federal government refused to financially help car manufacturers and airlines, arguing that companies need to get their “house in order”. The Federal budget is deep in the red. Yet, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/NorthConnex_video3-115x115.jpg "Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney as next oil price spike looms (part 1)")
Australian governments want to pay $810m subsidy for unviable road tunnel in Sydney as next oil price spike looms (part 1)
Posted on March 27, 2014 | No CommentsThe Federal government refused to financially help car manufacturers and airlines, arguing that companies need to get their “house in order”. The Federal budget is deep in the red. Yet, […] -
![In an interview with ASPO USA in January 2014 Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr. Sadad-Al-Husseini predicted oil price spikes of $140 by 2016/17. This post shows some graphs explaining why this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Husseini_projection_intersection_point_EIA_WEO_2013_demand-115x115.jpg "Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr Husseini predicts oil price spikes of USD 140 by 2016-17: graphs")
Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr Husseini predicts oil price spikes of USD 140 by 2016-17: graphs
Posted on March 15, 2014 | No CommentsIn an interview with ASPO USA in January 2014 Ex-Saudi Aramco geologist Dr. Sadad-Al-Husseini predicted oil price spikes of $140 by 2016/17. This post shows some graphs explaining why this […] -
![Unnoticed by the mainstream media, US shale oil covers up a recent decline of crude oil production of 1.5 mb/d in the rest of world (using data up to Oct […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Incremental_World_Crude_Oil_Jan2001-Oct2013-115x115.jpg "World crude production 2013 without shale oil is back to 2005 levels")
World crude production 2013 without shale oil is back to 2005 levels
Posted on March 13, 2014 | No CommentsUnnoticed by the mainstream media, US shale oil covers up a recent decline of crude oil production of 1.5 mb/d in the rest of world (using data up to Oct […] -
![The Sydney Morning Herald published the following article 2 days after Qantas CEO Alan Joyce announced a 1st half year loss of $252 million and job cuts of 5,000 Mayday: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Qantas_fuel_cost_vs_avialable_seat_kms_1999_2014E-115x115.jpg "The end of airlines predicted by no other than former Qantas CEO Geoff Dixon in July 2008")
The end of airlines predicted by no other than former Qantas CEO Geoff Dixon in July 2008
Posted on March 4, 2014 | No CommentsThe Sydney Morning Herald published the following article 2 days after Qantas CEO Alan Joyce announced a 1st half year loss of $252 million and job cuts of 5,000 Mayday: […] -
![21 Feb 2014 Shell today announced it has reached a binding agreement to sell its Australia downstream businesses (excluding Aviation) to Vitol for a total transaction value of approximately A$2.9 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Shell_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2012-115x115.jpg "Geelong refinery sold as Shell’s oil production continues to decline")
Geelong refinery sold as Shell’s oil production continues to decline
Posted on February 23, 2014 | No Comments21 Feb 2014 Shell today announced it has reached a binding agreement to sell its Australia downstream businesses (excluding Aviation) to Vitol for a total transaction value of approximately A$2.9 […] -
![4 ½ years after I advised former Industry Minister Kim Carr to help the Australian car industry retool to manufacture CNG buses, rail cars and components for the renewable energy […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/wide-toyota-stop-620x349-115x115.jpg "I told you so: Australian car industry closing down")
I told you so: Australian car industry closing down
Posted on February 16, 2014 | No Comments4 ½ years after I advised former Industry Minister Kim Carr to help the Australian car industry retool to manufacture CNG buses, rail cars and components for the renewable energy […] -
![Summary Virgin’s operating revenues have grown more than 4-fold over 10 years but since 2009 – the year peak oil triggered the global financial crisis – operating expenses were as […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Virgin_Australia_fuel_cost_vs_ASK_2003_2013-115x115.jpg "Despite growth in passenger numbers Virgin Australia can’t make money since 2009")
Despite growth in passenger numbers Virgin Australia can’t make money since 2009
Posted on February 12, 2014 | No CommentsSummary Virgin’s operating revenues have grown more than 4-fold over 10 years but since 2009 – the year peak oil triggered the global financial crisis – operating expenses were as […] -
![In his latest research on shale oil French oil geologist Jean Laherrere from ASPO France http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/texts/documents estimates a Bakken shale oil peak in 2014 He uses a Hubbert linearization to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/North_Dakota_crude_oil_production_forecast_4-7_and_6-2Gb_Laherrere_Aug2014-115x115.png "Jean Laherrere uses Hubbert linearization to estimate Bakken shale oil peak in 2014")
Jean Laherrere uses Hubbert linearization to estimate Bakken shale oil peak in 2014
Posted on January 31, 2014 | No CommentsIn his latest research on shale oil French oil geologist Jean Laherrere from ASPO France http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/texts/documents estimates a Bakken shale oil peak in 2014 He uses a Hubbert linearization to […]
