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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![Summary: Oil reserves as reported in the Statistical Review have experienced a phenomenal growth but are not all proven (1P) reserves as claimed. The reserve tables provided contain a mixture […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Chavez_heavy_oil-115x115.jpg "BP Statistical Review 2012 The incredible growth of oil(y) resources")
BP Statistical Review 2012 The incredible growth of oil(y) resources
Posted on August 12, 2012 | No CommentsSummary: Oil reserves as reported in the Statistical Review have experienced a phenomenal growth but are not all proven (1P) reserves as claimed. The reserve tables provided contain a mixture […] -
![“Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said in Tehran that Iran has become addicted to selling crude oil and the time has come that the country voluntarily shut down some […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Grand_Ayatollah_Ali_Khamenei-635x357-115x115.jpg "Iran’s 2nd and last oil peak")
Iran’s 2nd and last oil peak
Posted on August 7, 2012 | No Comments“Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said in Tehran that Iran has become addicted to selling crude oil and the time has come that the country voluntarily shut down some […] -
![Oil prices are now 5-6 times higher than in the late 1990s and 3-4 times higher than in the early 2000s before peak oil started in 2005. Now, do governments […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Car_pooling_fun-115x115.jpg "Poor peak oil preparation rating for NSW budget 2012")
Poor peak oil preparation rating for NSW budget 2012
Posted on August 3, 2012 | No CommentsOil prices are now 5-6 times higher than in the late 1990s and 3-4 times higher than in the early 2000s before peak oil started in 2005. Now, do governments […] -
![Welcome to the Asian century. As the Caltex refinery in Sydney will close in 2014, Caltex will get its fuel from Chevron with refineries in Singapore, Thailand and South Korea. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Kurnell-closed-115x115.jpg "After Sydney refinery closure, Caltex to import fuel from Chevron’s shrinking sales")
After Sydney refinery closure, Caltex to import fuel from Chevron’s shrinking sales
Posted on July 27, 2012 | No CommentsWelcome to the Asian century. As the Caltex refinery in Sydney will close in 2014, Caltex will get its fuel from Chevron with refineries in Singapore, Thailand and South Korea. […] -
![This is easy to check. From the Geoscience Australia website (GA – Oil and Gas Resources of Australia – OGRA) we add total reserves (proved and probable = 2P) for […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/BP_Stat_Review_proved_reserves_vs_GA_proven_and_probable_reserves_1980_2011-115x115.jpg "BP Statistical Review 2012 Part 2 Australia proved oil reserves overreported by a factor of 2")
BP Statistical Review 2012 Part 2 Australia proved oil reserves overreported by a factor of 2
Posted on July 25, 2012 | No CommentsThis is easy to check. From the Geoscience Australia website (GA – Oil and Gas Resources of Australia – OGRA) we add total reserves (proved and probable = 2P) for […] -
![Summary Brisconnections’ Airport Link is based on a financing model with increasing debt until 2026 and repayment of debt only after 2035. In the context of the evolving debt crisis […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/AirportLink_Bowen_Hills-115x115.jpg "Brisbane Airport Link: another tollway miracle of growing debt and assumed traffic growth (part 1)")
Brisbane Airport Link: another tollway miracle of growing debt and assumed traffic growth (part 1)
Posted on July 6, 2012 | No CommentsSummary Brisconnections’ Airport Link is based on a financing model with increasing debt until 2026 and repayment of debt only after 2035. In the context of the evolving debt crisis […] -
![Do it yourself. This takes 2 minutes. Australian government web site. CLICK 1 Type in google the search word “Geoscience Australia” CLICK 2 Click on http://www.ga.gov.au/ CLICK 3 Click on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Australian_EDR_of_crude_oil_Produced_Remaining_1982_2010_trend_2020-115x115.jpg "10 mouse clicks to calculate Australian crude oil depletion of 83 per cent")
10 mouse clicks to calculate Australian crude oil depletion of 83 per cent
Posted on June 25, 2012 | No CommentsDo it yourself. This takes 2 minutes. Australian government web site. CLICK 1 Type in google the search word “Geoscience Australia” CLICK 2 Click on http://www.ga.gov.au/ CLICK 3 Click on […] -
![The Pocahontas tollway South of Richmond, Virginia, is the latest example how the combination of embellished traffic projections and a weak economy – caused by high oil prices – have […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Pocahontas_tollway_traffic_actual_vs_projected_gasoline_prices_2002_2012-115x115.jpg "Ghost traffic on US tollway hits peak oil ignorant banks and investors")
Ghost traffic on US tollway hits peak oil ignorant banks and investors
Posted on June 21, 2012 | No CommentsThe Pocahontas tollway South of Richmond, Virginia, is the latest example how the combination of embellished traffic projections and a weak economy – caused by high oil prices – have […] -
![Graphs prepared using data from the BP Statistical Review 2012 http://www.bp.com/sectionbodycopy.do?categoryId=7500&contentId=7068481 (1) Discrepancies BP data show oil consumption being higher than oil production. The discrepancy has been growing from 1998 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/BP_Stat_Review_2012_Production_Deficit_1987_2011-115x115.jpg "BP Statistical Review 2012 Analysis Part 1 Discrepancies and Peak Exports")
BP Statistical Review 2012 Analysis Part 1 Discrepancies and Peak Exports
Posted on June 14, 2012 | No CommentsGraphs prepared using data from the BP Statistical Review 2012 http://www.bp.com/sectionbodycopy.do?categoryId=7500&contentId=7068481 (1) Discrepancies BP data show oil consumption being higher than oil production. The discrepancy has been growing from 1998 […] -
![From the Economist’s website: global public debt has reached $US 45 trillion. http://www.economist.com/content/global_debt_clock We compare the stacked debt curves with the NYMEX oil price: The steep rise of both debt […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Global_debt_clock_4_June_2012-115x115.jpg "Global debt and oil prices")
Global debt and oil prices
Posted on June 4, 2012 | No CommentsFrom the Economist’s website: global public debt has reached $US 45 trillion. http://www.economist.com/content/global_debt_clock We compare the stacked debt curves with the NYMEX oil price: The steep rise of both debt […]
