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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![Demolition work on the M2, to make way for a 3rd car lane 9/12/2012 While the Middle East is falling apart, with yet unknown consequences for oil supplies, only 3 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/M2_Epping_BusRamp_Demolition_9Dec2012_medium_resolution-115x115.jpg "Wanton destruction of bus ramp in Sydney continues")
Wanton destruction of bus ramp in Sydney continues
Posted on December 20, 2012 | No CommentsDemolition work on the M2, to make way for a 3rd car lane 9/12/2012 While the Middle East is falling apart, with yet unknown consequences for oil supplies, only 3 […] -
![This is an update to the previous article on US shale oil Summary The US based Energy Information Administration has increased its previous crude oil production forecast from 6.7 mb/d […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/US_liquids_consumption_production_net_imports_to_2040-115x115.jpg "US still needs to import 50 percent of its crude oil requirements despite increasing shale oil production")
US still needs to import 50 percent of its crude oil requirements despite increasing shale oil production
Posted on December 13, 2012 | No CommentsThis is an update to the previous article on US shale oil Summary The US based Energy Information Administration has increased its previous crude oil production forecast from 6.7 mb/d […] -
![The media are full of reports – quoting the recently published World Energy Outlook of the International Energy Agency (IEA) – about an energy revolution in the US, which is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/US_field_production_crude_Aug_2012-115x115.jpg "US shale oil hype")
US shale oil hype
Posted on November 21, 2012 | No CommentsThe media are full of reports – quoting the recently published World Energy Outlook of the International Energy Agency (IEA) – about an energy revolution in the US, which is […] -
![In April 2009, in an energy white paper workshop in Sydney’s Crowne Plaza the participants were told not to debate peak oil but agree on an objective “Away from oil”. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Sydney_Masterplan_Wider_Motorways-115x115.jpg "Australian Infrastructure bosses want more traffic on motorways")
Australian Infrastructure bosses want more traffic on motorways
Posted on November 7, 2012 | No CommentsIn April 2009, in an energy white paper workshop in Sydney’s Crowne Plaza the participants were told not to debate peak oil but agree on an objective “Away from oil”. […] -
![With the publication of the “20 year State Infrastructure Strategy” by INSW the thorny issue of a second Sydney airport was raised again. High time to look at air traffic […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Sydney_airport_actual_pax_vs_SACL_BITRE_Joint_Study_2012-115x115.jpg "Peak oil lite: Sydney airport passenger traffic 15 % below 2009 forecast (part 1)")
Peak oil lite: Sydney airport passenger traffic 15 % below 2009 forecast (part 1)
Posted on October 7, 2012 | No CommentsWith the publication of the “20 year State Infrastructure Strategy” by INSW the thorny issue of a second Sydney airport was raised again. High time to look at air traffic […] -
![Massive minesweeping exercise begins off Bahrain 21/9/2012 Reporting from the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea (CNN) — More than three dozen nations have converged on the seas around Bahrain […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/Map_mine_sweeping_exercise-115x115.jpg "Minesweeping exercise near Saudi oil hub")
Minesweeping exercise near Saudi oil hub
Posted on September 24, 2012 | No CommentsMassive minesweeping exercise begins off Bahrain 21/9/2012 Reporting from the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea (CNN) — More than three dozen nations have converged on the seas around Bahrain […] -
![In this post I add some graphs into the interview transcript. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-09-17/peak-oil-and-the-threat-to-growth/4266638 On youtube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGphOQXCt2s Ticky Fullerton, ABC TV Lateline Business: “There have been few more passionate debates in resource […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/Ticky_Richard_interview-115x115.jpg "ABC TV Interview with Richard Heinberg on peak oil and the end of growth")
ABC TV Interview with Richard Heinberg on peak oil and the end of growth
Posted on September 18, 2012 | No CommentsIn this post I add some graphs into the interview transcript. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-09-17/peak-oil-and-the-threat-to-growth/4266638 On youtube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGphOQXCt2s Ticky Fullerton, ABC TV Lateline Business: “There have been few more passionate debates in resource […] -
![The title of this post refers to a term first used by the late Matt Simmons (2005 book “The coming Saudi oil shock and the world economy”) Grandiose statements about […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/South_East_Asian_oil_supplies_1980_2011-115x115.jpg "South East Asian oil peak in the rear view mirror (part 1)")
South East Asian oil peak in the rear view mirror (part 1)
Posted on September 10, 2012 | No CommentsThe title of this post refers to a term first used by the late Matt Simmons (2005 book “The coming Saudi oil shock and the world economy”) Grandiose statements about […] -
![BHP mothballs Olympic Dam expansion BHP’s decision to change its strategy on its Olympic Dam expansion came as the company announced a 35 per cent slide in net profit http://www.smh.com.au/business/mining-and-resources/bhp-mothballs-olympic-dam-expansion-20120822-24m4i.html […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/BHP_Billiton_suspends_expansion-115x115.jpg "BHP Billiton’s Australian oil reserves in decline")
BHP Billiton’s Australian oil reserves in decline
Posted on August 24, 2012 | No CommentsBHP mothballs Olympic Dam expansion BHP’s decision to change its strategy on its Olympic Dam expansion came as the company announced a 35 per cent slide in net profit http://www.smh.com.au/business/mining-and-resources/bhp-mothballs-olympic-dam-expansion-20120822-24m4i.html […] -
![Transurban – just like Greece – does not pay back its debt. They are jost rolling over debt, but not paying it back. Come the next credit squeeze and the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Transurban_debt_clock-115x115.jpg "Transurban does not pay back its debt")
Transurban does not pay back its debt
Posted on August 14, 2012 | No CommentsTransurban – just like Greece – does not pay back its debt. They are jost rolling over debt, but not paying it back. Come the next credit squeeze and the […]
