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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![On past trends of growing ethanol use in cars it would take 14 years to replace all unleaded petrol presently used in Australia. Any traffic growth, e.g. caused by the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Australian_E10_sales_2005_2011-115x115.jpg "Ethanol blended E10 would take 14 years to replace ULP in Australia")
Ethanol blended E10 would take 14 years to replace ULP in Australia
Posted on January 30, 2012 | No CommentsOn past trends of growing ethanol use in cars it would take 14 years to replace all unleaded petrol presently used in Australia. Any traffic growth, e.g. caused by the […] -
![(1) Actual production We have 3 components of oil supplies from different sources: crude oil only (statistics from IEA) condensate (statistics from EIA) natural gas liquids (statistics from EIA) Note […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Algeria_Laherrere_production_projection_to_2050-115x115.jpg "Crude oil peak in Algeria")
Crude oil peak in Algeria
Posted on January 27, 2012 | No Comments(1) Actual production We have 3 components of oil supplies from different sources: crude oil only (statistics from IEA) condensate (statistics from EIA) natural gas liquids (statistics from EIA) Note […] -
![http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/all-evidence-of-this-treachery-went-down-the-memory-hole/story-e6frezz0-1226248729853 The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline The report can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/BITRE_Report_117_Global_oil_Supply_Peak_2017-115x115.jpg "Australian Peaky Leaks goes mainstream")
Australian Peaky Leaks goes mainstream
Posted on January 20, 2012 | No Commentshttp://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/all-evidence-of-this-treachery-went-down-the-memory-hole/story-e6frezz0-1226248729853 The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline The report can […] -
![Fuel subsidies in oil producing countries are a big problem not only because they are a burden for budgets but also because they result in an inefficient oil supply environment. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Nigeria_petrol_price_doubled_Jan2012-115x115.jpg "Nigeria: oil producers try to reduce fuel subsidies")
Nigeria: oil producers try to reduce fuel subsidies
Posted on January 16, 2012 | No CommentsFuel subsidies in oil producing countries are a big problem not only because they are a burden for budgets but also because they result in an inefficient oil supply environment. […] -
![As the world enters year 8 of peak oil with wafer thin spare capacity to offset any supply disruptions, war games around the heart of the Middle East oil supply […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Iran_war_games_Jan_2012-115x115.jpg "Iran playing war games, but not in video arcades")
Iran playing war games, but not in video arcades
Posted on January 6, 2012 | No CommentsAs the world enters year 8 of peak oil with wafer thin spare capacity to offset any supply disruptions, war games around the heart of the Middle East oil supply […] -
![In 2011, I wrote a total of 55 posts. The menu system was also expanded with readily available graphs and other information. These were the topics in 2011: (1) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Libya_oil_production_at_standstill-115x115.jpg "Crudeoilpeak Summary 2011")
Crudeoilpeak Summary 2011
Posted on December 29, 2011 | No CommentsIn 2011, I wrote a total of 55 posts. The menu system was also expanded with readily available graphs and other information. These were the topics in 2011: (1) […] -
![(1) By continent (1.1) North America Growing Canadian production from tar sand syn crude could not offset Mexican decline. The US was able to increase production after the last hurricane […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Incremental_crude_World_2001_Aug2011-115x115.jpg "Incremental crude oil production August 2011")
Incremental crude oil production August 2011
Posted on December 26, 2011 | No Comments(1) By continent (1.1) North America Growing Canadian production from tar sand syn crude could not offset Mexican decline. The US was able to increase production after the last hurricane […] -
![It is unbelievable. We are now in year #7 of peak oil, and a newly released draft of an Energy White Paper of the Australian government, together with a suite […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/EIA_crude_production_2001_Aug_2011-115x115.jpg "Australian Energy White (Wash) Paper 2011: peak oil denial not yet peaked")
Australian Energy White (Wash) Paper 2011: peak oil denial not yet peaked
Posted on December 19, 2011 | No CommentsIt is unbelievable. We are now in year #7 of peak oil, and a newly released draft of an Energy White Paper of the Australian government, together with a suite […] -
![On 22/11/2011 I tested the XPT train from Sydney to Melbourne on my way to the conference Building Community Resilience and Minimising Risk http://www.mav.asn.au/events/Pages/Building-Community-Resilience-and-Minimizing-Risk-23112011.aspx organised by the Municipal Association of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/xpt_power-115x115.jpg "Australian intercity rail run-down and unprepared to replace domestic flights after peak oil")
Australian intercity rail run-down and unprepared to replace domestic flights after peak oil
Posted on December 5, 2011 | No CommentsOn 22/11/2011 I tested the XPT train from Sydney to Melbourne on my way to the conference Building Community Resilience and Minimising Risk http://www.mav.asn.au/events/Pages/Building-Community-Resilience-and-Minimizing-Risk-23112011.aspx organised by the Municipal Association of […] -
![At the APEC summit in November 2011 we find in the Honolulu declaration under “Promoting green growth”: We will also take the following steps to promote our green growth goals: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/ms-gillard-and-the-apec-with-obama-115x115.jpg "APEC energy intensity reductions: what it means for Australian oil consumption")
APEC energy intensity reductions: what it means for Australian oil consumption
Posted on November 20, 2011 | No CommentsAt the APEC summit in November 2011 we find in the Honolulu declaration under “Promoting green growth”: We will also take the following steps to promote our green growth goals: […]
