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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![This article is on Alan Kohler ‘s piece “The death of peak oil” http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-02-29/kohler-oil-reserves-shift-global-markets/3859118 Contents: (1) Too many peaks to handle (2) US shale oil production and projections (3) Tough […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Denial_function_rc-115x115.jpg "No number crunching in Alan Kohler opinion piece on premature peak oil death")
No number crunching in Alan Kohler opinion piece on premature peak oil death
Posted on March 7, 2012 | No CommentsThis article is on Alan Kohler ‘s piece “The death of peak oil” http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-02-29/kohler-oil-reserves-shift-global-markets/3859118 Contents: (1) Too many peaks to handle (2) US shale oil production and projections (3) Tough […] -
![Read about the bizarre proceedings during the February 2012 budget estimate hearings in the Australian Senate. Capital Hill in Canberra seemed to be more remote than ever from the reality […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Senator_Edwards-115x115.jpg "Australian government kicks own goals in Senate peak oil debate (peaky leaks part 3)")
Australian government kicks own goals in Senate peak oil debate (peaky leaks part 3)
Posted on February 24, 2012 | No CommentsRead about the bizarre proceedings during the February 2012 budget estimate hearings in the Australian Senate. Capital Hill in Canberra seemed to be more remote than ever from the reality […] -
![This web-site continues to monitor the disconnect between toll-way expansions in Australia and global crude oil supplies. The latest peak-oil ignorant action in car-addicted Sydney is the demolition of a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Bus_ramp_destruction_M2_Wrong_Way-115x115.jpg "Car addicted Sindney destroys bus ramp near rail hub as tollway debt increases 60 pct at least")
Car addicted Sindney destroys bus ramp near rail hub as tollway debt increases 60 pct at least
Posted on February 12, 2012 | No CommentsThis web-site continues to monitor the disconnect between toll-way expansions in Australia and global crude oil supplies. The latest peak-oil ignorant action in car-addicted Sydney is the demolition of a […] -
![Propeller has stalled in flight, but rail development for Canberra hasn’t even taken off 3/2/2012 “The Nation’s transport boss has been caught up in a mid-air drama above Canberra with […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/3231973045_89a319d628_o-115x115.jpg "Australian peak oil report ignored for urgent Sydney-Canberra rail upgrade (peaky leaks part2)")
Australian peak oil report ignored for urgent Sydney-Canberra rail upgrade (peaky leaks part2)
Posted on February 5, 2012 | No CommentsPropeller has stalled in flight, but rail development for Canberra hasn’t even taken off 3/2/2012 “The Nation’s transport boss has been caught up in a mid-air drama above Canberra with […] -
![What has been overlooked in Alan Jone’s 2GB campaign on the dumped BITRE report 117 http://ianmcpherson.com/blog/audio/jones_bitre_25-01-2012.mp3 is that concession periods of toll-ways extend far into the era of steep oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/BITRE_Report_117_Peak_Oil_2017_M2_concession_period_2046-115x115.jpg "M2 concession period extends into era of steep oil decline")
M2 concession period extends into era of steep oil decline
Posted on February 1, 2012 | No CommentsWhat has been overlooked in Alan Jone’s 2GB campaign on the dumped BITRE report 117 http://ianmcpherson.com/blog/audio/jones_bitre_25-01-2012.mp3 is that concession periods of toll-ways extend far into the era of steep oil […] -
![On past trends of growing ethanol use in cars it would take 14 years to replace all unleaded petrol presently used in Australia. Any traffic growth, e.g. caused by the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Australian_E10_sales_2005_2011-115x115.jpg "Ethanol blended E10 would take 14 years to replace ULP in Australia")
Ethanol blended E10 would take 14 years to replace ULP in Australia
Posted on January 30, 2012 | No CommentsOn past trends of growing ethanol use in cars it would take 14 years to replace all unleaded petrol presently used in Australia. Any traffic growth, e.g. caused by the […] -
![(1) Actual production We have 3 components of oil supplies from different sources: crude oil only (statistics from IEA) condensate (statistics from EIA) natural gas liquids (statistics from EIA) Note […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Algeria_Laherrere_production_projection_to_2050-115x115.jpg "Crude oil peak in Algeria")
Crude oil peak in Algeria
Posted on January 27, 2012 | No Comments(1) Actual production We have 3 components of oil supplies from different sources: crude oil only (statistics from IEA) condensate (statistics from EIA) natural gas liquids (statistics from EIA) Note […] -
![http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/all-evidence-of-this-treachery-went-down-the-memory-hole/story-e6frezz0-1226248729853 The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline The report can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/BITRE_Report_117_Global_oil_Supply_Peak_2017-115x115.jpg "Australian Peaky Leaks goes mainstream")
Australian Peaky Leaks goes mainstream
Posted on January 20, 2012 | No Commentshttp://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/all-evidence-of-this-treachery-went-down-the-memory-hole/story-e6frezz0-1226248729853 The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline The report can […] -
![Fuel subsidies in oil producing countries are a big problem not only because they are a burden for budgets but also because they result in an inefficient oil supply environment. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Nigeria_petrol_price_doubled_Jan2012-115x115.jpg "Nigeria: oil producers try to reduce fuel subsidies")
Nigeria: oil producers try to reduce fuel subsidies
Posted on January 16, 2012 | No CommentsFuel subsidies in oil producing countries are a big problem not only because they are a burden for budgets but also because they result in an inefficient oil supply environment. […] -
![As the world enters year 8 of peak oil with wafer thin spare capacity to offset any supply disruptions, war games around the heart of the Middle East oil supply […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Iran_war_games_Jan_2012-115x115.jpg "Iran playing war games, but not in video arcades")
Iran playing war games, but not in video arcades
Posted on January 6, 2012 | No CommentsAs the world enters year 8 of peak oil with wafer thin spare capacity to offset any supply disruptions, war games around the heart of the Middle East oil supply […]
