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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![(A) Why is the timeline for an orderly transition just 10 years? Oil: We have missed implementation windows for peak oil mitigation long ago: In Australia: “Yes, Prime Minister”, peak […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Peak_oil_global_warming_peak_debt_ME_geopolitics-115x115.jpg "System dynamics peak oil, financial and CO2 debt, ME geopolitics")
System dynamics peak oil, financial and CO2 debt, ME geopolitics
Posted on November 9, 2011 | No Comments(A) Why is the timeline for an orderly transition just 10 years? Oil: We have missed implementation windows for peak oil mitigation long ago: In Australia: “Yes, Prime Minister”, peak […] -
![Qantas grounds all flights 29/10/2011 http://www.smh.com.au/travel/travel-news/qantas-grounds-all-flights-20111029-1mpao.html These problems don’t come unexpectedly Qantas cuts staff, flights to counter fuel price hit 30/3/2011 “The price of Singapore jet fuel has risen from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Qantas_planes_parked_30_Oct_2011-115x115.jpg "Qantas hit by invisible hand of peak oil")
Qantas hit by invisible hand of peak oil
Posted on October 30, 2011 | No CommentsQantas grounds all flights 29/10/2011 http://www.smh.com.au/travel/travel-news/qantas-grounds-all-flights-20111029-1mpao.html These problems don’t come unexpectedly Qantas cuts staff, flights to counter fuel price hit 30/3/2011 “The price of Singapore jet fuel has risen from […] -
![Among OECD countries Australia is #1 in increasing its net oil imports over the last decade, for some a proud, for others a sad achievement. Federal Resource Minister Martin Ferguson […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Incremental_net_oil_imports_OECD_excl_US_Japan_2002_May2011-115x115.jpg "Australia beats them all – in oil imports")
Australia beats them all – in oil imports
Posted on October 18, 2011 | No CommentsAmong OECD countries Australia is #1 in increasing its net oil imports over the last decade, for some a proud, for others a sad achievement. Federal Resource Minister Martin Ferguson […] -
![Gas series part 2: NSW Scarred landscape: 90 coal seam gas wells South of Chinchilla, Queensland 6,000 wells are needed for the QCLNG export project over 20 years. Are we […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Murray-Goulburn-LNG-12-08-115x115.jpg "NSW gas as transport fuel. Where are the plans?")
NSW gas as transport fuel. Where are the plans?
Posted on October 13, 2011 | No CommentsGas series part 2: NSW Scarred landscape: 90 coal seam gas wells South of Chinchilla, Queensland 6,000 wells are needed for the QCLNG export project over 20 years. Are we […] -
![East Coast Part 1 Oil crunch in year x: truck in a convoy of consequences for Canberra LNG export terminal in Gladstone Going…..going……gone Contents (1) The national gas supply context […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Truck_where_is_our_gas-115x115.jpg "Australia’s natural gas squandered in LNG exports")
Australia’s natural gas squandered in LNG exports
Posted on October 10, 2011 | No CommentsEast Coast Part 1 Oil crunch in year x: truck in a convoy of consequences for Canberra LNG export terminal in Gladstone Going…..going……gone Contents (1) The national gas supply context […] -
![Total crude oil exports peaked at 44.4 mb/d in 2005 and declined by 3.1 mb/d to 41.3 mb/d in 2009, double the rate at which crude production declined during the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Available_net_crude_oil_exports_1986_2010-115x115.jpg "Net crude oil exports – the shrinking commodity")
Net crude oil exports – the shrinking commodity
Posted on October 6, 2011 | No CommentsTotal crude oil exports peaked at 44.4 mb/d in 2005 and declined by 3.1 mb/d to 41.3 mb/d in 2009, double the rate at which crude production declined during the […] -
![Australian Senators continue to ignore oil depletion facts Extract from the Hansard, 14/9/2011 Senator MARK BISHOP (Western Australia) (17:20): ……….With our vast resources and rapidly expanding oil and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Production_Fig_2_OGRA_2009-115x115.jpg "Australian Senate ignores 80pc depletion level of crude oil")
Australian Senate ignores 80pc depletion level of crude oil
Posted on September 15, 2011 | No CommentsAustralian Senators continue to ignore oil depletion facts Extract from the Hansard, 14/9/2011 Senator MARK BISHOP (Western Australia) (17:20): ……….With our vast resources and rapidly expanding oil and gas […] -
![The NSW government went into a deficit of $718 m for the budget year 2011/12 while at the same time wasting billions on highway duplication projects conceived 10 years ago, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Chart_1_2_State_Infrastructure_Investment_2011_12-115x115.jpg "NSW budget 2011_12 does not increase oil use productivity")
NSW budget 2011_12 does not increase oil use productivity
Posted on September 7, 2011 | No CommentsThe NSW government went into a deficit of $718 m for the budget year 2011/12 while at the same time wasting billions on highway duplication projects conceived 10 years ago, […] -
![In 2010, the number of vehicles on the world’s roads surpassed the symbolic 1 billion mark. The International Energy Agency, which advised earlier in the year that conventional crude oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/800px-Changan_avenue_in_Beijing-115x115.jpg "1 billion vehicles in year 7 of peak oil")
1 billion vehicles in year 7 of peak oil
Posted on August 31, 2011 | No CommentsIn 2010, the number of vehicles on the world’s roads surpassed the symbolic 1 billion mark. The International Energy Agency, which advised earlier in the year that conventional crude oil […] -
![The IEA Medium Term Oil Market Report June 2011 published this widely ignored graph: http://www.iea.org/publications/free_new_Desc.asp?PUBS_ID=2392 The report says on page 18 and 80: “An adverse investment climate, however, sees Iranian […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/Iran_Crude_oil_Capcity_IEA_MTOGM_2011-115x115.jpg "Iran crude oil decline to 2016")
Iran crude oil decline to 2016
Posted on August 17, 2011 | No CommentsThe IEA Medium Term Oil Market Report June 2011 published this widely ignored graph: http://www.iea.org/publications/free_new_Desc.asp?PUBS_ID=2392 The report says on page 18 and 80: “An adverse investment climate, however, sees Iranian […]
