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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![According to media reports Libya’s share of global oil production of 85 mb/d is “only” 2%. But that is not the important metric. What matters is the percentage of global […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/North_Africa_Middle_East_main_exporters_1986_20092-115x115.jpg "Libya exports 7% of crude from Mediterranean and Middle East")
Libya exports 7% of crude from Mediterranean and Middle East
Posted on February 24, 2011 | No CommentsAccording to media reports Libya’s share of global oil production of 85 mb/d is “only” 2%. But that is not the important metric. What matters is the percentage of global […] -
![Libya produced 1.65 mb/d of crude oil in Oct. 2010 and exported 1.2 mb/d crude in 2008. Both crude production and exports have recently peaked. Libya is a maturing oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Libya_Pipelines-115x115.jpg "Quick primer on Libyan oil")
Quick primer on Libyan oil
Posted on February 23, 2011 | No CommentsLibya produced 1.65 mb/d of crude oil in Oct. 2010 and exported 1.2 mb/d crude in 2008. Both crude production and exports have recently peaked. Libya is a maturing oil […] -
![It is only a matter of time until the unrest in North Africa and the Middle East impacts on oil supplies as it did in the last years of the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/5Countries_crude_production_1980_2009-115x115.jpg "What if unrest in North Africa, ME impacts on oil exports?")
What if unrest in North Africa, ME impacts on oil exports?
Posted on February 18, 2011 | No CommentsIt is only a matter of time until the unrest in North Africa and the Middle East impacts on oil supplies as it did in the last years of the […] -
![Transurban ended up with a cash balance of $370 million at end 2010. $ 275 m of that amount is money provided by banks end of last year as part […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/m2_beecroft-115x115.jpg "Money in Transurban’s cashbox not enough to complete M2 widening")
Money in Transurban’s cashbox not enough to complete M2 widening
Posted on February 11, 2011 | No CommentsTransurban ended up with a cash balance of $370 million at end 2010. $ 275 m of that amount is money provided by banks end of last year as part […] -
![There was a very dirty power cut in one of Sydney’s suburbs due to overload of the grid during a hot summer evening around 8:25 pm when all air-conditioners were […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Cable_fire_near_transformer_Loftus_Park1-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s suburban grid too weak for growth")
Sydney’s suburban grid too weak for growth
Posted on February 2, 2011 | No CommentsThere was a very dirty power cut in one of Sydney’s suburbs due to overload of the grid during a hot summer evening around 8:25 pm when all air-conditioners were […] -
![Egyptian crude oil production peaked in 1995/96 and declined ever since while at the same time oil consumption increased steadily at around 3 % pa. These conflicting trends have now […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Aljazeera_Cairo24-115x115.jpg "Egypt – the convergence of oil decline, political and socio-economic crisis")
Egypt – the convergence of oil decline, political and socio-economic crisis
Posted on January 31, 2011 | No CommentsEgyptian crude oil production peaked in 1995/96 and declined ever since while at the same time oil consumption increased steadily at around 3 % pa. These conflicting trends have now […] -
![The Queensland Premier is calling for a re-construction task of post-war proportions. What is required is not just a re-construction but an adaptation of infrastructure to future climate change because […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/e4708025f8a3c0e67ec4db5b2c5665e1_resized-115x115.jpg "Queensland Reconstruction Bonds more important than Sydney’s M2, M5 widening")
Queensland Reconstruction Bonds more important than Sydney’s M2, M5 widening
Posted on January 17, 2011 | No CommentsThe Queensland Premier is calling for a re-construction task of post-war proportions. What is required is not just a re-construction but an adaptation of infrastructure to future climate change because […] -
![Let’s calculate future tolls on the M2 toll-way. Starting point for this analysis is this news item from 26th October 2010: Roads Minister David Borger said the RTA had signed […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/mytoll-m2-v1-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s M2 toll increase high above RBA inflation target (part 3)")
Sydney’s M2 toll increase high above RBA inflation target (part 3)
Posted on January 5, 2011 | No CommentsLet’s calculate future tolls on the M2 toll-way. Starting point for this analysis is this news item from 26th October 2010: Roads Minister David Borger said the RTA had signed […] -
![Iran increased its subsidized fuel prices 4-fold for a ration of up to 60 litres a month and by another 75% for quantities above that limit. An Aljazeera correspondent […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/iran_price_hikes_dec_2010-115x115.jpg "Another warning on Iran’s oil production and exports")
Another warning on Iran’s oil production and exports
Posted on December 30, 2010 | No CommentsIran increased its subsidized fuel prices 4-fold for a ration of up to 60 litres a month and by another 75% for quantities above that limit. An Aljazeera correspondent […] -
![No one knows. But while Sydney is continuing its love affair with the car – which one day in the not too distant future will come to an abrupt end – […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/img0012-115x115.jpg "When will Sydney’s North West get its rail line?")
When will Sydney’s North West get its rail line?
Posted on December 13, 2010 | No CommentsNo one knows. But while Sydney is continuing its love affair with the car – which one day in the not too distant future will come to an abrupt end – […]
