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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Total diesel stock on 15 July is slightly less than on 3 March. But the big change is that the estimated onshore share has decreased by 14%, very likely near […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-15Sep2026-800p690.jpg "Australian onshore diesel stock on 15 Sep 2026 very likely near or below MSO level")
Australian onshore diesel stock on 15 Sep 2026 very likely near or below MSO level
20 September 2026 6:08 PM | No Comments -
![Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-days-24Feb-8Sep2026.jpg "Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March")
Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
14 September 2026 12:08 PM | No Comments -
![This article is using data collected in: https://crudeoilpeak.info/tankers-arriving-and-departing-in-sydney The objective here is to visualize the tanker traffic and where it comes from and to detect whether the number of tankers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-Sydney-August26.jpg "Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026")
Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026
13 September 2026 10:36 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 6 Sep 2026 Minister Bowen: We have 36 ships on the water, on the way to Australia, and 3.5 billion litres of fuel locked in to be delivered […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-vs-Volume-4Apr-5Sep26.jpg "Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April")
Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April
06 September 2026 5:28 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 25 Aug published 29 Aug 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: The Iran war is now six months old. When the Iran war started, Australians were understandably concerned about fuel security, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-25Aug26.jpg "The Energy Minister’s calm approach")
The Energy Minister’s calm approach
30 August 2026 8:00 PM | No Comments -
![The deficiency of fuel supply updates highlighted in previous articles seems to become permanent. CHRIS BOWEN: We have 51 ships on the way to Australia with fuel, which is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-4Apr-22Aug2026.jpg "Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?")
Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?
25 August 2026 3:00 PM | No Comments -
![The quotes are from the Energy Minister’s press conference in Fairfield on 15 August (transcript see Appendix) Minister Bowen: 3.7 billion liters of deliveries locked in for the next four […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-stock-volumes-land-on-water-June2018-June2026.jpg "Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney")
Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney
17 August 2026 11:21 AM | No Comments -
![Weekly fuel update: Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the National Press Club This week’s Saturday […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Bowen-happy-with-critcism-too-much-fuel.jpg "Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC")
Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC
09 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![The following graph shows the NSW maximum power generation reached every evening in the winter month of July 2026: Fig 1: Max daily coal power generation in evening hours Data […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-by-unit-July2026-1.jpg "NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026")
NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026
06 August 2026 11:00 AM | No Comments -
![Executive Data Summary Fuel stock is on a bumpy plateau of 6.3 bn litres for the last 8 weeks reaching limits to growth Diesel stock has been on an average […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-1Aug26.jpg "Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%")
Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%
02 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments
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Australian onshore diesel stock on 15 Sep 2026 very likely near or below MSO level
Total diesel stock on 15 July is slightly less than on 3 March. But the big change is that the estimated onshore share has decreased by 14%, very likely near […]
Latest Headlines
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![What has been overlooked in Alan Jone’s 2GB campaign on the dumped BITRE report 117 http://ianmcpherson.com/blog/audio/jones_bitre_25-01-2012.mp3 is that concession periods of toll-ways extend far into the era of steep oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/BITRE_Report_117_Peak_Oil_2017_M2_concession_period_2046-115x115.jpg "M2 concession period extends into era of steep oil decline")
M2 concession period extends into era of steep oil decline
Posted on February 1, 2012 | No CommentsWhat has been overlooked in Alan Jone’s 2GB campaign on the dumped BITRE report 117 http://ianmcpherson.com/blog/audio/jones_bitre_25-01-2012.mp3 is that concession periods of toll-ways extend far into the era of steep oil […] -
![On past trends of growing ethanol use in cars it would take 14 years to replace all unleaded petrol presently used in Australia. Any traffic growth, e.g. caused by the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Australian_E10_sales_2005_2011-115x115.jpg "Ethanol blended E10 would take 14 years to replace ULP in Australia")
Ethanol blended E10 would take 14 years to replace ULP in Australia
Posted on January 30, 2012 | No CommentsOn past trends of growing ethanol use in cars it would take 14 years to replace all unleaded petrol presently used in Australia. Any traffic growth, e.g. caused by the […] -
![(1) Actual production We have 3 components of oil supplies from different sources: crude oil only (statistics from IEA) condensate (statistics from EIA) natural gas liquids (statistics from EIA) Note […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Algeria_Laherrere_production_projection_to_2050-115x115.jpg "Crude oil peak in Algeria")
Crude oil peak in Algeria
Posted on January 27, 2012 | No Comments(1) Actual production We have 3 components of oil supplies from different sources: crude oil only (statistics from IEA) condensate (statistics from EIA) natural gas liquids (statistics from EIA) Note […] -
![http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/all-evidence-of-this-treachery-went-down-the-memory-hole/story-e6frezz0-1226248729853 The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline The report can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/BITRE_Report_117_Global_oil_Supply_Peak_2017-115x115.jpg "Australian Peaky Leaks goes mainstream")
Australian Peaky Leaks goes mainstream
Posted on January 20, 2012 | No Commentshttp://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/all-evidence-of-this-treachery-went-down-the-memory-hole/story-e6frezz0-1226248729853 The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline The report can […] -
![Fuel subsidies in oil producing countries are a big problem not only because they are a burden for budgets but also because they result in an inefficient oil supply environment. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Nigeria_petrol_price_doubled_Jan2012-115x115.jpg "Nigeria: oil producers try to reduce fuel subsidies")
Nigeria: oil producers try to reduce fuel subsidies
Posted on January 16, 2012 | No CommentsFuel subsidies in oil producing countries are a big problem not only because they are a burden for budgets but also because they result in an inefficient oil supply environment. […] -
![As the world enters year 8 of peak oil with wafer thin spare capacity to offset any supply disruptions, war games around the heart of the Middle East oil supply […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Iran_war_games_Jan_2012-115x115.jpg "Iran playing war games, but not in video arcades")
Iran playing war games, but not in video arcades
Posted on January 6, 2012 | No CommentsAs the world enters year 8 of peak oil with wafer thin spare capacity to offset any supply disruptions, war games around the heart of the Middle East oil supply […] -
![In 2011, I wrote a total of 55 posts. The menu system was also expanded with readily available graphs and other information. These were the topics in 2011: (1) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Libya_oil_production_at_standstill-115x115.jpg "Crudeoilpeak Summary 2011")
Crudeoilpeak Summary 2011
Posted on December 29, 2011 | No CommentsIn 2011, I wrote a total of 55 posts. The menu system was also expanded with readily available graphs and other information. These were the topics in 2011: (1) […] -
![(1) By continent (1.1) North America Growing Canadian production from tar sand syn crude could not offset Mexican decline. The US was able to increase production after the last hurricane […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Incremental_crude_World_2001_Aug2011-115x115.jpg "Incremental crude oil production August 2011")
Incremental crude oil production August 2011
Posted on December 26, 2011 | No Comments(1) By continent (1.1) North America Growing Canadian production from tar sand syn crude could not offset Mexican decline. The US was able to increase production after the last hurricane […] -
![It is unbelievable. We are now in year #7 of peak oil, and a newly released draft of an Energy White Paper of the Australian government, together with a suite […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/EIA_crude_production_2001_Aug_2011-115x115.jpg "Australian Energy White (Wash) Paper 2011: peak oil denial not yet peaked")
Australian Energy White (Wash) Paper 2011: peak oil denial not yet peaked
Posted on December 19, 2011 | No CommentsIt is unbelievable. We are now in year #7 of peak oil, and a newly released draft of an Energy White Paper of the Australian government, together with a suite […] -
![On 22/11/2011 I tested the XPT train from Sydney to Melbourne on my way to the conference Building Community Resilience and Minimising Risk http://www.mav.asn.au/events/Pages/Building-Community-Resilience-and-Minimizing-Risk-23112011.aspx organised by the Municipal Association of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/xpt_power-115x115.jpg "Australian intercity rail run-down and unprepared to replace domestic flights after peak oil")
Australian intercity rail run-down and unprepared to replace domestic flights after peak oil
Posted on December 5, 2011 | No CommentsOn 22/11/2011 I tested the XPT train from Sydney to Melbourne on my way to the conference Building Community Resilience and Minimising Risk http://www.mav.asn.au/events/Pages/Building-Community-Resilience-and-Minimizing-Risk-23112011.aspx organised by the Municipal Association of […]
