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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_Jet_imports_by_country_2004_April2025.jpg "Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil")
Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
30 June 2025 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![In this 3rd post on Australian diesel imports, the focus is on the dependency on Middle East oil as Israel and Iran have started to attack their oil refineries. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Persian-Gulf-Strait-Hormuz.jpg "Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025")
Australian diesel import dependency on Middle East oil Update April 2025
17 June 2025 11:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments
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Australian Jet fuel imports are 50 per cent dependent on Middle East oil
This is a continuation of a series of articles on Australia’s fuel imports which have fundamentally increased due to the closure of local refineries and also growing demand from very […]
Latest Headlines
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![Australian crude oil imports Imports from South East Asian neighbours (black line) peaked in 2007. Since then, Australian refineries did a good job to import crude from far-away places including […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Mar_2013_by_country-115x115.jpg "Australian oil and fuel dependency on the Middle East is 37 %")
Australian oil and fuel dependency on the Middle East is 37 %
Posted on June 24, 2013 | No CommentsAustralian crude oil imports Imports from South East Asian neighbours (black line) peaked in 2007. Since then, Australian refineries did a good job to import crude from far-away places including […] -
![BP’s recently released Statistical Review 2013 allows us to analyse the oil supply and demand situation in South East Asia. We start with Indonesia: Indonesia’s painful medicine 17/6/2013 It’s been […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/South_East_Asian_oil_producers_production_vs_consumption_1965_2012-115x115.jpg "South East Asian oil producers – the widening gap between oil production and consumption")
South East Asian oil producers – the widening gap between oil production and consumption
Posted on June 18, 2013 | No CommentsBP’s recently released Statistical Review 2013 allows us to analyse the oil supply and demand situation in South East Asia. We start with Indonesia: Indonesia’s painful medicine 17/6/2013 It’s been […] -
![Former Soviet Union (FSU) crude oil exports declined from 6.76 mb/d in 2010 to 6.39 mb/d in 2012 (-370 kb/d), or 5.5%, mainly due to a 13% decrease in Black […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/Samotlor_crude_production_2007_2011-115x115.jpg "FSU crude oil exports declined by 5.5 % in last 2 years")
FSU crude oil exports declined by 5.5 % in last 2 years
Posted on June 9, 2013 | No CommentsFormer Soviet Union (FSU) crude oil exports declined from 6.76 mb/d in 2010 to 6.39 mb/d in 2012 (-370 kb/d), or 5.5%, mainly due to a 13% decrease in Black […] -
![As Ford Australia announced the closure of its factory in 2016, the Sydney Morning Herald ‘s headline was: 24/5/2013 Era of the Aussie car over http://www.smh.com.au/business/era-of-the-aussie-car-over-20130523-2k48f.html Right. There is an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Car_production_vs_oil_supplies_1999_2012-115x115.jpg "World car production grows 3 times faster than global oil supplies")
World car production grows 3 times faster than global oil supplies
Posted on May 27, 2013 | No CommentsAs Ford Australia announced the closure of its factory in 2016, the Sydney Morning Herald ‘s headline was: 24/5/2013 Era of the Aussie car over http://www.smh.com.au/business/era-of-the-aussie-car-over-20130523-2k48f.html Right. There is an […] -
![This article shows CO2 emission profiles from oil, analyses how regional peak oil events shape emission curves and calculates that an annual 6% oil decline rate after 2012 would be […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Cumulative_CO2_emission_scenarios_from_oil_2000_2035-115x115.jpg "Half of oil burnable in 2000-2050 to keep us within 2 degrees warming has been used up as we hit 400 ppm")
Half of oil burnable in 2000-2050 to keep us within 2 degrees warming has been used up as we hit 400 ppm
Posted on May 16, 2013 | No CommentsThis article shows CO2 emission profiles from oil, analyses how regional peak oil events shape emission curves and calculates that an annual 6% oil decline rate after 2012 would be […] -
![Excluding the US, rest-of-world crude oil production in the 2nd half of 2012 was on the same level as in the 2nd half of 2005, despite 85% higher oil prices. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Incremental_crude_World_showing_decline_2001_Dec2012-115x115.jpg "Excluding the US, rest-of-world crude production in 2H2012 was not higher than in 2005")
Excluding the US, rest-of-world crude production in 2H2012 was not higher than in 2005
Posted on April 29, 2013 | No CommentsExcluding the US, rest-of-world crude oil production in the 2nd half of 2012 was on the same level as in the 2nd half of 2005, despite 85% higher oil prices. […] -
![It is now 10 years that the coalition of the willing, err… peaking (US peak 1970, UK peak 1999, Australia peak 2000) invaded Iraq. This was not just an oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Energy_Task_Force_May_2001_Projection_vs_actual_2000_2011-115x115.jpg "Iraq war and its aftermath failed to stop the beginning of peak oil in 2005")
Iraq war and its aftermath failed to stop the beginning of peak oil in 2005
Posted on March 16, 2013 | No CommentsIt is now 10 years that the coalition of the willing, err… peaking (US peak 1970, UK peak 1999, Australia peak 2000) invaded Iraq. This was not just an oil […] -
![Oil production (crude and NGLs) of 5 international oil companies has been declining by a total of 15% over the period 2004-2011. Merci, Jean (Lahererre, ASPO France) pour m’avoir envoyé […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/5_IOC_oil_production_underlying_decline_2000_2011-115x115.jpg "International oil companies’ oil production peaked in 2004 and declined by 2.1 % pa")
International oil companies’ oil production peaked in 2004 and declined by 2.1 % pa
Posted on March 11, 2013 | No CommentsOil production (crude and NGLs) of 5 international oil companies has been declining by a total of 15% over the period 2004-2011. Merci, Jean (Lahererre, ASPO France) pour m’avoir envoyé […] -
![1 year ago the Australian Federal Government refused to table their internal peak oil report BITRE 117 before a Senate hearing on the grounds that the report was not “up […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/BITRE_117_vs_EIA_actual_2007_2012-115x115.jpg "How good was the Australian peak oil report BITRE 117 (peaky leaks part 4)")
How good was the Australian peak oil report BITRE 117 (peaky leaks part 4)
Posted on February 25, 2013 | No Comments1 year ago the Australian Federal Government refused to table their internal peak oil report BITRE 117 before a Senate hearing on the grounds that the report was not “up […] -
![Only 2 weeks after NSW infrastructure boss Nick Greiner could not answer the question how toll-way debt in Sydney can be paid back, the answer comes from another Australian capital […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/Brisbane_airport_link_traffic_Aug_Dec_2012-115x115.jpg "Brisbane Airport Link: at the end of the road tunnel investor money flies away (part 2)")
Brisbane Airport Link: at the end of the road tunnel investor money flies away (part 2)
Posted on February 20, 2013 | No CommentsOnly 2 weeks after NSW infrastructure boss Nick Greiner could not answer the question how toll-way debt in Sydney can be paid back, the answer comes from another Australian capital […]
