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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![As many oil producing countries, Sudan subsidizes petrol and diesel prices (compared to world market prices). But this has become unaffordable. What complicates matters is that South Sudan, where most […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Khartoum_fuel_protests_Sep2013-115x115.jpg "Peak oil and unaffordable fuel subsidies in Sudan")
Peak oil and unaffordable fuel subsidies in Sudan
Posted on October 2, 2013 | No CommentsAs many oil producing countries, Sudan subsidizes petrol and diesel prices (compared to world market prices). But this has become unaffordable. What complicates matters is that South Sudan, where most […] -
![In this post we look at growing international passenger numbers at Sydney airport and how these hide stagnation in large parts of the Asian market. 12 months moving average of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Sydney_monthly_international_pax_Asia_1999_May2013-115x115.jpg "Two thirds of Asian flights to/from Sydney have not grown since 2008 (part 3)")
Two thirds of Asian flights to/from Sydney have not grown since 2008 (part 3)
Posted on September 26, 2013 | No CommentsIn this post we look at growing international passenger numbers at Sydney airport and how these hide stagnation in large parts of the Asian market. 12 months moving average of […] -
![Bizarre election stunt by an Australian politician to lobby for a 2nd Sydney airport, far from his own electorate in Queensland. http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/bob-katter-backs-badgery8217s-creek-airport-in-western-sydney/story-fni0cx12-1226698573961 Bob Katter arriving by helicopter in Badgerys Creek, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Sydney_monthly_international_pax_by_country_region_1999_2012-115x115.jpg "Half of Sydney’s direct international flights dropped by 5 % since July 2008 (part 2)")
Half of Sydney’s direct international flights dropped by 5 % since July 2008 (part 2)
Posted on September 22, 2013 | No CommentsBizarre election stunt by an Australian politician to lobby for a 2nd Sydney airport, far from his own electorate in Queensland. http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/bob-katter-backs-badgery8217s-creek-airport-in-western-sydney/story-fni0cx12-1226698573961 Bob Katter arriving by helicopter in Badgerys Creek, […] -
![In a surprise move and only days into his new job, the Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott started to implement his direct action plan to reduce CO2 emissions by using […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Abbott_pedal_power-115x115.jpg "Tony Abbott’s first direct action to reduce CO2 and oil dependency: get on your bikes!")
Tony Abbott’s first direct action to reduce CO2 and oil dependency: get on your bikes!
Posted on September 18, 2013 | No CommentsIn a surprise move and only days into his new job, the Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott started to implement his direct action plan to reduce CO2 emissions by using […] -
![Recent US shale oil growth sits on top of a bumpy production plateau of the rest-of-the-world (ROW) Other Middle East (Syria, Yemen, Oman) was in long term decline until 2007. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Incremental_crude_world_US_top_2001_May2013-115x115.jpg "US shale oil hides crude oil peak in rest of world")
US shale oil hides crude oil peak in rest of world
Posted on September 11, 2013 | No CommentsRecent US shale oil growth sits on top of a bumpy production plateau of the rest-of-the-world (ROW) Other Middle East (Syria, Yemen, Oman) was in long term decline until 2007. […] -
![The Australian electorate has voted for a Prime Minister who 3 years ago said he was sceptical that the concept of peak oil has any value as tool for policy […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Australian_crude_oil_EDR_production_OGRA2010-115x115.jpg "New Australian Prime Minister is sceptical that peak oil has value for policy making")
New Australian Prime Minister is sceptical that peak oil has value for policy making
Posted on September 8, 2013 | No CommentsThe Australian electorate has voted for a Prime Minister who 3 years ago said he was sceptical that the concept of peak oil has any value as tool for policy […] -
![According to the State government of Victoria’s “short form business case” a proposed road tunnel in Melbourne has only a benefit cost ratio of 1.4, a number which is classified […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/East_West_Link_BCR_1pt4-115x115.jpg "Melbourne’s East West Link tunnel proposal has low benefit cost ratio and high oil price risk")
Melbourne’s East West Link tunnel proposal has low benefit cost ratio and high oil price risk
Posted on September 5, 2013 | No CommentsAccording to the State government of Victoria’s “short form business case” a proposed road tunnel in Melbourne has only a benefit cost ratio of 1.4, a number which is classified […] -
![After the publication of Caltex Australia’s half year results for 1H 2013 the media again failed to analyse where Sydney’s fuel imports will come from once its Kurnell refinery closes […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/Caltex_Carlingford_Court_27Aug2013-115x115.jpg "Chevron’s oil production, sales decline 5 %")
Chevron’s oil production, sales decline 5 %
Posted on August 28, 2013 | No CommentsAfter the publication of Caltex Australia’s half year results for 1H 2013 the media again failed to analyse where Sydney’s fuel imports will come from once its Kurnell refinery closes […] -
![What you vote is what you get. More road tunnels and neither rail nor public transport projects. And this despite Tony Abbott being a cyclist. As the Australian election campaign […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/897365-tony-abbott-110411-115x115.jpg "Australia’s future Infrastructure Prime Minister will increase our oil vulnerability")
Australia’s future Infrastructure Prime Minister will increase our oil vulnerability
Posted on August 26, 2013 | No CommentsWhat you vote is what you get. More road tunnels and neither rail nor public transport projects. And this despite Tony Abbott being a cyclist. As the Australian election campaign […] -
![Using recent research from the Arab Petroleum Investment Corporation (APIC) it can be calculated that OPEC’s fiscal break-even oil prices have increased by around 7% pa in 2013 while OPEC’s […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/Increase_break-even_oil_prices_2013_2012-115x115.jpg "OPEC fiscal breakeven oil price increases 7 % in 2013")
OPEC fiscal breakeven oil price increases 7 % in 2013
Posted on August 14, 2013 | No CommentsUsing recent research from the Arab Petroleum Investment Corporation (APIC) it can be calculated that OPEC’s fiscal break-even oil prices have increased by around 7% pa in 2013 while OPEC’s […]
