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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![Excluding the US, rest-of-world crude oil production in the 2nd half of 2012 was on the same level as in the 2nd half of 2005, despite 85% higher oil prices. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Incremental_crude_World_showing_decline_2001_Dec2012-115x115.jpg "Excluding the US, rest-of-world crude production in 2H2012 was not higher than in 2005")
Excluding the US, rest-of-world crude production in 2H2012 was not higher than in 2005
Posted on April 29, 2013 | No CommentsExcluding the US, rest-of-world crude oil production in the 2nd half of 2012 was on the same level as in the 2nd half of 2005, despite 85% higher oil prices. […] -
![It is now 10 years that the coalition of the willing, err… peaking (US peak 1970, UK peak 1999, Australia peak 2000) invaded Iraq. This was not just an oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Energy_Task_Force_May_2001_Projection_vs_actual_2000_2011-115x115.jpg "Iraq war and its aftermath failed to stop the beginning of peak oil in 2005")
Iraq war and its aftermath failed to stop the beginning of peak oil in 2005
Posted on March 16, 2013 | No CommentsIt is now 10 years that the coalition of the willing, err… peaking (US peak 1970, UK peak 1999, Australia peak 2000) invaded Iraq. This was not just an oil […] -
![Oil production (crude and NGLs) of 5 international oil companies has been declining by a total of 15% over the period 2004-2011. Merci, Jean (Lahererre, ASPO France) pour m’avoir envoyé […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/5_IOC_oil_production_underlying_decline_2000_2011-115x115.jpg "International oil companies’ oil production peaked in 2004 and declined by 2.1 % pa")
International oil companies’ oil production peaked in 2004 and declined by 2.1 % pa
Posted on March 11, 2013 | No CommentsOil production (crude and NGLs) of 5 international oil companies has been declining by a total of 15% over the period 2004-2011. Merci, Jean (Lahererre, ASPO France) pour m’avoir envoyé […] -
![1 year ago the Australian Federal Government refused to table their internal peak oil report BITRE 117 before a Senate hearing on the grounds that the report was not “up […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/BITRE_117_vs_EIA_actual_2007_2012-115x115.jpg "How good was the Australian peak oil report BITRE 117 (peaky leaks part 4)")
How good was the Australian peak oil report BITRE 117 (peaky leaks part 4)
Posted on February 25, 2013 | No Comments1 year ago the Australian Federal Government refused to table their internal peak oil report BITRE 117 before a Senate hearing on the grounds that the report was not “up […] -
![Only 2 weeks after NSW infrastructure boss Nick Greiner could not answer the question how toll-way debt in Sydney can be paid back, the answer comes from another Australian capital […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/Brisbane_airport_link_traffic_Aug_Dec_2012-115x115.jpg "Brisbane Airport Link: at the end of the road tunnel investor money flies away (part 2)")
Brisbane Airport Link: at the end of the road tunnel investor money flies away (part 2)
Posted on February 20, 2013 | No CommentsOnly 2 weeks after NSW infrastructure boss Nick Greiner could not answer the question how toll-way debt in Sydney can be paid back, the answer comes from another Australian capital […] -
![At a recent ITLS seminar, Infrastructure NSW’s chairman Nick Greiner could not show calculations how Sydney’s existing toll-way debt, not to mention future debt from proposed new toll-ways, will ever […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/Transurban_debt_maturities_Dec2012-115x115.jpg "No debt repayment plan for Sydney’s toll-ways")
No debt repayment plan for Sydney’s toll-ways
Posted on February 12, 2013 | No CommentsAt a recent ITLS seminar, Infrastructure NSW’s chairman Nick Greiner could not show calculations how Sydney’s existing toll-way debt, not to mention future debt from proposed new toll-ways, will ever […] -
![Using JODI data, crude oil exports have peaked in 2005/2006 and since then have shrunk by a total of 5% despite export growth in several countries including Iraq and Canada […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/Crude_exports_JODI_Jan2002_Nov2012-115x115.jpg "Shrinking crude oil exports A tough game for oil importers")
Shrinking crude oil exports A tough game for oil importers
Posted on February 4, 2013 | No CommentsUsing JODI data, crude oil exports have peaked in 2005/2006 and since then have shrunk by a total of 5% despite export growth in several countries including Iraq and Canada […] -
![Contents: 1 Australian government failed to update its internal peak oil report 2 NSW government can’t deal with peak oil 3 Media dropped ball on peak oil and impact of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Tollopoly-115x115.jpg "Report Card 2012: it was a very good year – for peak oil denial")
Report Card 2012: it was a very good year – for peak oil denial
Posted on January 16, 2013 | No CommentsContents: 1 Australian government failed to update its internal peak oil report 2 NSW government can’t deal with peak oil 3 Media dropped ball on peak oil and impact of […] -
![The following graph shows the changes in global crude oil production since January 2001. The data source is the EIA International Energy Statistics downloaded in December 2012 http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/iedindex3.cfm Countries have […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Incremental_crude_World_2001_Sep2012-115x115.jpg "75 pct of global crude production in 2012 was not higher than in 2005")
75 pct of global crude production in 2012 was not higher than in 2005
Posted on January 2, 2013 | No CommentsThe following graph shows the changes in global crude oil production since January 2001. The data source is the EIA International Energy Statistics downloaded in December 2012 http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/iedindex3.cfm Countries have […] -
![Ho, Ho, Ho. Doors closing, line closing ….. stand clear. As a perfect X’mas present, NSW Planning Minister Brad Hazzard announced the closure of the rail line to the Newcastle […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/Newcastle_express-santa-115x115.jpg "Last Xmas train from Sydney to Newcastle CBD")
Last Xmas train from Sydney to Newcastle CBD
Posted on December 21, 2012 | No CommentsHo, Ho, Ho. Doors closing, line closing ….. stand clear. As a perfect X’mas present, NSW Planning Minister Brad Hazzard announced the closure of the rail line to the Newcastle […]
