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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments
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Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]
Latest Headlines
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![The IEA (in Paris) proudly announced in its latest September 2018 Monthly Oil Market Report that global supplies (of liquids) have reached 100 mb/d in August, an impressive figure. What […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_crude_production_1994-May2018-1-115x115.jpg "What happened to crude oil production after the first peak in 2005?")
What happened to crude oil production after the first peak in 2005?
Posted on September 18, 2018 | No CommentsThe IEA (in Paris) proudly announced in its latest September 2018 Monthly Oil Market Report that global supplies (of liquids) have reached 100 mb/d in August, an impressive figure. What […] -
![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-115x115.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
Posted on September 4, 2018 | No CommentsSeptember 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […] -
![We continue to look at the oil supply balances country by country. All oil producers in Asia are now in post-peak oil mode i.e. they are net oil importers. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Indonesia_oil_production_vs_consumption_1965_2017-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in the Asia Pacific (part 3)")
Peak oil in the Asia Pacific (part 3)
Posted on August 15, 2018 | No CommentsWe continue to look at the oil supply balances country by country. All oil producers in Asia are now in post-peak oil mode i.e. they are net oil importers. Fig […] -
![South China Sea: ‘Leave immediately and keep far off’ Fig 1: U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon reconnaissance plane overflying disputed Spratly islands 11/8/2018 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dodbqgKn8js https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-45152525/south-china-sea-leave-immediately-and-keep-far-off Fig 2: Subi reef location in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-Poseidon-over-Zhubi-Reef_Aug2018-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in China and the Asia Pacific (part 2)")
Peak oil in China and the Asia Pacific (part 2)
Posted on August 12, 2018 | No CommentsSouth China Sea: ‘Leave immediately and keep far off’ Fig 1: U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon reconnaissance plane overflying disputed Spratly islands 11/8/2018 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dodbqgKn8js https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-45152525/south-china-sea-leave-immediately-and-keep-far-off Fig 2: Subi reef location in […] -
![Who can give a National Energy Guarantee? A better energy future for Australia https://www.energy.gov.au/government-priorities/better-energy-future-australia Something must have happened at a brown coal fired power plant in Victoria, on 2 August […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Victoria-power-generation-3Aug2018-115x115.jpg "Victoria brown coal power plant lost 1,600 MW over 4 hrs")
Victoria brown coal power plant lost 1,600 MW over 4 hrs
Posted on August 4, 2018 | No CommentsWho can give a National Energy Guarantee? A better energy future for Australia https://www.energy.gov.au/government-priorities/better-energy-future-australia Something must have happened at a brown coal fired power plant in Victoria, on 2 August […] -
![3 complacent governments (Howard, Rudd/Gillard, Abbott) released 3 flawed Energy White Papers (2004, 2012 and 2015) which have promoted and facilitated massive LNG export projects on Australia’s West, North and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Depletion_East_Coast_Conventional_Gas_Reserves_GSOO_2015-115x115.jpg "Australia is exporting itself gas poor, plans LNG import terminals")
Australia is exporting itself gas poor, plans LNG import terminals
Posted on July 25, 2018 | No Comments3 complacent governments (Howard, Rudd/Gillard, Abbott) released 3 flawed Energy White Papers (2004, 2012 and 2015) which have promoted and facilitated massive LNG export projects on Australia’s West, North and […] -
![The latest report “Integrated System Plan” of the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) assumes that power consumption on Australia’s East Coast will stay rather flat despite government engineered immigration resulting […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-demand-price_16Jul2018-115x115.jpg "Sydney go on your rooftops and save power for 3 million new immigrants")
Sydney go on your rooftops and save power for 3 million new immigrants
Posted on July 20, 2018 | No CommentsThe latest report “Integrated System Plan” of the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) assumes that power consumption on Australia’s East Coast will stay rather flat despite government engineered immigration resulting […] -
![Contrary to common assumptions that the US is on the cusp of energy independence US crude oil imports averaged 7.8 mb/d in the last 12 months. 3.5 mb/d came from neighboring […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US_crude_imports_by_country_1973-Apr2018-115x115.jpg "US crude oil imports and exports update April 2018 data")
US crude oil imports and exports update April 2018 data
Posted on July 11, 2018 | No CommentsContrary to common assumptions that the US is on the cusp of energy independence US crude oil imports averaged 7.8 mb/d in the last 12 months. 3.5 mb/d came from neighboring […] -
![US State Department Special Briefing by the Director of Policy Planning 2/7/2018 MR HOOK: “…..Our focus is on getting as many countries importing Iranian crude down to zero as soon […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/South-Korea-crude-imports_refcap-1990-2017-115x115.jpg "South Korea’s crude oil imports from Iran")
South Korea’s crude oil imports from Iran
Posted on July 10, 2018 | No CommentsUS State Department Special Briefing by the Director of Policy Planning 2/7/2018 MR HOOK: “…..Our focus is on getting as many countries importing Iranian crude down to zero as soon […] -
![Here we go again. Another US President asks Saudi Arabia to pump more oil, despite the so-called US shale oil revolution. Fig 1: Is a tweet enough to make Saudi […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Trump_tweet_Saudi_pump_more_30Jun2018-115x115.jpg "Saudi Arabia was supposed to pump almost 14 mb/d in 2018")
Saudi Arabia was supposed to pump almost 14 mb/d in 2018
Posted on July 5, 2018 | No CommentsHere we go again. Another US President asks Saudi Arabia to pump more oil, despite the so-called US shale oil revolution. Fig 1: Is a tweet enough to make Saudi […]
