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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![Fig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Abqaiq-attack-prayer-time-115x115.jpg "The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar")
The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar
Posted on October 1, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […] -
![Asian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_2005-2018_fill_in-2038-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?")
Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?
Posted on September 10, 2019 | No CommentsAsian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […] -
![This post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_conv-crude_plateau_2005-2018-115x115.jpg "2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq")
2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq
Posted on August 26, 2019 | No CommentsThis post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […] -
![Tankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Front_Altair_13Jun2019-115x115.jpg "Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?")
Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?
Posted on June 21, 2019 | No CommentsTankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […] -
![In the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_crude_production_1994-Dec2018-115x115.jpg "World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005")
World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005
Posted on June 10, 2019 | No CommentsIn the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […] -
![Australia increased its internal oil dependency & vulnerability Let’s summarize what we covered in part 1 and 2 Australian oil production peaked in the year 2000 while oil consumption is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Sydney_airports_demand_forecast_2015-2075-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 3)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 3)
Posted on May 2, 2019 | No CommentsAustralia increased its internal oil dependency & vulnerability Let’s summarize what we covered in part 1 and 2 Australian oil production peaked in the year 2000 while oil consumption is […] -
![Coming back to the 2019 Liquid Security Review https://www.environment.gov.au/energy/liquid-fuel-security-review-consultation Figures 9-11 in part 1 show how dependent Australia has become on fuel imports from South Korea and Japan, even China. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_crude_Production_imports_2002_Dec2018-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 2)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 2)
Posted on April 30, 2019 | No CommentsComing back to the 2019 Liquid Security Review https://www.environment.gov.au/energy/liquid-fuel-security-review-consultation Figures 9-11 in part 1 show how dependent Australia has become on fuel imports from South Korea and Japan, even China. […] -
![Just a week before a Federal election was called the Australian Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, released an interim report on fuel security on 4th April 2019 for public consultation (hereinafter […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Jan2019-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 1)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 1)
Posted on April 29, 2019 | No CommentsJust a week before a Federal election was called the Australian Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, released an interim report on fuel security on 4th April 2019 for public consultation (hereinafter […] -
![In the latest announcement of the Berejiklian government, 5 min before the 23rd March 2019 election, the New South Wales Premier confirmed the government will build the Metro West (already […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/MetroWest_corridor-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s Immigration Metros (Part 1)")
Sydney’s Immigration Metros (Part 1)
Posted on March 11, 2019 | No CommentsIn the latest announcement of the Berejiklian government, 5 min before the 23rd March 2019 election, the New South Wales Premier confirmed the government will build the Metro West (already […] -
![Fig 1: NSW power generation, prices and temperatures We see the critical day was Thursday, Jan 31st with temperatures up to 39.3 degrees. Coal generation was 8,853 MW (out of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Liddell_28Jan-2Feb2019-115x115.jpg "NSW coal fired power plants generation in late January 2019")
NSW coal fired power plants generation in late January 2019
Posted on February 5, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: NSW power generation, prices and temperatures We see the critical day was Thursday, Jan 31st with temperatures up to 39.3 degrees. Coal generation was 8,853 MW (out of […]
