Sidebar menu
-
-
![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
-
![Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-days-24Feb-8Sep2026.jpg "Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March")
Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
14 September 2026 12:08 PM | No Comments -
![This article is using data collected in: https://crudeoilpeak.info/tankers-arriving-and-departing-in-sydney The objective here is to visualize the tanker traffic and where it comes from and to detect whether the number of tankers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-Sydney-August26.jpg "Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026")
Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026
13 September 2026 10:36 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 6 Sep 2026 Minister Bowen: We have 36 ships on the water, on the way to Australia, and 3.5 billion litres of fuel locked in to be delivered […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-vs-Volume-4Apr-5Sep26.jpg "Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April")
Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April
06 September 2026 5:28 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 25 Aug published 29 Aug 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: The Iran war is now six months old. When the Iran war started, Australians were understandably concerned about fuel security, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-25Aug26.jpg "The Energy Minister’s calm approach")
The Energy Minister’s calm approach
30 August 2026 8:00 PM | No Comments -
![The deficiency of fuel supply updates highlighted in previous articles seems to become permanent. CHRIS BOWEN: We have 51 ships on the way to Australia with fuel, which is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-4Apr-22Aug2026.jpg "Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?")
Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?
25 August 2026 3:00 PM | No Comments -
![The quotes are from the Energy Minister’s press conference in Fairfield on 15 August (transcript see Appendix) Minister Bowen: 3.7 billion liters of deliveries locked in for the next four […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-stock-volumes-land-on-water-June2018-June2026.jpg "Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney")
Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney
17 August 2026 11:21 AM | No Comments -
![Weekly fuel update: Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the National Press Club This week’s Saturday […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Bowen-happy-with-critcism-too-much-fuel.jpg "Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC")
Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC
09 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![The following graph shows the NSW maximum power generation reached every evening in the winter month of July 2026: Fig 1: Max daily coal power generation in evening hours Data […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-by-unit-July2026-1.jpg "NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026")
NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026
06 August 2026 11:00 AM | No Comments -
![Executive Data Summary Fuel stock is on a bumpy plateau of 6.3 bn litres for the last 8 weeks reaching limits to growth Diesel stock has been on an average […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-1Aug26.jpg "Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%")
Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%
02 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![MSO update with data from 21 July 2026 Context Hormuz tanker crossings slip to lowest in more than two months, data shows 24/7/26 Only one tanker crossed the Strait of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/ME-policy-ALP-conference-Adelaide-25Jul26.jpg "Australian Energy Minister at ease despite Hormuz closure and detour of Saudi tankers to Asia via the Cape of Good Hope")
Australian Energy Minister at ease despite Hormuz closure and detour of Saudi tankers to Asia via the Cape of Good Hope
25 July 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments
-
Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]
Latest Headlines
-
![Using latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_Crude_Production_1973-Nov2021-115x115.jpg "Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021")
Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021
Posted on March 30, 2022 | No CommentsUsing latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […] -
![The IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_diesel_stocks_Jul2010-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Australian oil stocks consumption cover")
Australian oil stocks consumption cover
Posted on March 22, 2022 | No CommentsThe IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […] -
![Pic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia_crude_prod-exports_2002-Nov21-1-115x115.jpg "Russian oil production update Nov 2021")
Russian oil production update Nov 2021
Posted on February 28, 2022 | No CommentsPic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […] -
![Diesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Sep-2021.jpg "Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data")
Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 10, 2021 | No CommentsDiesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […] -
![Fig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Sep2021_by_country.jpg "Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data")
Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 9, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […] -
![Fig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China-trucks-out-of-fuel_Oct2021.jpg "China peak diesel")
China peak diesel
Posted on October 31, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […] -
![The Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_emissions-by-quarter_Dec2000-Mar2021.jpg "Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid")
Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid
Posted on September 20, 2021 | No CommentsThe Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […] -
![Australia’s monthly diesel imports reached a record of 2,360 ML (495 kb/d) in June 2021. While it is common for imports to vary from month to month there is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Jun-2021.jpg "Australia’s diesel imports on record high Update June 2021")
Australia’s diesel imports on record high Update June 2021
Posted on September 8, 2021 | No CommentsAustralia’s monthly diesel imports reached a record of 2,360 ML (495 kb/d) in June 2021. While it is common for imports to vary from month to month there is a […] -
![Production: pre-Covid trends prevail Fig 1: Oil decline in 2020 was a modest 200 kb/d similar to the post 2015 trend Fig 2: China’s (and Australia’s) modest growth of 65 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia-Pacific-oil-production_BP-1965_2020.jpg "Asia Pacific peak oil: 2020 production continued decline at -2.7% pa")
Asia Pacific peak oil: 2020 production continued decline at -2.7% pa
Posted on September 4, 2021 | No CommentsProduction: pre-Covid trends prevail Fig 1: Oil decline in 2020 was a modest 200 kb/d similar to the post 2015 trend Fig 2: China’s (and Australia’s) modest growth of 65 […] -
![China is the only country which increased oil imports in 2020. This post is using data from the new BP Statistical Review released on 8 July 2021. Fig 1: Wuhan […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_prod-imports-consumption_1965-2021.jpg "China increased oil imports in Covid stricken 2020 by a lucky 8.8%")
China increased oil imports in Covid stricken 2020 by a lucky 8.8%
Posted on August 29, 2021 | No CommentsChina is the only country which increased oil imports in 2020. This post is using data from the new BP Statistical Review released on 8 July 2021. Fig 1: Wuhan […]
