Sidebar menu
-
-
![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
-
![Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-incl-extra-4Apr-30May-2026.jpg "Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months")
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
01 June 2026 11:44 AM | No Comments -
![Australian diesel import update March 2026 In the previous post it was highlighted that forward diesel orders (19 May 2026) were at 2,350 ML per month. If the geopolitical situation […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-imports-vs-forward-orders-19May26.jpg "Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026")
Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026
29 May 2026 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![(1) Forward Orders Press conference, Sydney, New South Wales 23 May 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: Thanks for coming, everyone. I’m very pleased today to give the weekly Saturday petrol update. … We […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-19May2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum")
Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum
24 May 2026 11:15 PM | No Comments -
![This post turns information given to the media into easily understandable time line graphs. It includes implied and inconvenient facts the Energy Minister did not mention in: Press conference – […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-excl-extra-4Apr-16May-2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dopped by 12 % from previous week")
Australian forward fuel orders dopped by 12 % from previous week
18 May 2026 6:39 PM | No Comments -
![Same procedure every Saturday. First, a new chart appears on the DCCEEW website Fig 1: New weekly MSO chart for Tuesday, 28 Apr 2026 https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics On this basis we can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Coral-Sea-10May26.jpg "Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ")
Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ
12 May 2026 11:55 AM | No Comments -
![On 2nd May the Australian Energy Minister released new data on fuel stocks, past tanker arrivals and tankers on the way. This MSO chart was published Saturday morning Fig 1: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Shiploads-received-vs-fuel-stocks-3Mar-28Apr26.jpg "Australia needs a higher number of tankers to meet fuel import requirements")
Australia needs a higher number of tankers to meet fuel import requirements
07 May 2026 10:37 AM | No Comments -
![This post will show how the Australian government has introduced new dimensions in oil statistics which will hopefully lead to the dawning of the Age of “let the diesel in”. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-Apr-2026.jpg "Australia’s 5th Dimension in securing diesel supplies")
Australia’s 5th Dimension in securing diesel supplies
30 April 2026 12:16 PM | No Comments -
![Remember this: 15/4/26 ABC News finance report, including a picture of the “armada” of diesel tankers heading for Australia: Fig 1: Diesel Armada heading for Australia https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-15/wednesday-finance-with-alan-kohler/106568156 Just as NORD […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-tankers-from-US-Apr-May26.jpg "Alan Kohler’s Diesel Armada has hit Sydney")
Alan Kohler’s Diesel Armada has hit Sydney
22 April 2026 4:19 PM | No Comments -
![An update to the Minimum Stockholding Obligation has been published today: Fig 1: Chart published by the DCCEEW https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics#download …and presented by the Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Energy Minister […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Comparison-MSO-APS-stock-levels-14Apr2026.jpg "Australian diesel stocks stabilized mid April 2026")
Australian diesel stocks stabilized mid April 2026
18 April 2026 3:46 PM | No Comments -
![Where has all the diesel gone? The moment of the truth for monthly fuel stock taking: Stocks at beginning of month + Imports – Exports + Refinery output – Sales […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-monthly-diesel-stock-change-Jan2025-1.jpg "Discrepancies in diesel sales and stocks in the Australian Petroleum Statistics")
Discrepancies in diesel sales and stocks in the Australian Petroleum Statistics
13 April 2026 5:48 PM | No Comments
-
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]
Latest Headlines
-
![We examine whether OPEC’s quotas for its African members are actually on the production decline path of these countries. OPEC’s quota levels can be found here: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/Voluntary%20Production%20Levels.pdf At present 7 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC_Africa_7countries_2001-2021-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021")
Peak oil in Africa part1: OPEC quotas Jan 2021
Posted on January 19, 2021 | No CommentsWe examine whether OPEC’s quotas for its African members are actually on the production decline path of these countries. OPEC’s quota levels can be found here: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/Voluntary%20Production%20Levels.pdf At present 7 […] -
![Feliz Navidad! (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/SC_America_1993-Sep2020-1-115x115.jpg "Peak Oil in South & Central America")
Peak Oil in South & Central America
Posted on December 25, 2020 | No CommentsFeliz Navidad! (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset […] -
![28-29 November Fig 10: Temperatures in Sydney (8) More Lack-of-reserve warnings Fig 11: timeline of AEMO’s notices The table shows the sequence of LOR notices for 28-29 Nov 2020 and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AEMO-LOR-notices_28-29Nov2020-115x115.jpg "NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 2)")
NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 2)
Posted on December 11, 2020 | No Comments28-29 November Fig 10: Temperatures in Sydney (8) More Lack-of-reserve warnings Fig 11: timeline of AEMO’s notices The table shows the sequence of LOR notices for 28-29 Nov 2020 and […] -
![The summer hasn’t even started yet and the first lack-of-reserve and outage notices have appeared. 16 November 2020 (1) Line Outage Upper Tumut- Stockdill AEMO market notice 80022 16/11/2020 01:39:08 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-generation-12GW_16Nov2020-115x115.jpg "NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 1)")
NSW power supply problems November 2020 (part 1)
Posted on November 26, 2020 | No CommentsThe summer hasn’t even started yet and the first lack-of-reserve and outage notices have appeared. 16 November 2020 (1) Line Outage Upper Tumut- Stockdill AEMO market notice 80022 16/11/2020 01:39:08 […] -
![Fig 1: BP is in peak oil mode BP shuts down Kwinana refinery with 600 jobs expected to go, Commonwealth says no impact on fuel security 30 Oct 2020 Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_imports_crude_products_1978-2019-115x115.jpg "Australia’s BP Kwinana refinery closure: peak oil context")
Australia’s BP Kwinana refinery closure: peak oil context
Posted on November 14, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: BP is in peak oil mode BP shuts down Kwinana refinery with 600 jobs expected to go, Commonwealth says no impact on fuel security 30 Oct 2020 Fig […] -
![In the previous posts we have shown that the peak oil problem in Asia is mainly a problem of skyrocketing consumption at an additional 1 mb/d (2.8%) each year. Whereas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Japan-fuel-consumption_1965-2019-1-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 4)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 4)
Posted on September 10, 2020 | No CommentsIn the previous posts we have shown that the peak oil problem in Asia is mainly a problem of skyrocketing consumption at an additional 1 mb/d (2.8%) each year. Whereas […] -
![Fig 22: The peak of the largest producer China determined the Asian peak From the countries in Fig 22 the 3rd and 4th largest oil importers are Thailand and Indonesia […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia-Pacific-oil-production_BP-1965_2019-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 3)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 3)
Posted on August 17, 2020 | No CommentsFig 22: The peak of the largest producer China determined the Asian peak From the countries in Fig 22 the 3rd and 4th largest oil importers are Thailand and Indonesia […] -
![Continued from part 1 But there is another metric explaining China’s oil consumption growth: debt. The following graph is from an article by the Institute of International Finance in its […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_oil-consumption-debt_2000-18-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 2)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 2)
Posted on July 15, 2020 | No CommentsContinued from part 1 But there is another metric explaining China’s oil consumption growth: debt. The following graph is from an article by the Institute of International Finance in its […] -
![Fig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_1965-2019_fill_in-2039-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)
Posted on June 30, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […] -
![From the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Strategic-Petroleum-Reserve_US-115x115.jpg "Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US")
Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US
Posted on May 22, 2020 | No CommentsFrom the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […]
