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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments
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Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]
Latest Headlines
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![Just a week before a Federal election was called the Australian Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, released an interim report on fuel security on 4th April 2019 for public consultation (hereinafter […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Jan2019-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 1)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 1)
Posted on April 29, 2019 | No CommentsJust a week before a Federal election was called the Australian Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, released an interim report on fuel security on 4th April 2019 for public consultation (hereinafter […] -
![In the latest announcement of the Berejiklian government, 5 min before the 23rd March 2019 election, the New South Wales Premier confirmed the government will build the Metro West (already […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/MetroWest_corridor-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s Immigration Metros (Part 1)")
Sydney’s Immigration Metros (Part 1)
Posted on March 11, 2019 | No CommentsIn the latest announcement of the Berejiklian government, 5 min before the 23rd March 2019 election, the New South Wales Premier confirmed the government will build the Metro West (already […] -
![Fig 1: NSW power generation, prices and temperatures We see the critical day was Thursday, Jan 31st with temperatures up to 39.3 degrees. Coal generation was 8,853 MW (out of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Liddell_28Jan-2Feb2019-115x115.jpg "NSW coal fired power plants generation in late January 2019")
NSW coal fired power plants generation in late January 2019
Posted on February 5, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: NSW power generation, prices and temperatures We see the critical day was Thursday, Jan 31st with temperatures up to 39.3 degrees. Coal generation was 8,853 MW (out of […] -
![Fig 1: 7 days power generation in Victoria (screenshot from the Open NEM website) https://opennem.org.au/#/regions/vic In order to understand the above graph we have to know how Excel is dealing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Victoria-Exports-Imports-17-26Jan2019-115x115.jpg "Victoria became power importer in January 2019 heatwave")
Victoria became power importer in January 2019 heatwave
Posted on January 29, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: 7 days power generation in Victoria (screenshot from the Open NEM website) https://opennem.org.au/#/regions/vic In order to understand the above graph we have to know how Excel is dealing […] -
![Yesterday, 22 Jan 2019, total power demand on Australia’s East Coast reached – just like 5 days earlier – the 35 GW mark. Fig 1: Power generation by source for […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Victoria-generation_22Jan2019-115x115.jpg "Victoria’s 600 MW brown coal plant outage leads to price spike but system survives")
Victoria’s 600 MW brown coal plant outage leads to price spike but system survives
Posted on January 23, 2019 | No CommentsYesterday, 22 Jan 2019, total power demand on Australia’s East Coast reached – just like 5 days earlier – the 35 GW mark. Fig 1: Power generation by source for […] -
![Maximum demand for electricity increased from 9,500 MW on 13 Jan 2019 (16:00) to a whopping 14,000 MW on 17 Jan 2019 (17:30). Fig 1: Heatwave pushing up power demand […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_power_generation_17Jan2019-115x115.jpg "NSW power imports in January 2019 heatwave exceed 2 GW, drive up electricity prices")
NSW power imports in January 2019 heatwave exceed 2 GW, drive up electricity prices
Posted on January 21, 2019 | No CommentsMaximum demand for electricity increased from 9,500 MW on 13 Jan 2019 (16:00) to a whopping 14,000 MW on 17 Jan 2019 (17:30). Fig 1: Heatwave pushing up power demand […] -
![Qatar announces it will leave OPEC Fig 1: Qatar’s Minister for Energy 4/12/2018 Qatar to withdraw from OPEC in January 2019 Speaking at a news conference in the capital Doha, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qatar_Minister_Energy_Dec2018-115x115.jpg "Qatar peak oil")
Qatar peak oil
Posted on December 6, 2018 | No CommentsQatar announces it will leave OPEC Fig 1: Qatar’s Minister for Energy 4/12/2018 Qatar to withdraw from OPEC in January 2019 Speaking at a news conference in the capital Doha, […] -
![Hors-d’oeuvre On the streets of Paris: 24 Nov 2018 Fuel price protests on the Champs Elysees https://france-inflation.com/prix-carburants.php 20 Nov 2018: The “gilets jaunes” have a hard time to convince truck […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-protests_24Nov2018-115x115.jpg "European oil consumption after North Sea Peak Oil")
European oil consumption after North Sea Peak Oil
Posted on November 28, 2018 | No CommentsHors-d’oeuvre On the streets of Paris: 24 Nov 2018 Fuel price protests on the Champs Elysees https://france-inflation.com/prix-carburants.php 20 Nov 2018: The “gilets jaunes” have a hard time to convince truck […] -
![We do not know where the Khashoggi case will go but what is happening in Saudi Arabia is important for the world. Jodi data up to Aug 2018, released 19/10/2018 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Saudi_crude_use_exports_2002-Aug2018-115x115.jpg "Saudi Update October 2018")
Saudi Update October 2018
Posted on October 30, 2018 | No CommentsWe do not know where the Khashoggi case will go but what is happening in Saudi Arabia is important for the world. Jodi data up to Aug 2018, released 19/10/2018 […] -
![Sydney must be the only city in the world which closes its most modern heavy rail tunnel, 12.5 kms, designed for its ubiquitous double deckers and used by long distance […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Epping_rail_tunnel_closure_Oct2018-115x115.jpg "Sydney playing risky and costly metropoly games amid oil price fears (part 1)")
Sydney playing risky and costly metropoly games amid oil price fears (part 1)
Posted on October 7, 2018 | No CommentsSydney must be the only city in the world which closes its most modern heavy rail tunnel, 12.5 kms, designed for its ubiquitous double deckers and used by long distance […]
