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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU-Diesel-imports-China-Taiwan-Jan21-Jan25.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
22 May 2025 5:05 PM | No Comments -
![Diesel is the most important fuel to sustain the economy. Fig 1: Australian Diesel consumption has been increasing on a long-term trend Fig 2: Australian refinery production of diesel in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-imports-last-12months-Dec2024.jpg "Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?")
Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan?
22 April 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![This is part 2 of the previous post of 4 Mar 2025 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-shale-oil-seems-to-cover-up-peaking-crude-oil-production-in-the-rest-of-the-world-since-2018 In this post we focus on the period 2016 – Oct 2024 This is a graph showing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-Jun2020-Nov2024.jpg "Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018")
Post-Covid crude production in world outside the US still lower than end 2018
25 March 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Update on incremental world crude and condensate oil production Oct 2024 What happened to peak oil after conventional crude oil started to peak in 2005 at 74 mb/d? Here is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Incremental-crude-2004-Oct2024.jpg "US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018")
US shale oil seems to cover up peaking crude oil production in the rest of the world since 2018
04 March 2025 4:06 PM | No Comments -
![Tuesday, 4th February 2025 Fig 1: Temperatures in the Sydney basin 4 Feb 2025 Fig 2: 2 price spikes up to $ 5,600 /Mh in the afternoon and evening The […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-4Feb25.jpg "Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset")
Another hot windless day in NSW and coal power plants were running at 90 per cent available capacity after sunset
07 February 2025 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments
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Australian diesel imports update January 2025 data. Preparing for surprises in the Strait of Taiwan (part 2)
In part 1 of this post we looked at various Taiwan scenarios of US think tanks. https://crudeoilpeak.info/australian-diesel-imports-update-january-2025-data-preparing-for-surprises-in-the-strait-of-taiwan So what does all this mean for Australia’s fuel imports from East Asia? […]
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![This post uses data released by the BP Statistical Review in June 2018 https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html Oil production seems to have left its bumpy 6 year long (2010-2015) plateau of 8.4 mb/d […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_1965-2017-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Pacific (part 1)")
Peak oil in Asia Pacific (part 1)
Posted on June 18, 2018 | No CommentsThis post uses data released by the BP Statistical Review in June 2018 https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html Oil production seems to have left its bumpy 6 year long (2010-2015) plateau of 8.4 mb/d […] -
![We see the impact of the conventional oil peak in Venezuela. As an example let’s look at the El-Furrial field. Fig 1: Not La-Hora-Zero (yet) but low voter turn-out for […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Autopista-Caracas-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Venezuela: El Furrial oil field")
Peak oil in Venezuela: El Furrial oil field
Posted on May 26, 2018 | No CommentsWe see the impact of the conventional oil peak in Venezuela. As an example let’s look at the El-Furrial field. Fig 1: Not La-Hora-Zero (yet) but low voter turn-out for […] -
![As the US has withdrawn from the Iran nuclear deal and tensions increase between Israel and Iran there can be no doubt that this will impact on oil supplies. Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Jan2018-115x115.jpg "Update on Australian oil import vulnerability May 2018")
Update on Australian oil import vulnerability May 2018
Posted on May 10, 2018 | No CommentsAs the US has withdrawn from the Iran nuclear deal and tensions increase between Israel and Iran there can be no doubt that this will impact on oil supplies. Fig […] -
![On 12/4/2018 a briefing session of the Greater Sydney Commission (GSC) on recently released planning documents https://www.greater.sydney/greater-sydney-region-plan took place in the Parramatta Novotel. According to the GSC establishment Act 2015 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel_Sales_NSW_2010-17-30-115x115.jpg "NSW fuel consumption and high immigration not compatible with CO2 reduction pathways")
NSW fuel consumption and high immigration not compatible with CO2 reduction pathways
Posted on April 30, 2018 | No CommentsOn 12/4/2018 a briefing session of the Greater Sydney Commission (GSC) on recently released planning documents https://www.greater.sydney/greater-sydney-region-plan took place in the Parramatta Novotel. According to the GSC establishment Act 2015 […] -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-115x115.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
Posted on March 16, 2018 | No CommentsPart 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […] -
![14/3/2018 Part 1 Bayswater and Liddell power plants Introduction The Australian public has no idea how tight Australia’s power generation is in hot summers. A recent 4 corners program on population […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Liddell_30-31Jan2018-115x115.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 1)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 1)
Posted on March 14, 2018 | No Comments14/3/2018 Part 1 Bayswater and Liddell power plants Introduction The Australian public has no idea how tight Australia’s power generation is in hot summers. A recent 4 corners program on population […] -
![This is an analysis of late summer. Data are taken from Open NEM: http://opennem.org.au/# The graphs in this post are a bit different from those on the above website Fig […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NEM-daylight-generation_22Feb2018-115x115.jpg "Australia’s east coast solar generation is replacing coal by only 2% in late summer")
Australia’s east coast solar generation is replacing coal by only 2% in late summer
Posted on March 11, 2018 | No CommentsThis is an analysis of late summer. Data are taken from Open NEM: http://opennem.org.au/# The graphs in this post are a bit different from those on the above website Fig […] -
![In part 1 we talked about what action the government is taking to bring Australia back to the IEA 90 days oil stock requirement. What was done so far This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NESA_forecast_IEA_compliance_requirement_2013-33-115x115.jpg "Will Australia have a strategic oil reserve before it is too late? (part 2)")
Will Australia have a strategic oil reserve before it is too late? (part 2)
Posted on February 22, 2018 | No CommentsIn part 1 we talked about what action the government is taking to bring Australia back to the IEA 90 days oil stock requirement. What was done so far This […] -
![From time to time the media takes some interest: Low emergency oil reserves ‘now pose a danger to security’ 16/2/2018 Australia’s failure to meet emergency oil reserves now posed a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_jet_fuel_imports_by_country_2004_Dec2017-115x115.jpg "Australian fuel imports from Asia are going sky high while non-compliance with IEA stock requirements continues (part 1)")
Australian fuel imports from Asia are going sky high while non-compliance with IEA stock requirements continues (part 1)
Posted on February 21, 2018 | No CommentsFrom time to time the media takes some interest: Low emergency oil reserves ‘now pose a danger to security’ 16/2/2018 Australia’s failure to meet emergency oil reserves now posed a […] -
![On the first really hot day in 2018 Sydney experienced temperatures above 45 degrees. Fig 1: BOM Temperature map for NSW on 7 Jan 2018 http://www.bom.gov.au/web03/ncc/www/awap/temperature/maxave/daily/colour/history/ns/2018010720180107.hres.gif These were the temperatures […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_power_imports_7Jan2018-115x115.jpg "Energy guzzling NSW had to import up to 1,700 MW on 7 Jan 2018")
Energy guzzling NSW had to import up to 1,700 MW on 7 Jan 2018
Posted on January 13, 2018 | No CommentsOn the first really hot day in 2018 Sydney experienced temperatures above 45 degrees. Fig 1: BOM Temperature map for NSW on 7 Jan 2018 http://www.bom.gov.au/web03/ncc/www/awap/temperature/maxave/daily/colour/history/ns/2018010720180107.hres.gif These were the temperatures […]
