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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![On Sat. 27th June 2026 10 am the Australian Energy Minister gave his weekly update on fuel supplies to a small group of journos in front of his electoral office […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Sydney-27Jun26-1.jpg "Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders")
Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders
28 June 2026 10:02 AM | No Comments -
![Tanker GRAND WINNER 5 (IMO 9906714) departed the South Korean port of Yeosu on 17th of May with around 50 ML of fuel, scheduled to arrive 2nd June. This website […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/GRAND-WINNER-5-KR-YOS-offshore-17-Jun26.jpg "The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney")
The Odyssey of Panamax tanker GRAND WINNER 5 waiting for 3 weeks offshore Sydney
23 June 2026 10:46 AM | No Comments -
![Press Conference 20/6/26 9:20 am PRIME MINISTER: “Today I can announce that Export Finance Australia (EFA) has secured an additional 50 ML of diesel and that this shipment is now […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Botany-Bay-BTB1-and-BTB2.jpg "Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders")
Albanese government reluctant to make public the open order balance of EFA supported fuel orders
20 June 2026 9:07 PM | No Comments -
![Summary Stock of fuel reached record levels, but the future of fuel orders is unclear. We need to continue to monitor this because we cannot know what will happen in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Order-book-EFA-supported_30May26.jpg "Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026")
Australian Energy Minister does not disclose diesel forward orders 13 June 2026
14 June 2026 8:11 PM | No Comments -
![MSO =Minimum (Fuel) Stock Obligation Summary list of questions After last week’s MSO update a number of questions still remain open: An order of 3 cargos of jet fuel (100 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-6June.jpg "Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update")
Many open questions after Australia’s 6 June MSO update
09 June 2026 3:50 PM | No Comments -
![Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-incl-extra-4Apr-30May-2026.jpg "Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months")
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
01 June 2026 11:44 AM | No Comments -
![Australian diesel import update March 2026 In the previous post it was highlighted that forward diesel orders (19 May 2026) were at 2,350 ML per month. If the geopolitical situation […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-imports-vs-forward-orders-19May26.jpg "Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026")
Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026
29 May 2026 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![(1) Forward Orders Press conference, Sydney, New South Wales 23 May 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: Thanks for coming, everyone. I’m very pleased today to give the weekly Saturday petrol update. … We […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-19May2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum")
Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum
24 May 2026 11:15 PM | No Comments -
![This post turns information given to the media into easily understandable time line graphs. It includes implied and inconvenient facts the Energy Minister did not mention in: Press conference – […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-excl-extra-4Apr-16May-2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dropped by 12 % from previous week")
Australian forward fuel orders dropped by 12 % from previous week
18 May 2026 6:39 PM | No Comments -
![Same procedure every Saturday. First, a new chart appears on the DCCEEW website Fig 1: New weekly MSO chart for Tuesday, 28 Apr 2026 https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics On this basis we can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Coral-Sea-10May26.jpg "Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ")
Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ
12 May 2026 11:55 AM | No Comments
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Australian fuel supplies: the Minister’s need to know about arrivals of extra fuel orders
On Sat. 27th June 2026 10 am the Australian Energy Minister gave his weekly update on fuel supplies to a small group of journos in front of his electoral office […]
Latest Headlines
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![In the previous posts we have shown that the peak oil problem in Asia is mainly a problem of skyrocketing consumption at an additional 1 mb/d (2.8%) each year. Whereas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Japan-fuel-consumption_1965-2019-1-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 4)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 4)
Posted on September 10, 2020 | No CommentsIn the previous posts we have shown that the peak oil problem in Asia is mainly a problem of skyrocketing consumption at an additional 1 mb/d (2.8%) each year. Whereas […] -
![Fig 22: The peak of the largest producer China determined the Asian peak From the countries in Fig 22 the 3rd and 4th largest oil importers are Thailand and Indonesia […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia-Pacific-oil-production_BP-1965_2019-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 3)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 3)
Posted on August 17, 2020 | No CommentsFig 22: The peak of the largest producer China determined the Asian peak From the countries in Fig 22 the 3rd and 4th largest oil importers are Thailand and Indonesia […] -
![Continued from part 1 But there is another metric explaining China’s oil consumption growth: debt. The following graph is from an article by the Institute of International Finance in its […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_oil-consumption-debt_2000-18-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 2)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 2)
Posted on July 15, 2020 | No CommentsContinued from part 1 But there is another metric explaining China’s oil consumption growth: debt. The following graph is from an article by the Institute of International Finance in its […] -
![Fig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_1965-2019_fill_in-2039-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)
Posted on June 30, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […] -
![From the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Strategic-Petroleum-Reserve_US-115x115.jpg "Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US")
Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US
Posted on May 22, 2020 | No CommentsFrom the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […] -
![Fig 1: The conventional crude oil plateau started in 2005 At the end of the high oil price period in June 2014, Virgin Australia had liabilities of $ 4.7 bn. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Virgin-Australia_Profits_2003-1H20-115x115.jpg "How the first phase of peak oil brought Virgin Australia into minus after 2008")
How the first phase of peak oil brought Virgin Australia into minus after 2008
Posted on May 3, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: The conventional crude oil plateau started in 2005 At the end of the high oil price period in June 2014, Virgin Australia had liabilities of $ 4.7 bn. […] -
![Empty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Wuhan-20Feb2020-115x115.jpg "Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios")
Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios
Posted on March 10, 2020 | No CommentsEmpty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […] -
![The pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tumut3-Power-station-saved-115x115.jpg "Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020")
Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020
Posted on February 4, 2020 | No CommentsThe pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […] -
![The world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Assad-US-air-base-damage-115x115.png "Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East")
Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East
Posted on January 12, 2020 | No CommentsThe world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […] -
![In part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-consumption_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)
Posted on October 24, 2019 | No CommentsIn part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […]
