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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments -
![The US exported 4.2 mb/d of crude oil in the last 12 months to August 2024. Exports have substantially increased after an export ban ended in December 2015. Flashback: This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-exports_2014-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024")
US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024
19 November 2024 8:12 PM | No Comments -
![This post is a continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-crude-oil-imports-by-gravity-and-country-of-origin-part-1 All data are from this website: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbblpd_m.htm Fig 10: US imports from Africa US crude imports from Africa declined dramatically between […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports-top15-excl-Canada-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)
14 November 2024 2:24 PM | No Comments -
![Despite a boom in shale oil production, the US is still importing 6.6 mb/d of crude oil. while also exporting 4.2 mb/d, resulting in a net import of 2.4 mb […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports_1965-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)
14 November 2024 10:37 AM | No Comments -
![Continued from previous post Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019 20 Oct 2024 https://crudeoilpeak.info/non-opec-10-oil-production-plateau-ended-2019 Now let’s check how actual production compares to OPEC quotas. The focus here is on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia-crude-vs-OPEC-quotas-Dec2018-Jun2024.jpg "Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024")
Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024
31 October 2024 4:00 PM | No Comments -
![In December 2016, OPEC signed an agreement with 10 non-OPEC oil-producing countries to form OPEC+ in response to falling oil prices. “The joint conference noted that OPEC Member Countries met on 30 November 2016 and decided to implement a production adjustment of 1.2 million barrels a day, effective from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-Plus-crude-production-1973-Apr2024.jpg "Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019")
Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019
20 October 2024 5:02 PM | No Comments
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Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]
Latest Headlines
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![Fig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_1965-2019_fill_in-2039-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)")
Peak oil in Asia Update June 2020 (part 1)
Posted on June 30, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: Asian oil consumption is around 5 times higher than production The production decline after the peak in 2015 is very modest. The size of the gap between consumption […] -
![From the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Strategic-Petroleum-Reserve_US-115x115.jpg "Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US")
Australia outsources its oil reserve problem to the US
Posted on May 22, 2020 | No CommentsFrom the Energy Minister’s media release: Australia to boost fuel security and establish national oil reserve 22 April 2020 The Australian Government is boosting the nation’s long-term fuel security by […] -
![Fig 1: The conventional crude oil plateau started in 2005 At the end of the high oil price period in June 2014, Virgin Australia had liabilities of $ 4.7 bn. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Virgin-Australia_Profits_2003-1H20-115x115.jpg "How the first phase of peak oil brought Virgin Australia into minus after 2008")
How the first phase of peak oil brought Virgin Australia into minus after 2008
Posted on May 3, 2020 | No CommentsFig 1: The conventional crude oil plateau started in 2005 At the end of the high oil price period in June 2014, Virgin Australia had liabilities of $ 4.7 bn. […] -
![Empty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Wuhan-20Feb2020-115x115.jpg "Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios")
Impact of Corona Virus similar to some earlier peak oil scenarios
Posted on March 10, 2020 | No CommentsEmpty roads, grounded aircraft, falling tourist and international student numbers, plunging car sales, empty super market shelves, disrupted supply chains… Fig 1: Empty roads in Wuhan in February 2020 China […] -
![The pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tumut3-Power-station-saved-115x115.jpg "Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020")
Bush fires cause load shedding in New South Wales – January 2020
Posted on February 4, 2020 | No CommentsThe pervasive climate change denial of various Australian governments and its consequences in the energy sector now take terrible revenge. This article is about an incident on Sat 4th 2020. […] -
![The world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Assad-US-air-base-damage-115x115.png "Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East")
Australia’s oil consumption highly vulnerable to events in the Middle East
Posted on January 12, 2020 | No CommentsThe world came very close to an escalating war in the Middle East. BBC asked: Iran missile attack: Did Tehran intentionally avoid US casualties? 8/1/2020 Fig 1: Damage to the […] -
![In part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Oil-consumption_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 2)
Posted on October 24, 2019 | No CommentsIn part 1 we had a summary table comparing Rystad’s 1P (proven reserves), 2P (proven + probable reserves) and 2PC (2P reserves + mean contingent) for all countries outside the […] -
![The world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_oil_production_ME_top_1965-2018-115x115.jpg "Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)")
Uncertainties following the Abqaiq attack have shrunk the world’s safe oil reserves by around half (part 1)
Posted on October 16, 2019 | No CommentsThe world has returned to business as usual after the Saudis assured oil markets that production will be back soon and as oil prices have returned to pre-attack levels and […] -
![Fig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Abqaiq-attack-prayer-time-115x115.jpg "The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar")
The Attacks on Abqaiq and Peak oil in Ghawar
Posted on October 1, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: The attackers hit at Fajr prayer time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sw_IwRPUZOQ When the late Houston based investment banker Matt Simmons wrote his 2005 book “Twilight in the desert, the coming Saudi […] -
![Asian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_oil_production_consumption_2005-2018_fill_in-2038-115x115.jpg "Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?")
Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century?
Posted on September 10, 2019 | No CommentsAsian oil production peaked above 8 mb/d for the period between 2008 and 2016 (with spikes in 2010 and 2015). The 2015 peak was mainly caused by peak oil in […]
