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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fuel-days-24Feb-8Sep2026.jpg "Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March")
Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
14 September 2026 12:08 PM | No Comments -
![This article is using data collected in: https://crudeoilpeak.info/tankers-arriving-and-departing-in-sydney The objective here is to visualize the tanker traffic and where it comes from and to detect whether the number of tankers […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-Sydney-August26.jpg "Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026")
Analysis tanker traffic in Sydney August 2026
13 September 2026 10:36 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 6 Sep 2026 Minister Bowen: We have 36 ships on the water, on the way to Australia, and 3.5 billion litres of fuel locked in to be delivered […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-water-vs-Volume-4Apr-5Sep26.jpg "Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April")
Number of tankers on the way to Australia on the lowest since records started in April
06 September 2026 5:28 PM | No Comments -
![MSO Update 25 Aug published 29 Aug 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: The Iran war is now six months old. When the Iran war started, Australians were understandably concerned about fuel security, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-stock-off-on-shore-MSO-25Aug26.jpg "The Energy Minister’s calm approach")
The Energy Minister’s calm approach
30 August 2026 8:00 PM | No Comments -
![The deficiency of fuel supply updates highlighted in previous articles seems to become permanent. CHRIS BOWEN: We have 51 ships on the way to Australia with fuel, which is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-4Apr-22Aug2026.jpg "Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?")
Why does Energy Minister Bowen no longer disclose forward orders by fuel?
25 August 2026 3:00 PM | No Comments -
![The quotes are from the Energy Minister’s press conference in Fairfield on 15 August (transcript see Appendix) Minister Bowen: 3.7 billion liters of deliveries locked in for the next four […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-stock-volumes-land-on-water-June2018-June2026.jpg "Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney")
Forward orders jumped unexpectedly from 3 billion to 3.7 billion liters but next stranded tanker HAFNIA MIKALA waits offshore Sydney
17 August 2026 11:21 AM | No Comments -
![Weekly fuel update: Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the National Press Club This week’s Saturday […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Bowen-happy-with-critcism-too-much-fuel.jpg "Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC")
Slight drop in Australian fuel stock as mainstream media discovered stranded tankers offshore and Energy Minister happy about it at the NPC
09 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![The following graph shows the NSW maximum power generation reached every evening in the winter month of July 2026: Fig 1: Max daily coal power generation in evening hours Data […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plants-by-unit-July2026-1.jpg "NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026")
NSW coal fired generation exceeded 7,000 MW on 20 evenings in July 2026
06 August 2026 11:00 AM | No Comments -
![Executive Data Summary Fuel stock is on a bumpy plateau of 6.3 bn litres for the last 8 weeks reaching limits to growth Diesel stock has been on an average […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-on-way-vs-arrivals-7Mar-1Aug26.jpg "Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%")
Australian fuel supply update 1 August 2026: tankers expected to arrive in next 4 weeks will drop by 20%
02 August 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments -
![MSO update with data from 21 July 2026 Context Hormuz tanker crossings slip to lowest in more than two months, data shows 24/7/26 Only one tanker crossed the Strait of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/ME-policy-ALP-conference-Adelaide-25Jul26.jpg "Australian Energy Minister at ease despite Hormuz closure and detour of Saudi tankers to Asia via the Cape of Good Hope")
Australian Energy Minister at ease despite Hormuz closure and detour of Saudi tankers to Asia via the Cape of Good Hope
25 July 2026 6:00 PM | No Comments
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Australian Diesel stocks down from maximum in July 2026 by 6 days to 32 days, the same level as beginning March
Back to square one. Just as the situation in the Middle East is worsening, diesel (and also jet fuel stocks) are basically down to March 2026 levels. This is because […]
Latest Headlines
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![On 5 August 2024 Australia’s east coast experienced power price spikes in all States, only 5 days after it already happened on 31 July. Prices climbed as high as $17,500/MWh […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-Price-spikes-5Aug24.jpg "More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours")
More power price spikes on Australia’s east coast on 5 Aug 2024 lasting more than 2 hours
Posted on August 7, 2024 | No CommentsOn 5 August 2024 Australia’s east coast experienced power price spikes in all States, only 5 days after it already happened on 31 July. Prices climbed as high as $17,500/MWh […] -
![The longest price spike periods happened in South Australia after sunset and under low wind conditions, requiring gas fired power to reach 80% in the generation mix. Gas is in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Dispatch-31Jul-10am.jpg "Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States")
Chilly winter evenings and tight power supplies cause simultaneous price spikes in all Australian east coast States
Posted on July 31, 2024 | No CommentsThe longest price spike periods happened in South Australia after sunset and under low wind conditions, requiring gas fired power to reach 80% in the generation mix. Gas is in […] -
![The 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy has been published on 20 June 2024 by the Energy Institute (previously by BP) with data up to 2023. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Oil production in […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-oil-crude-oil-production-1965-2023.jpg "Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs")
Peak oil update 2023 – part 1 NGLs
Posted on June 24, 2024 | No CommentsThe 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy has been published on 20 June 2024 by the Energy Institute (previously by BP) with data up to 2023. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review Oil production in […] -
![This post describes a series of price spikes in NSW which happened between Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th of May 2024. The following Fig 1 and Fig 2 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-by-fuel-7-8May24.jpg "NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024")
NSW power price spikes and administered price caps in May 2024
Posted on May 16, 2024 | No CommentsThis post describes a series of price spikes in NSW which happened between Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th of May 2024. The following Fig 1 and Fig 2 […] -
![Report from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Gas-production-VIC-NSW-Moomba-Dec2023-annual.jpg "Peak gas in Victoria, Australia")
Peak gas in Victoria, Australia
Posted on March 28, 2024 | No CommentsReport from AEMO (AEMO=Australian Energy Market Operator) on East Coast gas supplies: 21 Mar 2024 AEMO’s latest gas market outlook for Australia’s east coast has forecast a gap in gas […] -
![Continuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-afternoon-29Feb24-max-demand.jpg "Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity")
Last hot summer day in NSW: ALL 12 coal powered units running at combined 90% of capacity
Posted on March 8, 2024 | No CommentsContinuous power price spikes on hot summer day in NSW – yet again. Fig 1: Temperatures in NSW on 29 Feb 2024 (ABC News/BOM) Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on […] -
![One of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Fly-money-fly.jpg "Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket")
Fly, money, fly. Australian jet fuel import bills skyrocket
Posted on January 28, 2024 | No CommentsOne of the biggest dangers is that military conflicts in the Middle East turn into a tanker war. Marlin Luanda with Russian (!!) Naphtha for Singapore hit by missile and […] -
![This is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-imports-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 2)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsThis is the continuation of part 1 on lack of reserves in NSW on 14 Dec 2023 https://crudeoilpeak.info/how-close-did-nsw-come-to-load-shedding-on-14-dec-2023-part-1 which culminated in: Fig 20: Actual LOR2 notice This meant that eg. […] -
![Tight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-AEMO-LOR2-Notices-14Dec2023.jpg "How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)")
How close did NSW come to load shedding on 14 Dec 2023? (part 1)
Posted on December 21, 2023 | No CommentsTight power supplies in NSW 14 Dec 2013 Fig 1: Warning to reduce electricity use A severe early summer heatwave across New South Wales is bringing the hottest weather since […] -
![Guided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iraq-crude-production_Jodi_2007-Aug23.jpg "ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)")
ME oil supply situation as Gaza war brings world into unknown territory (part 2)
Posted on November 27, 2023 | No CommentsGuided-missile destroyer USS Mason (DDG-87) 26 Nov 23 “Following the detentions, Houthi forces fired two short-range ballistic missiles at Mason and the tanker, according to CENTCOM. At approximately 0141 on […]
