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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-jet-fuel-imports-China-Jan2021-Dec2025.jpg "China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries")
China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
07 March 2026 3:23 PM | No Comments -
![As the war in the Middle East has started, it’s time to update earlier posts on Australian fuel imports which indirectly depend on the Middle East. As of writing this […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Hormuz-2Mar2026-Marinetraffic.jpg "Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %")
Australia’s diesel import dependency on Strait of Hormuz is around 50 %
02 March 2026 11:20 AM | No Comments -
![U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion 18 Feb 2026 U.S. is ready to strike Iran but President Trump hasn’t yet decided to […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/5-OPEC-countries-ME-crude-exports-2012-2024.jpg "How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?")
How many barrels of OPEC crude oil exports would be impacted in case of a Persian Gulf war ?
19 February 2026 10:20 PM | No Comments -
![5 February 2026 Just as during question time in the comfortably airconditioned Parliament the price of electricity was discussed in its umptieth iteration …………… Mr CHESTER (Gippsland) (14:42): My question […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-spikes-5Feb2026.jpg "Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices")
Hot day in Sydney, hot electricity prices
06 February 2026 7:44 AM | No Comments -
![iranintl.com/en/202601072515 But see article below by the Middle East Forum why strikes have not spread. https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/southpars Fig 1: Iran South Pars condensate production (estimate) Iran on the edge: What the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-production-1973-Sep2025.jpg "Iran Update January 2026")
Iran Update January 2026
11 January 2026 7:58 AM | No Comments -
![Fig 1: Temperatures in Sydney on 10 Jan 2026 Fig 2: Temperatures in Sydney on 1 – 10 Jan 2026 Observatory Hill is in the city near the Harbour and […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-price-demand-10Jan2026.jpg "Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh")
Sydney temperatures of 43 degrees push demand to 13,000 MW costing $12,000 per MWh
10 January 2026 10:30 PM | No Comments -
![Australia’s public broadcaster, in its flagship 7:30 program, highlighted fuel supply problems in this story: VIDEO: Fears about Australia’s fuel security in the future 3 Dec 2025 Running out? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-03/fears-about-australia-s-fuel-security/106098554 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004_Sep2025.jpg "Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data")
Foot print of peak oil in Australia fuel import vulnerability update September 2025 data
03 December 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![In October 2025 AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) issued 72 lack of reserve notices and 8 market intervention instructions: 46 LOR 1 forecast lack of reserve notices on 23 days […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LORs-Oct2025.jpg "NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions")
NSW power supplies October 2025 – 70 AEMO lack of reserve notices and 8 intervention instructions
10 November 2025 10:00 AM | No Comments -
![This is the continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-generation-curves-lack-of-reserves-and-intervention-notices-september-2025-part1 Sample generation graphs from NEM Fig 15: High use of coal in cool spring night with little wind On 12-13 September (Fri-Sat) […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-12-13Sep25.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part 2)
21 October 2025 8:52 PM | No Comments -
![Weather Fig 1: Sydney sunshine hours Solar power storage needs to be designed for 1 day without sun and 7 days with only 50% output Fig 2: Temperatures in September […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal-plant-availability-Sep-2025.jpg "NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)")
NSW power generation curves, lack of reserves and intervention notices September 2025 (part1)
18 October 2025 11:00 AM | No Comments
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China fuel exports suspension: Australia will have to replace 28% of its jet fuel imports from other countries
Australia’s jet fuel imports: Fig 1: Australian jet fuel imports While the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked: China urges refiners to suspend fuel exports amid Mideast war, sources say SINGAPORE, […]
Latest Headlines
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![Fig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China-trucks-out-of-fuel_Oct2021.jpg "China peak diesel")
China peak diesel
Posted on October 31, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […] -
![The Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_emissions-by-quarter_Dec2000-Mar2021.jpg "Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid")
Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid
Posted on September 20, 2021 | No CommentsThe Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […] -
![Australia’s monthly diesel imports reached a record of 2,360 ML (495 kb/d) in June 2021. While it is common for imports to vary from month to month there is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Jun-2021.jpg "Australia’s diesel imports on record high Update June 2021")
Australia’s diesel imports on record high Update June 2021
Posted on September 8, 2021 | No CommentsAustralia’s monthly diesel imports reached a record of 2,360 ML (495 kb/d) in June 2021. While it is common for imports to vary from month to month there is a […] -
![Production: pre-Covid trends prevail Fig 1: Oil decline in 2020 was a modest 200 kb/d similar to the post 2015 trend Fig 2: China’s (and Australia’s) modest growth of 65 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia-Pacific-oil-production_BP-1965_2020.jpg "Asia Pacific peak oil: 2020 production continued decline at -2.7% pa")
Asia Pacific peak oil: 2020 production continued decline at -2.7% pa
Posted on September 4, 2021 | No CommentsProduction: pre-Covid trends prevail Fig 1: Oil decline in 2020 was a modest 200 kb/d similar to the post 2015 trend Fig 2: China’s (and Australia’s) modest growth of 65 […] -
![China is the only country which increased oil imports in 2020. This post is using data from the new BP Statistical Review released on 8 July 2021. Fig 1: Wuhan […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_prod-imports-consumption_1965-2021.jpg "China increased oil imports in Covid stricken 2020 by a lucky 8.8%")
China increased oil imports in Covid stricken 2020 by a lucky 8.8%
Posted on August 29, 2021 | No CommentsChina is the only country which increased oil imports in 2020. This post is using data from the new BP Statistical Review released on 8 July 2021. Fig 1: Wuhan […] -
![This article follows 2 earlier posts on power price spikes in May 2021 (Tomago alu smelter load shedding and Callide C4 explosion) It is easy enough to click on the […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_coal_power_16-23Jul21.jpg "New South Wales’ coal fired power plants operating at close to rated capacity: winter 2021")
New South Wales’ coal fired power plants operating at close to rated capacity: winter 2021
Posted on July 29, 2021 | No CommentsThis article follows 2 earlier posts on power price spikes in May 2021 (Tomago alu smelter load shedding and Callide C4 explosion) It is easy enough to click on the […] -
![In part 1 we were looking at BP’s oil field sold (A), for sale (B) or decommissioned (C).That was a sobering experience. In part 2 we analyse fields which are […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Clair-oil-production_2004-Jan2021.jpg "BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 2)")
BP peak oil (UK decline, asset sales and decommissioning Part 2)
Posted on June 17, 2021 | No CommentsIn part 1 we were looking at BP’s oil field sold (A), for sale (B) or decommissioned (C).That was a sobering experience. In part 2 we analyse fields which are […] -
![In this 2nd part we analyze the impact of the generator hall explosion on 25 May 2021 in the Callide power plant in Queensland located 85 kms south west of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-disptach-spot-average-prices_300_May2021.jpg "NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 2) Callide C4 explosion")
NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 2) Callide C4 explosion
Posted on June 14, 2021 | No CommentsIn this 2nd part we analyze the impact of the generator hall explosion on 25 May 2021 in the Callide power plant in Queensland located 85 kms south west of […] -
![Liddell outages, load shedding at the Tomago alu smelter and reduced power imports from Queensland after the generator fire at Callide have caused price spikes in NSW which mean that […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-power-demand-RRP_1-31May2021.jpg "NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 1)")
NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 1)
Posted on June 7, 2021 | No CommentsLiddell outages, load shedding at the Tomago alu smelter and reduced power imports from Queensland after the generator fire at Callide have caused price spikes in NSW which mean that […] -
![The number of arriving and departing passengers on direct flights from/to (mainland) Chinese airports has peaked in 2018 and 2019, BEFORE the corona virus hit in the 1st quarter of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_arrive_depart_pax_AU_2009-2020.jpg "China – Australia passenger traffic has peaked 2018-19 before Covid")
China – Australia passenger traffic has peaked 2018-19 before Covid
Posted on May 22, 2021 | No CommentsThe number of arriving and departing passengers on direct flights from/to (mainland) Chinese airports has peaked in 2018 and 2019, BEFORE the corona virus hit in the 1st quarter of […]
