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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Qld22Jan25.jpg "Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs")
Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
25 January 2025 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Political debate The NSW power shortage problem made it to the Question time in Parliament Wednesday, 27 November 2024 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES It so happened that 3 bills on a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-coal-plant-closure-years-2027-2040.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 4)
08 December 2024 5:00 PM | No Comments -
![In part 1 we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding, part 2 was about coal plants. And in this post, we look at generation from renewables and gas […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-windfarms_27Nov2024.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 3)
06 December 2024 11:08 AM | No Comments -
![In the first part we saw details of the Tomago smelter load shedding. In this post, let’s have a look at the coal plants: Fig 10: Table showing availability of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-4-coal-plants-27Nov24.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 2)
06 December 2024 7:27 AM | No Comments -
![At lunchtime, on Nov 27th, estimated demand in NSW was around 12,000 MW with a long period of extremely high spot prices: Fig 1: NSW electricity demand and forecast spot […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW-LOR-table-27Nov2023.jpg "Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)")
Load shedding in New South Wales 27 November 2024 (part 1)
05 December 2024 10:32 PM | No Comments -
![The US exported 4.2 mb/d of crude oil in the last 12 months to August 2024. Exports have substantially increased after an export ban ended in December 2015. Flashback: This […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-exports_2014-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024")
US crude oil exports 2014 to August 2024
19 November 2024 8:12 PM | No Comments -
![This post is a continuation of part 1 https://crudeoilpeak.info/us-crude-oil-imports-by-gravity-and-country-of-origin-part-1 All data are from this website: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbblpd_m.htm Fig 10: US imports from Africa US crude imports from Africa declined dramatically between […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports-top15-excl-Canada-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 2)
14 November 2024 2:24 PM | No Comments -
![Despite a boom in shale oil production, the US is still importing 6.6 mb/d of crude oil. while also exporting 4.2 mb/d, resulting in a net import of 2.4 mb […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/US-crude-imports_1965-Aug2024.jpg "US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)")
US crude oil imports by gravity and country of origin (part 1)
14 November 2024 10:37 AM | No Comments -
![Continued from previous post Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019 20 Oct 2024 https://crudeoilpeak.info/non-opec-10-oil-production-plateau-ended-2019 Now let’s check how actual production compares to OPEC quotas. The focus here is on […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia-crude-vs-OPEC-quotas-Dec2018-Jun2024.jpg "Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024")
Russian oil quota history December 2018 – June 2024
31 October 2024 4:00 PM | No Comments -
![In December 2016, OPEC signed an agreement with 10 non-OPEC oil-producing countries to form OPEC+ in response to falling oil prices. “The joint conference noted that OPEC Member Countries met on 30 November 2016 and decided to implement a production adjustment of 1.2 million barrels a day, effective from […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/OPEC-Plus-crude-production-1973-Apr2024.jpg "Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019")
Non-OPEC 10 oil production plateau ended 2019
20 October 2024 5:02 PM | No Comments
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Queensland heat wave on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices for 2 hrs
A Queensland scorcher on 22 Jan 2025 caused lack of reserves LOR2 and high spot prices $14,000/MWh for 2 hrs Fig 1: Australia’s synoptic chart for 22 Jan 2025 Townsville […]
Latest Headlines
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![This post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_conv-crude_plateau_2005-2018-115x115.jpg "2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq")
2005-2018 Conventional crude production on a bumpy plateau – with a little help from Iraq
Posted on August 26, 2019 | No CommentsThis post is an update of a graph done in 2015: Fig 1: Conventional oil production on bumpy plateau 2005-2014 In http://crudeoilpeak.info/latest-graphs When adding the new data for 2015-2018 it […] -
![Tankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Front_Altair_13Jun2019-115x115.jpg "Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?")
Persian Gulf oil export peak after tanker attacks?
Posted on June 21, 2019 | No CommentsTankers holed and burning in the Gulf of Oman are not a good sign for future oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Fig 1: Norway’s Front Altair burning with 75,000 […] -
![In the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World_crude_production_1994-Dec2018-115x115.jpg "World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005")
World crude production outside US and Iraq is flat since 2005
Posted on June 10, 2019 | No CommentsIn the year 2005, the global crude production curve shows a definitive kink, going horizontal for several years. This caused the 2008 oil price shock and the following financial crisis […] -
![Australia increased its internal oil dependency & vulnerability Let’s summarize what we covered in part 1 and 2 Australian oil production peaked in the year 2000 while oil consumption is […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Sydney_airports_demand_forecast_2015-2075-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 3)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 3)
Posted on May 2, 2019 | No CommentsAustralia increased its internal oil dependency & vulnerability Let’s summarize what we covered in part 1 and 2 Australian oil production peaked in the year 2000 while oil consumption is […] -
![Coming back to the 2019 Liquid Security Review https://www.environment.gov.au/energy/liquid-fuel-security-review-consultation Figures 9-11 in part 1 show how dependent Australia has become on fuel imports from South Korea and Japan, even China. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China_crude_Production_imports_2002_Dec2018-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 2)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 2)
Posted on April 30, 2019 | No CommentsComing back to the 2019 Liquid Security Review https://www.environment.gov.au/energy/liquid-fuel-security-review-consultation Figures 9-11 in part 1 show how dependent Australia has become on fuel imports from South Korea and Japan, even China. […] -
![Just a week before a Federal election was called the Australian Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, released an interim report on fuel security on 4th April 2019 for public consultation (hereinafter […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Jan2019-115x115.jpg "Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 1)")
Australian Fuel Security Review ignores peak oil in China 2015 (part 1)
Posted on April 29, 2019 | No CommentsJust a week before a Federal election was called the Australian Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, released an interim report on fuel security on 4th April 2019 for public consultation (hereinafter […] -
![In the latest announcement of the Berejiklian government, 5 min before the 23rd March 2019 election, the New South Wales Premier confirmed the government will build the Metro West (already […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/MetroWest_corridor-115x115.jpg "Sydney’s Immigration Metros (Part 1)")
Sydney’s Immigration Metros (Part 1)
Posted on March 11, 2019 | No CommentsIn the latest announcement of the Berejiklian government, 5 min before the 23rd March 2019 election, the New South Wales Premier confirmed the government will build the Metro West (already […] -
![Fig 1: NSW power generation, prices and temperatures We see the critical day was Thursday, Jan 31st with temperatures up to 39.3 degrees. Coal generation was 8,853 MW (out of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Liddell_28Jan-2Feb2019-115x115.jpg "NSW coal fired power plants generation in late January 2019")
NSW coal fired power plants generation in late January 2019
Posted on February 5, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: NSW power generation, prices and temperatures We see the critical day was Thursday, Jan 31st with temperatures up to 39.3 degrees. Coal generation was 8,853 MW (out of […] -
![Fig 1: 7 days power generation in Victoria (screenshot from the Open NEM website) https://opennem.org.au/#/regions/vic In order to understand the above graph we have to know how Excel is dealing […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Victoria-Exports-Imports-17-26Jan2019-115x115.jpg "Victoria became power importer in January 2019 heatwave")
Victoria became power importer in January 2019 heatwave
Posted on January 29, 2019 | No CommentsFig 1: 7 days power generation in Victoria (screenshot from the Open NEM website) https://opennem.org.au/#/regions/vic In order to understand the above graph we have to know how Excel is dealing […] -
![Yesterday, 22 Jan 2019, total power demand on Australia’s East Coast reached – just like 5 days earlier – the 35 GW mark. Fig 1: Power generation by source for […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Victoria-generation_22Jan2019-115x115.jpg "Victoria’s 600 MW brown coal plant outage leads to price spike but system survives")
Victoria’s 600 MW brown coal plant outage leads to price spike but system survives
Posted on January 23, 2019 | No CommentsYesterday, 22 Jan 2019, total power demand on Australia’s East Coast reached – just like 5 days earlier – the 35 GW mark. Fig 1: Power generation by source for […]
