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![September 2018 5/9/2018 4 scenarios by RBC Capital Markets (1) Waiting Game Oil price neutral. Iran honors its commitments under the nuclear deal attempting to wait out the Trump administration. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Iran-crude-condensate_exports_Mar2016-Aug2018-36x36.jpg "Iran Update")
Iran Update
04 September 2018 11:27 AM | No Comments -
![Part 2 Eraring, Mt Piper, Vales Pt Introduction: The NSW government is selling Snowy Hydro to the Federal Government, thereby demonstrating beyond doubt that it is abrogating its duty of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Eraring1_Jan2018-RG-36x36.jpg "NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)")
NSW coal power maxed out in hot summer (part 2)
16 March 2018 11:36 PM | No Comments -
![This article is about a paper I handed over to former Prime Minister Howard during a seminar at the Australian Institute of International Affairs on 31/10/2017 Australia in Today’s World […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/BP_crude_NGL_production_by_region_2000_2016-36x36.jpg "Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004")
Howard’s Energy Policy Failure 2004
31 October 2017 12:00 PM | No Comments -
![Immigrants to blame for high house prices, businessman Dick Smith claims Mr Smith said “jumbo loads” of immigrants arriving each week were the “main driver” behind the country’s housing affordability […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/NSW_population_pyramid_1971-2016-36x36.jpg "Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration")
Sydney would peak at 4.9 million with zero net overseas migration
27 February 2017 8:17 AM | No Comments -
![This article is part 3 of a series on peak oil in the South China Sea. Bloomberg commented on 15/12/2016 that “Trump’s Top Diplomat Would Bring Complex History With China […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Vietnam_gas_production_by_field_1991-2015-36x36.jpg "Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim")
Exxon plans to produce gas close to China’s 9 dash line claim
28 December 2016 7:06 PM | No Comments -
![In part 2 of this series we continue our excursion into Sydney’s rail world and look at whether this city spends its rail money wisely to prepare for an age […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Railcorp_ATP_briefing-36x36.jpg "Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)")
Sydney mismanages transition to driver-less single deck trains (part 2)
04 January 2015 9:02 AM | No Comments -
![Contents: (1) Epping – Chatswood tunnel conversion works proposed (2) Removal of tracks at Epping and Chatswood (3) Operational flexibility reduced (4) Removal of signalling What can the world […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Tangara_Sydney_Central_via_Macquarie_Park-Dec2014-36x36.jpg "Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)")
Sydney plans to dismantle rail infrastructure built just 6 years ago (part 1)
30 December 2014 9:28 PM | No Comments -
![A sustainable city is foremost an energy thrifty city with a minimum of energy used for transport. A good example is the 1976 master plan for Dodoma in Tanzania, an […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/community_316ha-36x36.jpg "Sustainable Cities Master Plan")
Sustainable Cities Master Plan
26 August 2009 9:00 AM | No Comments
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![Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-incl-extra-4Apr-30May-2026.jpg "Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months")
Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
01 June 2026 11:44 AM | No Comments -
![Australian diesel import update March 2026 In the previous post it was highlighted that forward diesel orders (19 May 2026) were at 2,350 ML per month. If the geopolitical situation […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-imports-vs-forward-orders-19May26.jpg "Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026")
Australia may have to save 10 % of diesel for the 2nd half of the year 2026
29 May 2026 9:00 PM | No Comments -
![(1) Forward Orders Press conference, Sydney, New South Wales 23 May 2026 CHRIS BOWEN: Thanks for coming, everyone. I’m very pleased today to give the weekly Saturday petrol update. … We […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-diesel-tank-use-3-Mar-19May2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum")
Australian forward fuel orders dropped a 2nd week while diesel stock at maximum
24 May 2026 11:15 PM | No Comments -
![This post turns information given to the media into easily understandable time line graphs. It includes implied and inconvenient facts the Energy Minister did not mention in: Press conference – […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-excl-extra-4Apr-16May-2026.jpg "Australian forward fuel orders dopped by 12 % from previous week")
Australian forward fuel orders dopped by 12 % from previous week
18 May 2026 6:39 PM | No Comments -
![Same procedure every Saturday. First, a new chart appears on the DCCEEW website Fig 1: New weekly MSO chart for Tuesday, 28 Apr 2026 https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics On this basis we can […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Tankers-Coral-Sea-10May26.jpg "Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ")
Floating offshore diesel storage in Australian EEZ
12 May 2026 11:55 AM | No Comments -
![On 2nd May the Australian Energy Minister released new data on fuel stocks, past tanker arrivals and tankers on the way. This MSO chart was published Saturday morning Fig 1: […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Shiploads-received-vs-fuel-stocks-3Mar-28Apr26.jpg "Australia needs a higher number of tankers to meet fuel import requirements")
Australia needs a higher number of tankers to meet fuel import requirements
07 May 2026 10:37 AM | No Comments -
![This post will show how the Australian government has introduced new dimensions in oil statistics which will hopefully lead to the dawning of the Age of “let the diesel in”. […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian-fuel-orders-Apr-2026.jpg "Australia’s 5th Dimension in securing diesel supplies")
Australia’s 5th Dimension in securing diesel supplies
30 April 2026 12:16 PM | No Comments -
![Remember this: 15/4/26 ABC News finance report, including a picture of the “armada” of diesel tankers heading for Australia: Fig 1: Diesel Armada heading for Australia https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-15/wednesday-finance-with-alan-kohler/106568156 Just as NORD […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Diesel-tankers-from-US-Apr-May26.jpg "Alan Kohler’s Diesel Armada has hit Sydney")
Alan Kohler’s Diesel Armada has hit Sydney
22 April 2026 4:19 PM | No Comments -
![An update to the Minimum Stockholding Obligation has been published today: Fig 1: Chart published by the DCCEEW https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/security/australias-fuel-security/minimum-stockholding-obligation/statistics#download …and presented by the Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Energy Minister […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Comparison-MSO-APS-stock-levels-14Apr2026.jpg "Australian diesel stocks stabilized mid April 2026")
Australian diesel stocks stabilized mid April 2026
18 April 2026 3:46 PM | No Comments -
![Where has all the diesel gone? The moment of the truth for monthly fuel stock taking: Stocks at beginning of month + Imports – Exports + Refinery output – Sales […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australia-monthly-diesel-stock-change-Jan2025-1.jpg "Discrepancies in diesel sales and stocks in the Australian Petroleum Statistics")
Discrepancies in diesel sales and stocks in the Australian Petroleum Statistics
13 April 2026 5:48 PM | No Comments
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Forward diesel orders continue to decline and require a 16 % saving in the coming months
Saturday is fuel security day. 30 May 2026 with data from 26/5/26 (1) It knocks off with the publication of the following graph between 8-9 am: Fig 1: Weekly MSO […]
Latest Headlines
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![According to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/World-incremental-crude-2016-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)")
Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)
Posted on May 3, 2022 | No CommentsAccording to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 […] -
![Using latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia_Crude_Production_1973-Nov2021-115x115.jpg "Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021")
Asia Peak Oil update Nov 2021
Posted on March 30, 2022 | No CommentsUsing latest monthly EIA and Jodi data. Fig 1: Asian crude production peaked 2010-2015 (where EIA data are not available, the annual BP Stat Review has been used) Asian oil […] -
![The IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_diesel_stocks_Jul2010-Dec2021-115x115.jpg "Australian oil stocks consumption cover")
Australian oil stocks consumption cover
Posted on March 22, 2022 | No CommentsThe IEA warns: The prospect of large-scale disruptions to Russian oil production is threatening to create a global oil supply shock. We estimate that from April, 3 mb/d of Russian […] -
![Pic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Russia_crude_prod-exports_2002-Nov21-1-115x115.jpg "Russian oil production update Nov 2021")
Russian oil production update Nov 2021
Posted on February 28, 2022 | No CommentsPic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.png .Fig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was […] -
![Diesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Sep-2021.jpg "Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data")
Australian fuel import dependencies Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 10, 2021 | No CommentsDiesel Imports Fig 15: Diesel imports Diesel imports increased from China since 2015 and also from a brand new Chinese refinery in Brunei. See Fig 18. Fig 16: Diesel imports […] -
![Fig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_crude_oil_imports_2004_Sep2021_by_country.jpg "Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data")
Australia crude oil import vulnerabilities Sep 2021 Data
Posted on December 9, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Australian crude oil and condensate production Australian crude production is on a long term decline trend. Condensate has rebounded in 2018 due to an increase from offshore LNG, […] -
![Fig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/China-trucks-out-of-fuel_Oct2021.jpg "China peak diesel")
China peak diesel
Posted on October 31, 2021 | No CommentsFig 1: Aljazeera video on truck lines October 2021. Shortages could last for months https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sy_uiSlgbIA BBC reporting: China rations diesel amid fuel shortages 29/10/21 Petrol stations in many parts of […] -
![The Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/AU_emissions-by-quarter_Dec2000-Mar2021.jpg "Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid")
Australian Green House Gas emissions down in 2020 due to Covid
Posted on September 20, 2021 | No CommentsThe Australian Prime Minister claimed emissions are down 20% from 2005 levels 10 Aug 2021 Prime Minister: “…Australia is part of the solution. Our emissions have fallen by 20 per […] -
![Australia’s monthly diesel imports reached a record of 2,360 ML (495 kb/d) in June 2021. While it is common for imports to vary from month to month there is a […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Australian_diesel_imports_by_country_2004-Jun-2021.jpg "Australia’s diesel imports on record high Update June 2021")
Australia’s diesel imports on record high Update June 2021
Posted on September 8, 2021 | No CommentsAustralia’s monthly diesel imports reached a record of 2,360 ML (495 kb/d) in June 2021. While it is common for imports to vary from month to month there is a […] -
![Production: pre-Covid trends prevail Fig 1: Oil decline in 2020 was a modest 200 kb/d similar to the post 2015 trend Fig 2: China’s (and Australia’s) modest growth of 65 […]](https://crudeoilpeak.info/wp-content/uploads/Asia-Pacific-oil-production_BP-1965_2020.jpg "Asia Pacific peak oil: 2020 production continued decline at -2.7% pa")
Asia Pacific peak oil: 2020 production continued decline at -2.7% pa
Posted on September 4, 2021 | No CommentsProduction: pre-Covid trends prevail Fig 1: Oil decline in 2020 was a modest 200 kb/d similar to the post 2015 trend Fig 2: China’s (and Australia’s) modest growth of 65 […]
